I don't think this is some severe reversion-to-the-mean. This is just a little mini-slump, in a tough stretch in the schedule.
I'm still confident that this team gets 15 to 18 more points than last year's team and we squeak into the playoffs. We're so deep, I think making the playoffs is about a 55% probability.
But every game is going to be a toss-up and we'll need some loser points. Which is great fun, every game we'll have a shot, and every game will count. This game is a tough one because the Islanders are so defensively focused and low-event. I think this version of the Wings will have a better chance against teams that will go back and forth trading scoring chances.