Dreger: Darcy Kuemper will test free agency

FerrisRox

"Wanna go, Prettyboy?"
Sep 17, 2003
20,334
13,038
Toronto, Ontario
Kuemper has been better than Gibson the last few seasons only cost $$$. Trade would require at least Sandin, Robertson, 1st or Nylander.

I think Gibson is a much better goaltender and the results he has posted in Anaheim the last few years don't concern me at all. Whoever ends up with him is going to be very, very happy and if it's the Maple Leafs, I think it instantly makes them a legit contender.
 

Aurinko

Registered User
Apr 1, 2015
3,423
2,227
Finland
I’m going to go….

Caps - Kuemper
Sabres - Gibson
Hawks - Campbell
Leafs - Blackwood and Martin Jones, w some Pickard on the side
Oilers - Holtby and Greiss as Holland goes all-in (in his own head) selling Holtby as that “Cup winning goaltender” they now have..

Its been widely reported, the Oilers were interested in Husso and think it’s fair to say, so were the Devils, as they reacted immediately after the Detroit/Husso trade and signing.

So Holland once again, loses out on his preferred signing because he procrastinated, felt he wouldn’t have competition, or flat out was to arrogant about it.

It’s always been his major flaw when it comes to addressing a weakness, holding onto an asset to long until there’s no takers, etc, etc. Just look back on the whole Osgood show (the first time around).

As a Leafs fan, in their case I don’t think it’s a “sleeping at the wheel” type thing but overlooking certain angles, not getting to creative… but mostly, subscribing to the old “Jimmy Devellano Goaltending Theory” (Holland also subscribes to)….. that you can win with average goalies, and money is better spent on skaters. Proven to work in many cases by 3 Cups in Detroit (Hasek was the other) and obviously Kuemper this year. Sakic also seems to be onboard with Jimmy D Goalie logic, after last summer, and again just yesterday… moving on from Kuemper rather than paying him.

So it’s nothing new for teams to choose this path. The problems start when they can’t see past the path and the Oilers and Leafs, to a lessor extent, seem to be doing just that.

So I’m not actually joking about Blackwood in the Leafs case. He’s actually a good fit for the Leafs. He’s “extra goaltender psychotic” … so he’ll block the media out and want to prove he’s what everyone thought a couple years ago.

Some goaltenders are extra psycho like Mrazek… where he so wants to be accepted and loved by the fans and the media, who’ve always embraced his aggressiveness, he lets expectations eat away at him, when things go wrong. Making him a horrible fit in TO.

Then there’s the Blackwood type, who have a built-in chip on their shoulder, play for their teammates and themselves, who are able to block out the background noise of the media. Those goalies work in Toronto.

The Leafs seem to be interested in making something happen in net now, after failing at the “Jimmy D” approach. There problem is finding the right fit now.

It’s Holland that needs to be fired, as he’s shown he will never change.. He’s a good guy but as an example, Detroit had the deepest, most in-depth scouts for years (still do throughout Ontario) and some of them used to tell us, they’d deliver detailed reports on players, thinking after awhile, Holland never read any of them when it came to high profile picks and acquisitions. Only relying on 2-3 opinions of certain development guys, who 2 of the 3 are working for the Oilers now btw.

Examples? Cholowski, Svechnikov, Brenden Smith and a few others are the evidence of high profile picks. While Shanahan, Chelios, Sandstrom, Hasek, Schneider, Lang and Quincey were trades… and then Joseph, Krupp and Ray Whitney as UFAs.

Every last person (scouts) was excited that Chychrun fell to the Wings except a certain advisor was in love with Cholowski and convinced Holland to trade down. Now, they did get Hronek with the extra 2nd they got in the trade but still, passing on JC was out-thinking yourself, and the Hronek pick was scout led, not the voice in Holland’s ear.

He did this same thing with Mantha, Svechnikov, McCollum, and Brenden Smith. Passing on prospects his scouts wanted, listening instead to his right hand. On only a couple of occasions did they agree over about a 15 year stretch. Dylan Larkin, Zadina and Mantha.

It’s crazy as this only really happened with their higher profile picks. The scouts got what they wanted, especially Andersson, in rounds 2-7. Explaining why Detroit missed on so many 1st rounders but hit on so many later round picks.

In trades, he was almost forced (at times) to make certain moves by Jimmy D, Bowman and even Mr Ilitch. He didn’t want to trade Keith Primeau for example, and to this day, nobody would’ve known the outcome of the Shamahan trade IF Holland was the full GM at that time. He loved Primeau and Coffey, but Bowman, Jimmy D and the owner basically negotiated the trade that brought the player who put them over the top.

He didn’t want Chelios, Tomas Sandstrom or Matthew Schneider. He had to be nudged to make those deals too.

