Proposal: bernmeister blueprint if NYR tried to get 2OA-5OA + what that could look like

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bernmeister

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Premise: Rangers should move Andersson [hitch their wagon to Chytil], and some vets and swap picks to upgrade w/mo/better draft selections. Seems they can acquire picks 2-5. Basis for each trade in following posts so OP is not too large.
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1. Zibanejad 5.35 x 4 + Andersson elc + Buchnevich elc + G Georgiev elc .792,500 x 2 + Rangers 2018 3rd [70OA] to CAROLINA for Canes 2018 1st = 2OA + 2018 2nd = 42OA + Hanfin rfa + G Darling 4.15 x 4 + RD McKeown .745 x 2
5 for 5 assets, cap close enough to neutral

2. Skjei rfa + 9OA [NYR 1st] + 39OA [Rangers 2nd] + 48OA [Devils 2nd]
for Mon. 1st 3OA + Mon. 2019 1st unprotected
Explanation: the core deal has Skjei + 9OA going for 3OA +. The + by Mon. is required or no deal. Habs are split but due to min depth seem leaning to deal 3OA if there is both a considerable piece AND a top 10 this draft coming back. Return from NYR fits the bill, but something more needs to go to NY.
Until it is clear EXACTLY what is a better fit for the balance of that deal, the bold is a placeholder. IF Mon. surrenders next year’s 1st, Rangers would surrender both those 2nds this year. The rationale there is Skjei is worth betw. 5-9OA so 3OA is more, NY has to add, the 2018 1st, is presumed to be equal to next year, but this year is a better draft and NY has to wait; so Habs add. But they are not equal adds, hence Rangers add 2 2nds this year.
Again, bold is a placeholder of something to be determined.
Both sides likely reasonable enuf, negotiate to finalize a deal with the core + something to be determined.

3. Zucarello 4.5 expiring to Calgary for rights to RD Fox, with conditional add on applicable 2021 covering small chance if he walks.

4. TB 2018 1st [28OA] + NYR 2019 1st + TB 2019 2nd [can morph into a 1st] + Marc Staal 5.7 x 3 to Sens for OTT 2018 1st 4OA + cap dump W Ryan, 7.25m x 4.

5. Pionk elc + Namest. rfa + Boston 2018 1st [26OA] for AZ 2018 1st [5OA]

6. DeAngelo elc + Spooner rfa + NYR 2020 2nd for BUF 2018 2nd [32OA] + 2019 2nd

7. Smith 4.35 at half =2.175 x 3 + (righty RD prospect) Zbrovsky elc to NASHVILLE for RD Subban [9m x 4]

8. Something with Dallas around Bigras for Pitlick

COMMENTS:
There is a temptation to delve even farther off the deep end and do Ryan for Seabrook and 8OA+. It should be resisted, b’c more salary [only 6.875 but 2 extra yrs] aside, Seabs has less mobility than Ryan, whose biggest negative to his game is his hands. Seabs is more of a pylon and although it is a decent bet the next CBA around the corner will have at least one amnesty buyout, there is still a risk with any large contract being delayed until then.

Lundqvist does not want to leave NY and loves the Rangers. If he were willing to take one for the team, I would trade him to Islanders for the 11th and 12th OA selections they have this year, plus acceptable cap dump [possibly Ladd?]. The idea here is it would be the equivalent of presumably a 1 year rental. That is, Hank would agree to 1 yr, and no promises thereafter. He helps Isles on cup run, and can stay if he wants; if not, he returns by trade to Rangers, forcing LL’s hand by threatening to retire if nec.
At that time, Rangers would make deal w/Isles after next season for balance of Hank’s contract. If teams don’t agree on what that is per year given where Lundqvist will be [will his game have diminished noticeably by then or will he still more or less have it?] and also being stuck w/balance of Ladd contract, if applicable. If Lundqvist retires, no compensation, after suitable interval, he returns to Rangers. If he is dealt back to Rangers for final years they pay adequate compensation, as valued at that future time. That said I think Hank w/his NMC stays with NYR.

Summary Rangers acquire useful assets. Next season’s lineup does not have to do more than set up for competing the following one, so stop gap measures are fine. That said, NY acquires picks 2, 3, 4, 5 and 32OA for 2018 [32OA they may trade for a 2019 1st +], all presumed to be on the farm for the following year, plus additional assets.

