I’ll be surprised if McDavid ends up having a better career than Ovi and Sid.
One of them was basically a Hart trophy lock for the first 10 years of their careers.
McDavid has already lost multiple Hart’s.
Naw - McDavid is the most realistic one to pace the old guys. He's looking great 5 years in, and even if he falls a bit short (which I expect) at least you can see why it could be close.
Let's say McDavid paces one of Crosby/Ovi. Let's even be generous and say Crosby. Both end up to 10 players of all-time.
ok - but Ovechkin is at worst top 15 all time, maybe even top 10 himself. Who else in group 2 do we expect to end up top 50 all time, let alone top 15?
Malkin himself - he's also top 50. Not top 15, I'd have him in that ~30-40 range all time when he retires. Again - will anyone in group 2 finish so high? I don't see it. Drai is still young and just exploded this year - if he has more of that and has 3-4 more seasons of 120 points, it's not impossible, but still completely unlikely. Mack won't reach that high, nor will Matthews/Eichel.
I think both Stamkos and Kane are having incredible careers, Kane with the extra help with playoffs. I think any of Mackinnon, Matthews, Eichel or Drai could possibly pace/surpass them 2 slightly if they reach the top ceiling of their projections. But - that's their max, and they'd still only be close to Stamkos/Kane. More likely most fall a bit short.
5 vs 5 it just isn't close at all. The young ones won't touch the vets