It's a tight, capped league.
They got abnormally terrible goalie play this year.
They got abnormally terrible PP play this year.
They got zero hot seasons, or even significant streaks, from any skater on the roster besides Vanek.
All kinds of established players had abnormally bad seasons. People hate Abdelkader, but he's not a
two ES goal guy. Helm's more than a 6 ES goal guy. Nyquist is more than a 10 goal guy. Nielsen's more than a 14 goal guy.
There's plenty of room for the younger players to give a little more, even avoiding OD'ing on mythical upside. Mantha, Larkin, AA... all of them have plenty of space to become more consistent, as players tend to do as they mature.
And there's always the offseason, this year especially. If Detroit can shift a significant contract either through trade or through the expansion draft, they can bring in a substantial piece.
Yeah... No. Last year we had Datsyuk, who was better than Zetterberg. Now we have Zetterberg and no one else even close. I'd give this team a 15% chance of making the playoffs next year and that means that teams ahead of us ALL got worse. That means Tampa, Florida, Islanders, Carolina, Philly, Buffalo all fail to improve, even thought they all have more talent than we do. I don't see it.
Enh. Nowadays teams' level vacillates so quickly it's impossible to say who'll be rising and falling out of the big glop of teams in the middle of the NHL. Columbus is already 25 points better than they were last year. Were there a lot of people picking that outcome before the season started? Florida is 33 points down, Dallas is 41 points down, Edmonton is 17 points up, and that's just the big movers. Lots of other teams are up or down 10+ points and there wasn't a lot to suggest it was going to happen.
Detroit's 24 points down with 10 games to go, so they'll probably finish ~14 back of last years point totals. Just getting league average goalie play and PP and they'd be right back in that 7/8 race again, easily.