Sign two placeholders: JVR, who wants to come here we think and can shoot, but defense? 1 yr small overpay 5.5-6m. Also return Grabner, top dollar at not 2 yrs same deal, but 1 yr, w/club option to extend 1 yr. Buyout clause if legal, probably safe not to break down over short term but take no unnecessary chance.

Roster:
Kreider - Nieves - JVR
Grabner - Hayes - Fast
Vesey - Chytil - Ryan
Gropp - Pitlick - Lettieri
reserves: FA stopgap, but Howden likely 2019 2nd half this season as 3C pushing Chytil to W.
pushing it: Ronning likely too far to go but if he shocks in camp, be ready
follow up: Also, post AV, give Kreider and Nieves a fair chance to see if they use their speed to get something extra – synergy!
Hanifin - Subban
stopgap - Shattenkirk
Gilmour - McKeown possibly Fox
reserves: stopgaps
pushing it: Rykov, Hajek, Lindgren, Day
follow up: assumes the above pushing it are not ready until late if at all this year. But as soon as they are, 2 LD slots are readily ready.
Hank [unless he consents to the extremely unlikely 1% scenario above]; Darling
follow up: once Allaire works his magic, move Darling to a team that has had an injury and must risk acquisition to not sacrifice season. We have enough good G prospects for Benny to refocus upon. We have ample netminder prospects we can experiment as backup if nec.
 

bernmeister

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Zibanejad 5.35 x 4 + Andersson elc + Buchnevich elc + G Georgiev elc .792,500 x 2 + Rangers 2018 3rd [70OA] to CAROLINA for Canes 2018 1st = 2OA + 2018 2nd = 42OA + Hanfin rfa + G Darling 4.15 x 4 + RD McKeown .745 x 2
5 for 5 assets, cap close enough to neutral
Canes prefer to bust out, but need enough return to do so.
Right shot first line F Zib on good contract at nice term; then add former 7OA Andy and good bet to break out Buch and you are there. NY backscratches by adding another elc young netminder who will be part of goaltending solution while removing disaster Darling. Huge help to CAR $ wise since Georgiev and McKeown are a wash, and Zib financed by Darling exit. Not unimportant, Canes need release valve for salary pressure on Pesce, Slavin, and others, which this deal facilitates w/2 top 6 Fs on elc who contribute immediately.
Rangers need to gamble on more difference makers, more elite talent
The 2OA gives them a shot at a Laine type scorer. Hanifin, unclear how high his ceiling is but has been broken in by club w/strong backline. NY has 4 emerging LD prospects [Rykov, Lindgren, Hajek, Day]; first to emerge joins Hani and Skjei, both who should be extended at least 6 years to drive down annual rate. McKeown is RD prospect, Rangers thin there. Darling is a mystery, but if goaltending guru coach Benoit Allaire can fix Pavelec, he can solve anything. Once he does, we will ship Darl-meister out to top bidder early 2019 for futures. Small bump of third to a second.
 

bernmeister

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Skjei rfa + 9OA [NYR 1st] + 39OA [Rangers 2nd] + 48OA [Devils 2nd]
for Mon. 1st 3OA + Mon. 2019 1st unprotected
Explanation: the core deal has Skjei + 9OA going for 3OA +. The + by Mon. is required or no deal. Habs are split but due to min depth seem leaning to deal 3OA if there is both a considerable piece AND a top 10 this draft coming back. Return from NYR fits the bill, but something more needs to go to NY.
Until it is clear what is a better fit for the balance of that deal, the bold is a placeholder. IF Mon. surrenders next year’s 1st, Rangers would surrender both those 2nds this year. The rationale there is Skjei is worth betw. 5-9OA so 3OA is more, NY has to add, the 2018 1st, is presumed to be equal to next year, but this year is a better draft and NY has to wait; so Habs add. But they are not equal adds, hence Rangers add 2 2nds this year.
Skjei a very, very strong skater LD who actually plays d, barely entering his prime at 24, helps get Montreal defense back on track and anchors it for 6 or so years. 9OA means a 2nd young asset for Habs in top ten. Rangers gamble on higher pick = better asset, Canadiens play is quality with depth. As said above, there are additional secondary pieces which have to be finalized, represented by the placeholders above paragraph.
 

