I'm really impressed with JVR. Despite his awful season, he always manages to escape criticism from Leafs coaches and management.
Hopefully their planning to trade him while his value is still somewhat high because his disappearing act will be much more noticeable without Kessel shielding him
Now this is assuming these guys have an average season compared to what they normally have... Except for Lupul where we assume he is healthy and productive and Brennan and Frattin where they meet decent expectations.
Spaling: 2nd round pick
Matthias: 2nd + 4th
Reimer: 2nd + 4th
Arcobello: 4th rounder
Bozak: 1st round pick
Lupul: 1st round pick + cap dump
Polak: 1st round pick or 2nd + B prospect
Parenteau: 2nd + 3rd
Phaneuf: High level prospect, 1st round pick + cap dump
Frattin: 4th/5th round pick + cap dump
Brennan: 5th + cap dump
If we can get a 2nd rounder for any of the UFA's we picked up I think we are laughing. Depending on the market I think we can get a 2+3rd for Polak if not a late 1st, depending on the market. Phaneuf should get a good prospect + 2nd + Dump, idk if we trade him either though. Lupul if healthy could get a 1st round pick, but injury problems will plague him. Bozak should get a 2nd ASAP, people will see he is a 3rd liner very shortly.
Also, not sure why everyone says don't trade JVR, he is on a sweetheart deal, big, top 6 winger. I think teams would be lining up to get him, he would be someone I would be looking to move ASAP, something like a 1st + A prospect ( JVR has almost as much if not more value than kessel imo because of his contract)
Too high for pretty much everyone on your list even if they had career years.
1st rounders for Bozak and Lupul???
When do our UFA's come off the books? We have 8 UFA's for the 15-16 season - Brewer, Orr, Booth, Knodel, Sill, MaClaren, Marshal, Bodie.
They are already off the books.
Ok then we have only 40 under contract not 48.
Montreal couldn't get a draft pick for Parenteau (with 1 year left at $4M), hence they bought him out.
Florida couldn't get a draft pick back for Boyes (with 1 year left at around $2.35M), hence they bought him out.
There is no way on this green earth that we are getting a first rounder back for Lupul during this current contract. Even next summer, he will have 2 years and $5.25M left. NOT A CHANCE even with a healthy and productive season we get anything that valuable. At best, we are getting a camp dump and B level prospect (or draft pick). At best.
These last 2 free agency periods haven't taught people anything yet.
Uh? We have 47 contracts. Donaghey is the only one that will be back in the CHL. Johnson's contract likely doesn't count because he's going back to Sweden to finish his SHL deal (he's not on loan). If a player goes back for his overage year, which is possible, then it gets removed from the contract list.
We have 45 contracts if Kapanen and Nylander's contracts don't count (slide rule)... but I'm fairly certain they do.
http://capfriendly.com/?p=team-cap&team=Toronto Maple Leafs
Uh? We have 47 contracts. Donaghey is the only one that will be back in the CHL. Johnson's contract likely doesn't count because he's going back to Sweden to finish his SHL deal (he's not on loan). If a player goes back for his overage year, which is possible, then it gets removed from the contract list.
We have 45 contracts if Kapanen and Nylander's contracts don't count (slide rule)... but I'm fairly certain they do.
http://capfriendly.com/?p=team-cap&team=Toronto Maple Leafs
They have 50 total contracts, assuming Beck and Bernier sign.
Donaghey will go back to junior and not affect the limit. Down to 49.
Kapanen and Nylander's contracts will slide, but still affect the limit. Horton affects the limit on LTIR. Atleast, that's the way it seemed to play out last season.
Andreas Johnson will likely lose a year off his ELC, like Granberg and Nilsson before him by going back to Sweden. I'm not sure if he would affect the limit. It's also still possible he stays in NA like Loov and Nylander who were under contract in Sweden and decided to stay/come back. So, 48 or 49 contracts depending on Johnson is the way I see it right now.
Assuming they are not packaged, I would wager a guess the most likely returns are in the range of (could be prospect / young player equivalent of the pick):
Parenteau: 2nd round pick + maybe mid level prospect / additional later pick
Arcobello: 3rd round pick
Polak: 2nd round pick + mid level prospect
Matthias: (if he performs with more opportunity) 1st round pick / (if not) 2nd round pick + maybe mid level prospect / additional later pick
Spaling: 3rd or 4th round pick (depending on performance)
Reimer: 2nd + 4th round pick
Bozak: 2nd round pick
Lupul: (if he stays healthy & regains form): 1st round pick + cap dump, (if not): who the hell knows?
Phaneuf: 1st round pick and cap dump, or 2nd round pick + decent prospect + cap dump
Realistically we should be able to turn this group into (split between both 2016 & 2017) about 3 or 4 2nd round picks, 2 or 3 3rd round picks, a 4th+ or two, and a couple of decent prospects. There is a chance to grab a couple of 1sts, but it will depend on everything falling into place, having guys like Matthias & Lupul have great years, or a positive market shift on Phaneuf.
Now this is assuming these guys have an average season compared to what they normally have... Except for Lupul where we assume he is healthy and productive and Brennan and Frattin where they meet decent expectations.
Spaling: 2nd round pick
Matthias: 2nd + 4th
Reimer: 2nd + 4th
Arcobello: 4th rounder
Bozak: 1st round pick
Lupul: 1st round pick + cap dump
Polak: 1st round pick or 2nd + B prospect
Parenteau: 2nd + 3rd
Phaneuf: High level prospect, 1st round pick + cap dump
Frattin: 4th/5th round pick + cap dump
Brennan: 5th + cap dump
Little bit pie in the sky here. Don't think we're getting a 1st for Bozak and Lupul.
Agreed.
Some people need to temper their expectations, as some of these 1 year deals will remain Leafs and walk away to free agency.
Yes the best asset management would be to trade them all, but in reality they do need to ice a team and bringing up Half the Marlies roster 3/4 of the way through the season in itself may not be the most ideal asset management.
Montreal couldn't get a draft pick for Parenteau (with 1 year left at $4M), hence they bought him out.
Florida couldn't get a draft pick back for Boyes (with 1 year left at around $2.35M), hence they bought him out.
There is no way on this green earth that we are getting a first rounder back for Lupul during this current contract. Even next summer, he will have 2 years and $5.25M left. NOT A CHANCE even with a healthy and productive season we get anything that valuable. At best, we are getting a camp dump and B level prospect (or draft pick). At best.
These last 2 free agency periods haven't taught people anything yet.
Nylander and Kapanens contract slide.
Just like last year.
They won't start until next year. Unless they play the required NHL games.
Seriously, not that hard folks.
They won't count against the contract limit, as since their contract slide show, there is no contract to fill the void.
However, Dubas and Co may leave their contract spots empty, in case they get called up.
what would you take from Caps for JVR and Bozak? is this proposal possible for you...
JVR + Bozak <-> Johansson + Laich + Orlov + Carrick + 1st round 2016
what would you take from Caps for JVR and Bozak? is this proposal possible for you...
JVR + Bozak <-> Johansson + Laich + Orlov + Carrick + 1st round 2016
A 1st for Bozak is not ridiculous, and if Lupul comes back to have a healthy productive season, that's not out there either. Otherwise, barring they have seasons that closely match their career average, that's probably what they can fetch.
That's not an insulting offer by any means, but from the Leafs POV I think we'd hope to get a future-oriented return with more upside than that (i.e. a 1st + good prospect, especially if the 1st is late).what would you take from Caps for JVR and Bozak? is this proposal possible for you...
JVR + Bozak <-> Johansson + Laich + Orlov + Carrick + 1st round 2016