I would argue that his ESTOI is high because he was line matched against the opposing top line (which gets the most ice time).
So? A 1st line center can't be also be a shutdown center? Tell that to Datsyuk, Mikko Koivu, and Plekanec. All of them are the #1 centers on their teams and regularly match up against the opponents' top lines.
And Colorado also dumped a lot of the harder match-up duty and defensive zone draws on McClement. O'Reilly wasn't the only guy they turned to against the opponent's scoring lines.
As for the production of his linemates, one is shooting machine Calder-winning Gabriel Landeskog. Got it. The other is Daniel Winnik, who is essentially Chimera, or Steve Downie, who we know well. None of the Avs wingers are that great; Hejduk is old, McGinn came in late and hot, but tapered toward the end of the season; David Jones is inconsistent and can't hit the net, etc. Landeskog is a talent for sure, but from watching those games, I can tell you that line scored greasy goals. Work in the corners and driving the net type goals. It's not like O'Reilly was lined up with snipers. In fact, the only player Colorado has who really fits that bill is Hejduk.
He spent time with Hejduk (and to a far lesser extenet, Mueller and Olver) between his stint with Winnik at the beginning of the season and Downie at the end. The only guys he didn't really get to play with were Jones (who has chemistry with Stastny) and McGinn (and Duchene during his short lived experiment of playing on the wing).
So he started with Winnik, an defensive forward/checker. Once it became clear that he and Landeskog were able to produce, they were paired with more offensive fowards (Hejduk and Downie namely). Their top point producing winger was Landeskog. Their second highest was Downie. Hejduk was tied with McGinn and Jones for the 3rd most points from a Colorado winger. So he played with the #1, #2, and #3 highest scoring wingers on Colorado.
Once again, how is he not their #1 center last season?
When you get a guy who can help long-term AND now, I don't see the problem with moving immediately. What's wrong with getting a guy who can help now and in the future? Again, I'm not advocating a rental. O'Reilly is 21 and has 4 more years of service until UFA.
Completely irrelevant to what I was saying. You negated all those wingers as possibilities because they're not available
right now. Who cares if those wingers aren't available immediately?
That's not what I meant. I meant that when Ribeiro does leave or get old, you have a guy who you know is ready to step in and take his place. I'm not counting on Johansson to be that guy.
Go build a roster with both Ribeiro and O'Reilly on it. See what it looks like. There's essentially no money left over to spend on anything else. Both long term and short term.
I don't think they're mutually exclusive options, and acquiring O'Reilly would allow the Caps to ice a very strong two-way third line (assuming Chimera hasn't hit the wall) and a top shutdown 4th line, all while moving Laich back into the top 6, filling one of the wing holes (without arguing whether another option could fill that hole better).
I don't buy Laich as a better top six option than what we have. His production has always come on the powerplay, not even strength.
2011-2012: Laich was 8th on the team with 10 ESG (behind Ovie, Semin, Chimera, Brouwer, Perreault, Johansson, and 42 games of Nicklas Backstrom)
2010-2011: Laich was 6th on the team with 11 ESG (behind Ovechkin, Semin, Knuble, Backstrom, and Arnott*)
2009-2010: Laich was T-8th on the team with 12 ESG (behind Ovie, Semin, Knuble, Backstrom, Fehr, Fleischmann, and Chimera*, and tied with Belanger*)
*Counting goals scored before being traded to Caps
Colorado put in competitive bids for both Parise and Suter this summer, according to Dater. They're not cash-strapped.
Dater will say whatever makes Colorado look good.