bernmeister

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Zucarello 4.5 expiring to Calgary for rights to RD Fox, with conditional add on applicable 2021 covering small chance if he walks.
The value of Zuc is a 2018 1st around 15-22, approx.; Panthers not biting with FL 2018 1st [15OA]. You can gamble due to injury another team will pay more at the deadline, but acquiring club gets more use out of rental at start of season than after its start. Flames get good productive guy, 1 full yr rental w/inside track to extend. Fox has high upside, but said he would definitely go back to Harvard and is a legit risk to go college UFA, esp since CAL has stacked RD side. For Flames, worst is they get likely shot in the arm w/Zuc one year only, and a couple of years later, have to pony up a pick if Fox walks, but that is a greater risk with them than with a club like Rangers who need RD. For NYR the gain is RD sooner than later even if not immediately, although they too have some risk Fox walks and they would have to wait for conditional compensation.
 

bernmeister

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TB 2018 1st [28OA] + NYR 2019 1st + TB 2019 2nd [can morph into a 1st] + Marc Staal 5.7 x 3 to Sens for OTT 2018 1st 4OA + cap dump W Ryan, 7.25m x 4.
Tale of two trades, a hockey deal favoring Rangers and a $ deal favoring Sens. It is a late 1st + something next year x 2 for a premium pick. While Sens could use another top asset, if they hit plus add twice next draft, they could be just as well off as overall depth seems thin. Staal, returning closer to home roots, can still handle 3LD if not excess mins esp in correct system [not AV hybrid D]. More importantly, this is final year of wince factor on buyout of his contract; next season, his buyout is uber cheap. Ryan, conversely, has possible worst contract other than Seabrook, for mo $ and longer term. Shedding Ryan now will make it easier to either extend Karlsson, or more flexibility to deal him.
 

GoldiFox

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No to all #2 offers. NYR doesn’t have a piece even close to suitable as a centerpiece for Svechnikov.

Canes have the pieces to add anyone they want off of NYR without giving up a cornerstone piece (Svechnikov, Aho, Slavin, Necas). They need quality not quantity.
 
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bernmeister

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Pionk elc + Namest. rfa + Boston 2018 1st [26OA] for AZ 2018 1st [5OA]
RD Pionk is heady, provides actual RD immediate stabilizing influence, w/productive, mistake free game on a bad team. Namest. is type of vet F add who looks good with Galch. as ‘yotes make push, and the pair is not bad to still have a 1st round pick after dropping 11 spots. Rangers will gamble on a better prospect.
 

Ceremony

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Where's that guy on the NHL board asking why it's so difficult to make trades. Let's see his thoughts.
 

bernmeister

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DeAngelo elc + Spooner rfa + NYR 2020 2nd for BUF 2018 2nd [32OA] + 2019 2nd
Sabres want new blood and some immediate improvement without gutting future. DeAngelo former 19OA is actual RD with high skillset esp on offense, just needs to continue learning NHL defense; he quietly was good soldier down to biz while under AV. Righty shot Spooner needs to improve defensively, but seems to chip a few here and there very quietly, good middle 6 C-RW. Rangers will take a second now and one next year, Sabes get a 2nd from Rangers year after that.
 

bernmeister

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Smith 4.35 at half =2.175 x 3 + (righty RD prospect) Zbrovsky elc to NASHVILLE for RD Subban [9m x 4]
This deal works under the assumption that cap space is at a premium for Nashville and they consider moving PK to make space for Karlsson. There is an eventual possible risk if something happens to Webber, some of it may come from Preds’ hide. Other than that plus Josi and Ellis are both getting nice raises, and that has to come from somewhere, and Preds will want cap to beef up the front, there is no firm basis to move PK. (If he is involved for Karlsson, Sens will undoubtedly press Preds to retain, but this move eliminates Subban, thus defeats that problem.) There is rumor he has a big ego and is ‘high maintenance’ from locker room perspective, but no basis to think he is a malcontent. Smith showed he could command the deal he got, then unprofessionally showed up fat, and had to be shipped out to make an example. Even if he has no pride, obviously players prefer the NHL to any minor league, so he has incentive to seek fresh start. Smith is lefty who can plan right. He can fit as a 3rd pair or 7th. Toughness is a given, the rest of it may be a matter of system fit, but Preds are very good with backliners. So Smith is a year less term, and retained is roughly a quarter the salary. That’s an immediate savings of almost $7mil annually with options to generate still more cap. Smith can theoretically be moved if necessary, promptly if retained, or for value once he demonstrates return to form. Zbrovsky is a freebie throw in. Rangers will gamble and get talented RD needed, plus futures, plus move Smith.
 

