Flames Draft Watcher said:
Trying to judge prospects by stats is an exercise in futility IMO. If you haven't seen them play or haven't read scouting reports by those who have then you've got nothing.
I don't agree. I think you can make some prettty good inferences from statistical analysis... provided, of course, that you're using the stats as a guideline rather than as the be-all-and-end-all, and that you're charting progress or regression based on stats.
For example, at New Year's, Ellis was 19-11-1 for Shawinigan, with a 3.02 GAA and a .893 save percentage. Since then, he's made 18 starts, gone 10-5-1, reduced his GAA to 2.83 and raised his save percentage to .903. So I can see by those stats that there is some basis for Ellis' rise in the esteem of scouts and draft watchers.
Something that escaped me, however, until I started tracking stats for all goalies, was that Gatineau's Gabriel Bouthillette (at 6-04, 200 pounds) has gone undefeated in his last 16 starts since Halloween, going 12-0-1 with a 1.81 GAA and a .924 save percentage (
from 2.70 GAA to 2.13, and .889 to .911 save percentage). He's the backup in Gatineau, but that size and those numbers point to him being a better prospect than the 15th (mid-term) ranking in North America would indicate.
Sorry, guys, but I live in Rockford, Illinois, and the amount of hockey information we get through the regular media here is virtually nonexistent. The local UHL team gets very spotty coverage (good one day, a couple of grafs the next), and you never hear about college hockey despite the presence of a pretty good and well-respected UW-Madison club an hour to the north (
with Blues' prospect Ryan MacMurchy).
By contrast, the basketball team at UW went to the NCAA tourney, and that got front-page coverage...
Tracking stats, and drawing inferences from them, are almost
all I that have to go on. The wife frowns on my spending hundreds of dollars to subscribe to McKeens, RedLine, Russian Prospects, etc., and no one wants to put scouting reports out on the 'Net for free, so what's a draftnik to do?
PrussianBlue