On the flip side, he was determined to trade for Robert Lang and to re-acquire Kyle Quincey. Lang was good for the Wings but not great. Quincey was just moronic, costing them the pick that ended up being Vasilesky. Quincey was one of his guys though. That’s why we always joke about “Holland’s Guys” and we will see him continue to go back to that well in Edmonton. That’s why nobody should be surprised if Hronek is an Oiler in the coming weeks, Danny Dekeyser is given a one year deal, or Luke Glendening or Svechnikov find their way to Edmonton.

Then there’s the signings scouts fought against but Holland was adamant about. The Ray Whitney, Uwe Krupp types.

A high profile agent once joked with me at a hockey tournament, that Holland was his “Payday” every summer. This was the summer of 2001 if you want to connect dots.

He does the same thing with goaltenders. To the extent, he doesn’t even like drafting them. He is firmly committed to finding cheap, older goalies who are consistent.

It’s like he has Hasek/Joseph PTSD.

Hasek fell in his lap (only team Hasek would allow trade to), and Bowman, Jimmy D and Illitch got involved to make him do it. He was fine with keeping Osgood.

He waited so long to move Osgood because he didn’t like the return, he ended up basically giving him to the Isles, as other teams moved on from pursuing a deal. Sound familiar these days? Puljujarvi?

Then there was the Joseph fiasco. Holland panicked after Hasek won the Cup in 02’, didn’t have his boy Osgood anymore, so he went all-in on Curtis Joseph.

The one time he went hard after a UFA goalie it turned into a 2 year fiasco.

Hence the Goalie PTSD. Holland didn’t want to trade Osgood, felt he was forced to, then blames that on him having to sign Joseph and the drama it all caused when Hasek returned, etc.

It’s literally why he doesn’t like rocking the boat in net.

Let’s not even bring up the Uwe Krupp saga, or Holland’s inability to turn even ONE Detroit vet into prospects and picks when everyone knew it was time to tear it down and rebuild.

If you worked in the Scouting, Development, or even in the player agent community in the 90s and 2000s, especially in Ontario where there’s still independent Scouting contractor types, who are still in the game, everyone knew and joked about Holland.

It’s on the Oilers for not knowing this. I’m not sure there’s any voices in that front office to push him like some in Detroit did, but they need to move on before it goes south. Not only because that voice he took to Edmonton is in the building , but Holland himself is petrified to make mistakes. You have to be aggressive today. He’s just not. He’s to loyal and afraid to make mistakes.

That’s how Holland runs things.
OR Kuemper just decided to say no himself.

I wouldn't touch the Oilers even with a stick if I was a goalie.
 

Shane Diesel

Registered User
Jun 8, 2021
1,982
2,636
I think Gibson is a much better goaltender and the results he has posted in Anaheim the last few years don't concern me at all. Whoever ends up with him is going to be very, very happy and if it's the Maple Leafs, I think it instantly makes them a legit contender.
LOL
 

dahrougem2

Registered User
Dec 9, 2011
37,317
39,008
Edmonton, Alberta
Ignoring…most of this…

Buffalo won’t even bother going after Gibson with 5 years left. Their entire purpose is to have no term on whoever they bring in. He’s signed 3 years longer than they’re interested in
According to NHL Network Radio Buffalo already went after Gibson and he nixed a trade to the Sabres.
 

Deas

Registered User
Feb 3, 2017
456
314
I think the overall assessment of Kuemper is currently overly negative due to a shaky playoffs (in part because of the eye injury). His career save percentage is 91.8 despite all those years in Arizona. He has several seasons around 93%.
 

LEAFANFORLIFE23

Registered User
Jun 17, 2010
45,630
14,477
I think Gibson is a much better goaltender and the results he has posted in Anaheim the last few years don't concern me at all. Whoever ends up with him is going to be very, very happy and if it's the Maple Leafs, I think it instantly makes them a legit contender.

We actually agree here, I've been driving the Gibson train for months.

This team put up 115 points with for the most part dog shit goaltending.

You put John Gibson on a team that can score like the Leafs can I think they win the Atlantic easily and go on a deep run.
 

Patagonia

Keep Whining
Jan 6, 2017
7,624
3,246
We actually agree here, I've been driving the Gibson train for months.

This team put up 115 points with for the most part dog shit goaltending.

You put John Gibson on a team that can score like the Leafs can I think they win the Atlantic easily and go on a deep run.

Leafs with either DK or Gibson would be a better team, but what cost? Depth is still a problem after the big 4. Cap would require moving players whichever option.
 

NewEraGM

Registered User
Jun 19, 2010
3,534
2,895
What offers? There are now more goalies available than teams that need goalies.