bernmeister

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Something with Dallas around Bigras for Pitlick
Pitlick strikes me as Jesper Fast lite, and RDs are in short supply. So Stars okay to move bottom 6er for gamble on possible 3RD if big-meister can get over his concussion issues and develop.
 

SML2

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Bern, I'm worried about you. It's like you're a mad scientist who doesn't work on science. Can't you use focus this amount of effort into building a weather machine so you can take over the world?
 

bernmeister

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No to all #2 offers. NYR doesn’t have a piece even close to suitable as a centerpiece for Svechnikov.

Canes have the pieces to add anyone they want off of NYR without giving up a cornerstone piece (Svechnikov, Aho, Slavin, Necas). They need quality not quantity.

I get you prefer to keep 2OA.
Svech is not can't miss, but obv. I consider worth the gamble.

Svech is not likely to be available day 1.
Andersson, Buch and most importantly Zib are
Svech [+ Hanifin etc] may ultimately be more than the NY package but arguably that is not in the short term.

Do this deal, and you only need another G, arguably you are top contender for East Conf/cup final appearance.

No, the rest of your assets do not command a deal for any piece on NYR. You want Zib, cough it up.
 

Zippy316

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Obligatory

charlie-conspiracy-470x310@2x.jpg
 

go comets

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Carolina laughs at that disaster......Carolina needs top line elite talent... Exactly what #2OA will give them.
 

GoldiFox

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I get you prefer to keep 2OA.
Svech is not can't miss, but obv. I consider worth the gamble.

Svech is not likely to be available day 1.
Andersson, Buch and most importantly Zib are
Svech [+ Hanifin etc] may ultimately be more than the NY package but arguably that is not in the short term.

Do this deal, and you only need another G, arguably you are top contender for East Conf/cup final appearance.

No, the rest of your assets do not command a deal for any piece on NYR. You want Zib, cough it up.

Svechnikov is likely to be available day 1 and Georgiev is not a realistic option as a NHL starter right now.

You wouldn’t deal Zib for Hanifin, Pesce, or Lindholm? I’m not sure I’d do a combo of those pieces as a Canes fan.
 
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bernmeister

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Bern, I'm worried about you.
It's nice to know you care.
I wish you all the best as well. Seriously.

It's like you're a mad scientist who doesn't work on science. Can't you use focus this amount of effort into building a weather machine so you can take over the world?
This type of creativity, is a power that can only be used for good, not evil. Never piss off the Man upstairs.

In answer to Bobby Lamm's question [the group Chicago]
will you try to change things
with the power that you have
the power of a million new ideas?

my answer is yes.
someday my theory on how to solve roughly half the problems of the world by restructuring the international monetary system

but that is for another day.

What is immediately our focus is NYR and the draft:laugh:
 

bernmeister

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Svechnikov is likely to be available day 1 and Georgiev is not a realistic option as a NHL starter right now.

You wouldn’t deal Zib for Hanifin, Pesce, or Lindholm? I’m not sure I’d do a combo of those pieces as a Canes fan.

Svech MIGHT be there day 1, but look at Draisatil. NHL level skating etc, he looked lost day 1 and Oil had to nurture him along for several months. You might be right but it is not a given.

You underrate Zib.
Those guys are all that and a bag of chips, but so is Zib, who is a righty shot.
 

bernmeister

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Canes ALSO need F depth w/out robbing Peter to pay Paul

Zib is enough to fill the bill, + Andy + Buch +

Also Georgiev while taking 4+m disaster Darling off your hands is a major consideration. Georgiev may/not turn into true 1G but his brief sample left nothing to not like. Yes, you have to add, but this provides immediate elc stopgap that is useful part of the equation.

-------
Off to praise the Lord this fine Sun am.
later friends, later.
 
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