Bills. Believing they’ll come down some and the Patriots will close the gap is perfectly reasonable and likely. Believing they’ll close a six game gap with a rookie QB and pass them to win the division is laughable. You have to legit believe that both the Pats got 4 games better and the Bills got 3 games worse…even though the Bills schedule is way easier than last year.
It’s the one point about potential Allen regression I never see anyone bring up. He can regress and still put up the same season because last year he faced top pass defenses over and over (like…7 out of 10…and beat most of them btw). This year his schedule is rated third easiest in the league. He could play “worse” and we wouldn’t even notice in the numbers.