When a team plays the "right way" by controlling the puck, and the play through puck possession, then the odds favour a more favourable outcome with a team giving itself a better chance to win by that style.
Its not simply viewing this as a 1 off example, seeing a loss in the boxscore and writing it off as meaningless, but rather promising in the big picture.
If Carey Price is not in the opposition net and Leafs play that same game/style I say they could realistically win 6 of every 10 games or play .600 hockey playing the "right way". That equates to a 98.6 point season over 82 games on average = playoff opportunity by playing that style.
When you outshoot, outplay, outwork and outchange your opponent you are not going to win every game, but you should win more than you lose as the sample size increases.
Lets not forget everyone would suggest this is a bottom 5 team on talent level currently and as that increases while playing this way it will be even easier to come out on top of the final score.
Note that approximately 2-3 Top 10 Corsi teams will miss the playoffs this year. I don't care about winning keep away games but I get what you are saying. The odds are better.
Personally, I think good possession numbers likely come from having a good team. I don't think a team can play keep away and become a Cup contender. They need the talent to go along with it to take possession into dangerous areas and convert.
My favourite stat is Goal Differential not because of what it tells us but because of how we could use in the same way as folks use Corsi.
Rank Corsi teams and see that you have a good representation of playoff teams from those that are good at Corsi… with some major exceptions but we can call them outliers.
Rank all teams according to goal differential and you get something even more impressive. The Top 16 times in goal differential will make the playoffs with but 1 or 2 exceptions. If you outscore your opponents, you generally win and you have an even better chance to make the playoffs.
But it's kind of useless isn't it? I mean going out with a plan to outscore the opponent is the plan that every team has. Same as playing keep away. It comes down to talent, drive, determination, and team unity (here we go with the Beards again) to make that happen. Those stats are a function of what happened.
I liked the way the Leafs played last night. They had speed and effort. That's all we can ask for at this stage.
Babcock won't have results like Detroit until the Leafs have talent like Detroit.