Weeks 8, 9, 10, 12 are their best chances for wins, so they have to get at least 2 there, likely 3. because after their chances with Houston, Indy, Chicago, Tenn (not sure who they go with at QB at that point in the season), their next best chances to win would be to split TB and defend home field vs ATL.
But, maybe they steal another one late. But, this is very likely a 4/5 win team.
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