Kyle Connor's NHLe using his season at NCAA:
26 goals + 27 assists = 53 points in 82 games
This is a better NHLe than for instance William Nylander's, who did have 13 points in 22 NHL games. It's also a better NHLe than Mikko Rantanen's.
Considering what I've seen of him as well as his skill set as a whole, I'd be surprised if he started anywhere but with Jets.
A good comparison would be Jack Eichel, right? Let's see.
Eichel scored 24+32=56 in 81 games in NHL.
His NHLe for that season was
18 goals + 30 assists = 48 points in 82 games.
Hence, Connor's NHLe is also better than Eichel's was before his 56p season. It's also better than Matthews's, for the record.