Who has a better shot: MacKinnon or McDavid?

Who has a better shot?


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Steven Toast

Registered User
Apr 3, 2019
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Sol System
Context.

Nathan Mackinnon:
  • 525 GP, 190 goals, 0.36 GPG.
  • 1896 shots, 3.6 shots per game, S% 10.0.

Connor McDavid
  • 351 GP, 162 goals, 0.46 GPG.
  • 1082 shots, 3.1 shots per game, S% 15.0.

So Mac shoots more per game, scores less per game. McDavids S% is 50% higher than Mack. A 10% shot is right around league average, while 15% is quite high.
 

Voodoo Child

Registered User
Jun 16, 2009
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f01HR49_JcY4InEkpEQFfe6jVVI76QwuEIndoqLd22o.png
 

Filthy Dangles

Registered User*
Oct 23, 2014
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In terms of pure marksmanship and shooting ability, I'd give the edge to MacKinnon. He has legit One-timer from the tops of the circles, and has a more lethal wrist shot from distance.

But he's not a better goal scorer. McDavid gets to the high danger areas better than anyone else and finishes as good as anyone else so he doesn't need as lethal a shot to rack up the goals.
 

Filthy Dangles

Registered User*
Oct 23, 2014
28,562
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Context.

Nathan Mackinnon:
  • 525 GP, 190 goals, 0.36 GPG.
  • 1896 shots, 3.6 shots per game, S% 10.0.

Connor McDavid
  • 351 GP, 162 goals, 0.46 GPG.
  • 1082 shots, 3.1 shots per game, S% 15.0.

So Mac shoots more per game, scores less per game. McDavids S% is 50% higher than Mack. A 10% shot is right around league average, while 15% is quite high.

thats flawed logic. MacKinnon is more of a volume shooter and takes more shots from distance, of course his Sh% will be Lower.

Does McD have a better shot than Ovechkin and his 12% career Sh%?
 

KirkAlbuquerque

#WeNeverGetAGoodCoach
Mar 12, 2014
32,605
37,715
New York
MacKinnon has a stronger shot yet McDavid will score more goals because there's more to goalscoring than sniping.

They way you posed the question guarantees MacKinnon will win. If you had asked "who is the better goal scorer" things would be different.
 

The Abusement Park

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Jan 18, 2016
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MacKinnon has a stronger shot yet McDavid will score more goals because there's more to goalscoring than sniping.

They way you posed the question guarantees MacKinnon will win. If you had asked "who is the better goal scorer" things would be different.
I don't know if either one is a better goal scorer than the other really. I mean since Mack broke out him and McDavid have been 40 goal scorers and the difference between them in the last 3 seasons isn't huge at all:

McDavid: 116 goals in 224 games= .51ggp

MacKinnon: 115 goals in 225 games.

In fact McDavid has 1 more goal in 1 less game than MacKinnon over the last 3 seasons, so they are equally as good of goal scorers as each other. They just score their goals in very different ways.
 

Fataldogg

Registered User
Mar 22, 2007
12,388
3,677
MacKinnon has a better shot, but McDavid is still an overall better goal scorer.
 

El Travo

Why are we still here? Just to suffer?
Aug 11, 2015
14,353
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MacKinnon has a better shot but McDavid consistently puts himself in positions where it doesn't matter how good his shot is.
 
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780il

edm
May 29, 2018
12,622
14,463
Edmonton AB
Mackinnon has the better shot, mostly because of Mcdavid pretty much refusing to one time the puck from the circles on the pp and rarely shooting it from distance.

29 better shot, 97 better goal scorer.
 

Regal

Registered User
Mar 12, 2010
24,868
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MacKinnon looks way cooler when he's shooting the puck but McDavid does a much better job of actually scoring on the shots he takes.

Shooting percentage alone doesn't really equate to a better shot unless the two players are shooting in very similar circumstances though.
 

Iggys Dome

Not allowed to say the “R-Word” (rebuild)
Mar 19, 2018
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I'm not using shooting percentage alone; McDavid beats him in shooting percent above expected by every model I've looked at.

And this equates to him having a better shot how? What if he’s simply better at getting into position/using his speed to get into better positions to score? I’m not sure how purely looking at statistical models helps in this context.
 
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CantLoseWithMatthews

Registered User
Sep 28, 2015
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And this equates to him having a better shot how? What if he’s simply better at getting into position/using his speed to get into better positions to score? I’m not sure how purely looking at statistical models helps in this context.
because it takes into account how many goals he'd score if he were an average shooter based on where he shoots from on the ice, and he outperforms that number
 

TomasHertlsRooster

Don’t say eye test when you mean points
May 14, 2012
33,360
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Fremont, CA
And this equates to him having a better shot how? What if he’s simply better at getting into position/using his speed to get into better positions to score? I’m not sure how purely looking at statistical models helps in this context.

It helps because these models account for how good the position he is in to score is.
 

Iggys Dome

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34

Registered User
Mar 26, 2010
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MacKinnon’s shot is way better.

McDavid’s shot is not his strong point.
 

thadd

Oil4Life
Jun 9, 2007
26,717
2,718
Canada
Mackinnon has a better shot, but McDavid will always have the better shooting %.
LOL I love this. This is hilarious.
 
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