Playoff scenarios
There are currently 3 races going into the final weekend. Here's the details:
2nd place: MRU and Alberta
The teams play one another in a two game home-and-home series. MRU is ahead by one point and in head-to-head play lead 3-2 on points. To end up tied, Alberta would have to win the series 3-2 on points, meaning they would be tied 5-5 on points. So we need to go to the tie-breaking criteria here:
http://www.canadawest.org/member_info/Ice_Hockey_-_Men_2015-16_FINAL_-1-.PDF
The teams would be even in wins, so GF-GA would be used. Alberta leads that by 11 so unless MRU wins by 12 and loses by 1, Alberta would get it.
So, MRU needs a regulation win to ensure 2nd place.
4th place: Manitoba, Calgary, and UBC
Manitoba and Calgary each have 26 points and are assured of playoff berths. UBC has 24 points and could finish from 4th to 7th. Manitoba plays at UBC, Calgary plays home-and-home with Lethbridge.
Manitoba beat Calgary 8-0 on points. UBC beat Calgary 5-4 on points. UBC leads Manitoba 3-2 on points.
A 3-way tie could happen if UBC beats Manitoba twice in overtime and Calgary gets 2 points against Lethbridge (either one win and one loss, or two OTLs). If so, it would be Manitoba 4th, UBC 5th, and Calgary 6th.
Here are the various scenarios:
Manitoba wins 4-0 or 4-1 on points:
- Manitoba gets 4th, Calgary 5th, UBC or Lethbridge 6th.
Manitoba wins 4-2 on points:
- Manitoba gets 4th.
- If Calgary gets 1 or more points, they are 5th and UBC 6th.
- If Calgary gets 0 points, UBC gets 5th and Calgary 6th.
Manitoba wins 3-2 points:
- If Calgary gets 4 points they get 4th, Manitoba 5th, and UBC 6th.
- If Calgary gets 3 points or less Manitoba gets 4th.
- If Calgary gets from 1 to 3 points, they are 5th and UBC 6th.
- If Calgary gets 0 points, UBC is 5th and Calgary 6th.
Manitoba and UBC split with 3 points each:
- If Calgary gets 4 points, they are 4th, Manitoba 5th, and UBC 6th.
- If Calgary gets 3 points or less, Manitoba is 4th.
- If Calgary gets 2 or 3 points, they are 5th and UBC 6th.
- If Calgary gets 0 or 1 point(s), UBC is 5th and Calgary 6th.
Manitoba and UBC split with 2 points each:
- If Calgary gets 3 or 4 points, they are 4th, Manitoba 5th, and UBC 6th.
- If Calgary gets 2 points or less, Manitoba is 4th.
- If Calgary gets 1 or 2 points, they are 5th and UBC 6th.
- If Calgary gets 0 points, UBC is 5th and Calgary 6th.
UBC wins 3-2 on points:
- If Calgary gets 3 or 4 points, they are 4th, Manitoba 5th, and UBC 6th.
- If Calgary gets 2 points or less, Manitoba is 4th.
- If Calgary gets 2 points, they are 5th and UBC 6th.
- If Calgary gets 0 or 1 point(s), UBC is 5th and Calgary 6th.
UBC wins 4-2 on points:
- If Calgary gets 3 or 4 points, they are 4th, UBC 5th, and Manitoba 6th.
- If Calgary gets 2 points, the 3-way tie applies, i.e. Manitoba 4th, UBC 5th, Calgary 6th.
- If Calgary gets 0 or 1 point(s), UBC is 4th, Manitoba 5th, and Calgary 6th.
UBC wins 4-1 on points:
- If Calgary gets 3 or 4 points, they are 4th, UBC 5th, and Manitoba 6th.
- If Calgary gets 2 points, UBC is 4th, Calgary 5th, and Manitoba 6th.
- If Calgary gets 0 or 1 point(s), UBC is 4th, Manitoba 5th, and Calgary 6th.
UBC wins 4-0 on points:
- If Calgary gets 3 or 4 points, they are 4th, UBC 5th, and Manitoba 6th.
- If Calgary gets 1 or 2 points, UBC is 4th, Calgary 5th, and Manitoba 6th.
- If Calgary gets 0 point, UBC is 4th, Manitoba 5th, and Calgary 6th.
6th place: UBC and Lethbridge
UBC has 24 points and Lethbridge has 21. Lethbridge won the season series 8-2 on points.
If Lethbridge get 2 or fewer points, UBC is 6th and Lethbridge 7th.
If Lethbridge gets 3 points and UBC gets 1 or more points, UBC is 6th and Lethbridge 7th.
If Lethbridge gets 3 points and UBC gets 0 points, Lethbridge is 6th and UBC 7th.
If Lethbridge gets 4 points and UBC gets 2 or more points, UBC is 6th and Lethbridge 7th.
If Lethbridge gets 4 points and UBC gets 0 or 1 point(s), Lethbridge is 6th and UBC 7th.