Kuemper Murray Campbell possibly Varlamov and Blackwood and Allen

With really only Toronto Edmonton and possibly Buffalo needing a goalie
Allen is not available, unless it’s for a disgusting overpay. Habs know other teams are over a barrrell. Leafs 1st in 2023 and Justin Holl for Jake allen would do it
Only real options there are Campbell and Kuemper who will both be asking for 5-6M

Jake Allen for Leafs 1st 2023 + Justin Holl
 

LEAFANFORLIFE23

Registered User
Jun 17, 2010
45,630
14,477
Leafs with either DK or Gibson would be a better team, but what cost? Depth is still a problem after the big 4. Cap would require moving players whichever option.

The Leafs had 12 players with 10+ goals last year and 6 with 50+ points depth wasn't really an issue at least regular season wise.

But besides that depth players are replaceable that's what makes them depth players no matter how good they are they are always going to be replaceable because they are depth players.

Take Kase for example great signing, great depth player.

If he's not qualifed and he's lost to free agency is he a guy you are going to miss?

Probably not because you can replace him with a Kubalik, or Dylan Strome, or Max Domi, maybe Miles Wood if NJ doesn't qualify him and you are probably better off for it.

The only depth #layer the Leafs have lost that I miss is Brown.

I wish Brown was still here that's it.

I don't even miss Hyman because as he was in Toronto Bunting was even better.
 

Richard88

John 3:16
Jun 29, 2019
19,176
20,805
Leafs with either DK or Gibson would be a better team, but what cost? Depth is still a problem after the big 4. Cap would require moving players whichever option.
Yep, in a cap league contenders with star players all have to make concessions somewhere.

For the Avs they choose to go cheap in goal, with a $5-5.5m tandem, which allows them to have great depth elsewhere.

Toronto have gone cheap on D and in net, and rich on forwards.

Tampa are rich in net but losing forward depth as a result.

Teams have to pick and choose wisely.
 

CanHeDoIt99

Registered User
Mar 14, 2022
370
488
It is not dislike. He is simply erratic at times. I don't believe that even his most ardent supporters can argue otherwise.

The thing is - every single goalie is like this. Vasi round 1 as a whole wasn't good, shesh had a hart trophy season head to head with AM derailed by a few bad weeks at the tail end if the season.

And then every other goalie has larger ups and downs. Those are the two elite guys having them- for everyone else it's worse.

Goaltending is weird- there is a lot of variance unfortunately.
 
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Aurinko

Registered User
Apr 1, 2015
3,423
2,227
Finland
I do argue the Stanley Cup win has made Kuemper a viable playoffs goalie. There are not many teams where he would have been under more pressure. He's now battle proven.
 
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AlexBrovechkin8

At least there was 2018.
Sponsor
Feb 18, 2012
26,892
25,403
District of Champions
What's the latest?

Who will he play for (realistically)?
Not sure how true this is or how well connected these guys are but this was posted on the Caps board.

NorthStar
Toronto and Edmonton must both be ready to pivot in the event Campbell signs elsewhere. Kuemper is the next best option, but there seems to be growing sentiment that his eyes are on Washington after helping Colorado win the Stanley Cup last month.
 

tomd

Registered User
Apr 23, 2003
9,206
4,791
Visit site
Nope, they were clearly talking about Gibson. They mentioned the SoCal weather difference as one of the reasons.
I'm in SoCal and this has never been mentioned...if he nixed a trade to Buffalo it would have been all over the Anaheim board.
 

Richard88

John 3:16
Jun 29, 2019
19,176
20,805
I do argue the Stanley Cup win has made Kuemper a viable playoffs goalie. There are not many teams where he would have been under more pressure. He's now battle proven.
Ironically the Avs themselves don't seem to agree. He was awful in the playoffs, and the Avs won in spite of him, not because of him.
 
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Aurinko

Registered User
Apr 1, 2015
3,423
2,227
Finland
Ironically the Avs themselves don't seem to agree. He was awful in the playoffs, and the Avs won in spite of him, not because of him.
Hey, the Av's would keep him, but not pay 6m+. Its a xoin toss weather he is worth it. I swear they would lock him for 4M.
 

Richard88

John 3:16
Jun 29, 2019
19,176
20,805
Hey, the Av's would keep him, but not pay 6m+. Its a xoin toss weather he is worth it. I swear they would lock him for 4M.
If he had been stellar in the playoffs they'd have a lot more reason to keep him at $6m. Clearly not worth it though based on his play.
 

CupInSIX

My cap runneth over
Jul 1, 2012
26,283
18,254
Alphaville
I think the Leafs' best bet is making a big offer for Varly with 500k retained, and trading Holl and a 3rd for Blackwood.

Edmonton would be happy with Kuemper at 6.5M, I think.
 

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