Speculation: Free Agent Defenceman Targets

Which UFA defenseman would you target?


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    65

Dion TheFluff

Registered User
Jun 22, 2015
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Assuming that Pietrangelo is not an option and that we are able to move out some $ to make a move in free agency, which UFA defenseman would like to see us target to compliment the blue line? (ideally as a partner for Rielly)

this is how I see the blue line shaping out

Rielly - .....
Muzzin - Holl
Sandin - Dermott
 

Cor

I am a bot
Jun 24, 2012
69,648
35,246
AEF
Assuming that Pietrangelo is not an option and that we are able to move out some $ to make a move in free agency, which UFA defenseman would like to see us target to compliment the blue line? (ideally as a partner for Rielly)

this is how I see the blue line shaping out

Rielly - .....
Muzzin - Holl
Sandin - Dermott

In our budget, Chris Tanev might be an option.

But honestly, I wouldn’t be surprised if our top 6 are the 5 you listed and Liljegren
 

Dion TheFluff

Registered User
Jun 22, 2015
3,891
3,338
In our budget, Chris Tanev might be an option.

But honestly, I wouldn’t be surprised if our top 6 are the 5 you listed and Liljegren
yeah it wouldn't shock me if they went the internal route or potentially packaged Kapanen for an upgrade as well
 

Morbo

The Annihilator
Jan 14, 2003
27,100
5,734
Toronto
Not a lot of appealing options there. Hopefully Sandin/Liljegren can take a step.
 

The Podium

Registered User
Feb 19, 2010
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Toronto
Which ever of Gudas, Hamonic or Tanev gets you the best valued contract

Tanev is probably my #1 choice but I doubt he leaves Vancouver, which is why I voted for Gudas.
 
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Dion TheFluff

Registered User
Jun 22, 2015
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Which ever of Gudas, Hamonic or Tanev gets you the best valued contract

Tanev is probably my #1 choice but I doubt he leaves Vancouver, which is why I voted for Gudas.
He's from the GTA they may not want to commit to him with having Myers locked up long term
 
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GBLeaf

Registered User
Feb 13, 2014
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England, GB.
Might be a bit of a romantic notion,

but I saw someone saying if there are compliance buyouts, Philly would consider JVR.

I'd see if JVR fancied a return to Toronto where he had his best years on a discount deal, with the notion we'd pick up TVR too, and they can play together.

Don't know them, but the idea of playing with your sibling in the big league would be an attractive proposition for some.

in addition and ignoring the above fantasy. I think Tanev could be a smart move. Did brill with Rielly previously, and with us still wanting to blood Sandin/Liljegren in, him not being available for 82 games might not hurt too much anyway.
 
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Legion34

Registered User
Jan 24, 2006
18,152
8,256
yeah a trade is by far likelier.

it depends. I mean. We have tried to trade for brodie already. That’s confirmed. We also have multiple rumours that we have tried to get tanev for years.

If brodie wants to come here... he’s my bet of these options.

If I had to choose. I would say tanev on a 2 year deal. Or demelo if we really think he can be a steady partner for rielly.

my contract guesses

1.) brodie. 5 x 5
2.) tanev 4 x 3
3.) demelo 3.5 x 4
 

Dion TheFluff

Registered User
Jun 22, 2015
3,891
3,338
it depends. I mean. We have tried to trade for brodie already. That’s confirmed. We also have multiple rumours that we have tried to get tanev for years.

If brodie wants to come here... he’s my bet of these options.

If I had to choose. I would say tanev on a 2 year deal. Or demelo if we really think he can be a steady partner for rielly.

my contract guesses

1.) brodie. 5 x 5
2.) tanev 4 x 3
3.) demelo 3.5 x 4
I'd be fine with any of those contracts. Moving Kerfoot/Johnsson for a draft pick should open up space.
 
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Legion34

Registered User
Jan 24, 2006
18,152
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I'd be fine with any of those contracts. Moving Kerfoot/Johnsson for a draft pick should open up space.

yep. It would all depend on who would come here.


Tanev:
-30 years old.
-Exact DMan we need... he is proven as a top pair RHD who works well with a puck mover
-wife’s home is a 3 hr drive from TO.
-he has a house here

cons: INJURY and age.

2.) brodie.
- top pair D who plays on the right side.
-little injury history.
- family from here on both sides.
-dubas style PMD....

cons:
-rumor he put us on NTC. The same reporters have suggested he didn’t want to move halfway through the season with a young kid. And suggested trades at deadline and offseason
- wife has MS and might want a warmer climate
-he is the closest thing to a gardiner type.

Demelo:
- a tanev type without the injury history.
- he is from here and family wanted to settle in Ottawa.
-27.

cons: little track record to provide big contract.

So of those 3 it’s tough to decide....


