Rabid Ranger
2 is better than one
I'm not clear on why Larkin is held in such little regard-even from purely a statistical analysis point of view. He put up very good numbers this year and didn't play with the "Big 3" on the u18 team.
Any statistical model that has Brayden Point in the 4th round has flat out failed. There are reasons he might not be a 1st rounder but those reasons shouldn't show up in a purely statistical model (size and speed).
I'm guessing he gets hammered in your system for his +-, but that doesn't take into account? he played on one of the worst teams in junior hockey. Without Point Moose Jaw is nearly (not quite) Lethbridge bad.
I'm not clear on why Larkin is held in such little regard-even from purely a statistical analysis point of view. He put up very good numbers this year and didn't play with the "Big 3" on the u18 team.
Size is considered a stat. If he had been above 6'0 (the source I had listed him as 5'9), he would be a bottom first/top second rounder. And yes - playing on a poor team and not having a significant difference in +- compared to his teammates was also a factor.
Interesting, did not notice that your model included size. That's quite unusual. Makes a little more sense now.
It's still problematic to me judging players on pure stats, Point is a playmaker who plays on a team with basically no other good offensive players. That might be a little harsh on some of the other guys on that team but it's not far off. Also playing huge minutes on a terrible team is going to kill your +- just as much as the guys with liitle talent who play 10 mins/gm.
Size is considered a stat. If he had been above 6'0 (the source I had listed him as 5'9), he would be a bottom first/top second rounder. And yes - playing on a poor team and not having a significant difference in +- compared to his teammates was also a factor.
To be considered in higher regard, Larkin should have been part of the "Big 3."