As a neutral fan, this would be great. Tired of the old guard.
does anyone else get the feeling this is going to be the year of the underdogs?
- Thread starter london flyer
- Start date
As a neutral fan, this would be great. Tired of the old guard.
WolfgangPuck
Registered User
- May 12, 2012
- 2,023
- 2,815
TooManyHumans
Registered User
- May 4, 2018
- 2,396
- 3,411
This is the year that an instant replay decision is going to decide the outcome of the Final. My scrying mirror is a bit cloudy so I don't know whether it will be a goalie interference or offsides but it's happening and it will be infuriating.
780il
edm
How was Carolina an underdog in 06? They were a damn good team.
This year, I think one of the Blues, Avs, or Isles will go to the final. CBJ also have a good shot.
This year, I think one of the Blues, Avs, or Isles will go to the final. CBJ also have a good shot.
Crazydounut
Registered User
Hedican, Wesley, Wallin, Commodore, Aaron Ward.....Yeah our defense was SOOOOOOO bad
Kingsfan1
Registered User
It sorta has a 2012 feeling to it . Kings and Coyotes in the WCF that year ? Definitely that feeling lol
If it is anything other than Dallas or Colorado vs Columbus or the Cains, then no.
Every team outside of Colorado and Dallas remaining in the west was expected to be a contender. St. Louis had a shit start to the year, but were dominate in the 2nd half and expected to be in the hunt anyways. Vegas, SJ, Peg, and Nashville were all cup contenders going into the season.
Out East, Leafs, Bruins, and Caps were all expected to be contenders. NYI are kinda like the Easts Blues team in that they were good enough in the season that nothing should surprise people right now.
But yeah, I would take a Jackets-Avs SCF.
Every team outside of Colorado and Dallas remaining in the west was expected to be a contender. St. Louis had a shit start to the year, but were dominate in the 2nd half and expected to be in the hunt anyways. Vegas, SJ, Peg, and Nashville were all cup contenders going into the season.
Out East, Leafs, Bruins, and Caps were all expected to be contenders. NYI are kinda like the Easts Blues team in that they were good enough in the season that nothing should surprise people right now.
But yeah, I would take a Jackets-Avs SCF.
PensandCaps
Beddy Tlueger
- May 22, 2015
- 27,648
- 18,022
We CAN'T let the leafs win the cup. Riots around the world if that happens.
Legionnaire11
Registered User
It does seem like anything is possible this year. Still, I feel like a WSH-VGK rematch is likely.
winnipegger
Registered User
- Dec 17, 2013
- 8,286
- 6,800
Who are the teams that are considered underdogs? Without having that list, maybe?
Of the teams left I see Washington, Boston, Nashville and Vegas as favorites based on previous playoffs. For me the rest are anywhere from mid pack to underdogs.
Here is what the Athletic has for current probabilities:
What were the "probabilities" 10 days ago? These things are so stupid. Nobody has a hot clue what's going to happen.
Agreed, but I'll take that over a bunch of garbage in a prediction thread on HFB. This place, for all of its positives, is a cesspool of garbage posters.
The Shovel Penguin
Do work.
2nd round is coming up and my "Matt Duchene Bowl" (Avs vs. Jackets) dream is still alive. LET'S GO BOYS
SavedByRoy
Bite the noose
Who are the teams that are considered underdogs? Without having that list, maybe?
Of the teams left I see Washington, Boston, Nashville and Vegas as favorites based on previous playoffs. For me the rest are anywhere from mid pack to underdogs.
Here is what the Athletic has for current probabilities:
I'm rooting for the Leafs and Avs, but I don't really understand this at all. How are the Leafs the top team by probability? They are young and have yet to win a round. Washington, the Cup champs with mostly the same team, should under no circumstances be in the lower half (unless you think Trotz was the only reason they won, despite losing multiple times in the 2nd round with him previously).
And how TF are the Jets dead last? They had a good run last year as a young team. Now they are close to the same team, with the playoff experience. Does not compute...
JESSEWENEEDTOCOOK
Registered User
- Oct 8, 2010
- 79,351
- 16,806
Cardiac Jerks
Asinine & immoral
No idea, but they gave this. Everyone is welcome to come up with something better that isnt based on opinion.
NHL playoffs probabilities – April 20
You have to remember a lot of people here only started watching hockey 3 years ago.
13th Floor
Registered User
- Oct 10, 2008
- 19,025
- 8,472
I've looked at this thing so many times and just don't get it, and I'm very pro-analytics. Is it some Monte Carlo simulation? Is it backwards-looking?
If the Caps take that series and Boston doesn't win 2 in a row, the defending champs have home ice throughout the playoffs and they're near the bottom? Um, ok.
Carolina has almost the same chance to win round 2 as the Isles. That means Carolina has to win a 3 game mini-series without home ice advantage against the Cup champs and THEN go beat the Isles on the road. And they have almost as good a chance to do that than the very team already waiting to play to them with home ice advantage? AND they have a better chance of doing that than the Caps, who would have home ice? Right. Even if you want to call every series a near coin flip, Carolina would have to win 2 coin flips versus the Isles 1. Unless this is telling me that the behind-the-Isles-the-entire-season Hurricanes would be favored SO much against the Isles that it makes their chances close to even to win 2 on-the-road coin flips to the Isles 1 at-home coin flip
In aggregate, the Canes, Caps, Bruins, and Isles have a 19% chance of winning the cup versus just the Leafs 19%? Can I take that bet? That's guaranteed ECF with either the Cup champs (I like my chances), or an unproven team (Canes, Isles) against another unproven team (Jackets, Leafs). Or of course, the Bruins come back to beat the Leafs, and my field has 3 of the 4 teams left in the East and the Leafs are out.
But of course, if the Bruins win game 6, this whole thing will be wildly different, right?
So we still have a 2.2% chance at the cup? Nice!Who are the teams that are considered underdogs? Without having that list, maybe?
Of the teams left I see Washington, Boston, Nashville and Vegas as favorites based on previous playoffs. For me the rest are anywhere from mid pack to underdogs.
Here is what the Athletic has for current probabilities:
AvsFan29
Registered User
- Mar 15, 2018
- 17,659
- 15,803
Are they serious?Who are the teams that are considered underdogs? Without having that list, maybe?
Of the teams left I see Washington, Boston, Nashville and Vegas as favorites based on previous playoffs. For me the rest are anywhere from mid pack to underdogs.
Here is what the Athletic has for current probabilities:
AvsFan29
Registered User
- Mar 15, 2018
- 17,659
- 15,803
AvsFan29
Registered User
- Mar 15, 2018
- 17,659
- 15,803
I'm cheering for Toronto in the east. Lived here in the GTA all my life, but that's a big bias. If Toronto makes it into the next round, they have an amazing chance.
The best chance they've had since Gilmour, but they still need to get past Boston.