Tanev has the pedigree but an injury history
Demelo has the style and age but not the track record.
Brodie has the age and track record but not the ideal style and is lefty
 
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biotk

Registered User
Jan 3, 2017
7,091
5,520
Buffalo
With the current situation - after Barrie and Ceci leave - the Leafs' presumably have Rielly, Muzzin, Dermott, Holl, Sandin, Liljegren (Marincin and Rosen). There are several major problems with this. Probably too many to fix with in the current cap situation.

Experience, grit, meanness, the ability to clear the front of the net and break the cycle. They have very little of any of that.

There is also the ongoing partner for Rielly problem which will require the Leafs to find a 1RD and the salary that will come with that. I personally think that the organization plans to solve the Rielly problem shifting him to the right side and going back to Muzzin - Rielly. They worked well together. We didn't see them at all this season, but the Leafs had Barrie, Ceci and Holl on the right and they without injuries on the right side until after Rielly was already out. I have been planning to go back and watch those games in early 2019 when the two played together, but haven't had the chance.

That potentially creates:
Muzzin - Rielly
Dermott - Holl
Sandin - Liljegren

But that leaves two pairs with almost no experience. Generally when people talk about experience they talk about the need to have a cup winner or two on your team to help know what it takes to go all the way. Certainly important, and the Leafs have Muzzin on D (and Clifford on F if he re-signs).

But there is a lot more to experience. Those 6 D have a total of 1373 games of experience (Muzzin - 579, Rielly - 517, Dermott - 157, Holl - 81, Sandin - 28, Liljegren - 11).

If you look at the top-6 in terms of playoff ice time for the last 10 Cup champs the average number of regular season games experience their top-6 had was 2881 games played. The lowest - the 2012 Kings had 2202 games played. Experience matters. The Leafs' D doesn't have it.

Plenty of those cup winners had a D in their top-6 with minimal NHL experience. Some had two. But four? Most of those teams had someone on their bottom pairing with around 900 games or more, and the 2015 Hawks had Timonen and Rozsival as a bottom pairing with 1998 games experience between them.

The other problem with lack of experience is the difficulty in bringing young D into your lineup. The Leafs' D pipeline is almost all the same type of D - small puck movers - Sandin, Liljegren, Hollowell, Duzsak, Lindgren etc. Their D-core is not set up to successfully bring those D into the lineup.

Over the years I have looked at young D being brought into NHL lineups going back to 2007/08 (the first year naturalstattrick gives TOI of teammates) and the types of partners placed with young D is what everyone should expect: experienced, or big/mean, or experienced and big/mean.

For instance, the top two D in the calder vote in 2008 were Enstrom and Niskanen. The former was partnered with 34-year-old Havelid and the latter split his time between 37-year-old Zubov and 36-year-old Norstrom. The two D in the calder vote the following season were Doughty and Bogosian. The former was partnered with 37-year-old O'Donnell and the latter was partnered with 39-year-old Schneider (in both of those cases those extremely experienced D were specifically signed to partner with those 18-year old rookies).

I have little expectation, based on history, and having watched them this season, that Sandin/Liljegren, Sandin/Holl, Sandin/Dermott, Dermott/Liljegren, Rosen/Liljegren, Holl/Liljegren etc will be any more than a complete waste of development.

In my view that either means 2 relatively cheap signings or a signing and a trade. Only two of Dermott, Holl, Sandin, Liljegren should be in the lineup.

This should also be the case if they keep Muzzin-Holl together and looked for a 1RD to play with Rielly. Then only one of Dermott, Sandin, Liljegren should be on the third pairing and the other D should be someone with the experience to help their development.
 
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GBLeaf

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Feb 13, 2014
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England, GB.
If Ceci and Barrie are gone, that'll leave 7.25m cap space, won't it?

Move Johnson out, that'd leave 10.65m space

Hopefully Robertson can come up, so that'd be a saving on Johnsson.

There will be space to add a dman or two.
 
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Golden_Jet

Registered User
Sep 21, 2005
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If Ceci and Barrie are gone, that'll leave 7.25m cap space, won't it?

Move Johnson out, that'd leave 10.65m space

Hopefully Robertson can come up, so that'd be a saving on Johnsson.

There will be space to add a dman or two.

Plus the 8 other players that need to be signed.
 

Dion TheFluff

Registered User
Jun 22, 2015
3,891
3,338
If Ceci and Barrie are gone, that'll leave 7.25m cap space, won't it?

Move Johnson out, that'd leave 10.65m space

Hopefully Robertson can come up, so that'd be a saving on Johnsson.

There will be space to add a dman or two.
Barbonov or Korshkov could potentially fill that hole as well
 

rent free

Registered User
Apr 6, 2015
20,427
6,114
If Ceci and Barrie are gone, that'll leave 7.25m cap space, won't it?

Move Johnson out, that'd leave 10.65m space

Hopefully Robertson can come up, so that'd be a saving on Johnsson.

There will be space to add a dman or two.
that 7.25 million sinks due to raises for campbell, muzzin, holl and engvall. the leafs only have 4.5 million dollars of cap space and a 17 man roster next season. we'd have to move out at least 3 decently paid players if we sign one of the free agent top-4 defenders
 
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