There's a lot of talk in the last few days about what to do in the offseason, who to let go and who to try and move forward with. Interesting though that is I kinda wanna get into what's going on here in the next 2 months 
The Coyotes overall points % is: .574 which is tied for 3rd. We would win the tie breaker with regulation wins at this time.
Vancouver is very close though at .568. They are making a big push right now, whether it's sustainable is the question.
My big concern is this:
October Pts% - .625
November Pts% - .562
Dec/Jan Pts% - .526
It would be pretty easy to point at Kuemper, and it's a definite factor, but obviously not all of it. It's moot anyway since Kuemper won't be back till the break, and we don't' know what kinda condition he'll be in.
Right now the team has 54 points, if we take the possible points remaining and add it via total pts % we come out to 94 points. It's possible that's enough depending on what the rest of the Pacific does, but it will be CLOSE.
If we keep rocking this .520 to .560 range though, we'll fall short.
What's missing? Close games. The Coyotes in October and November grabbed a lot of valuable points in losses by playing tough. The Coyotes haven't had a salvage a point game since November 29th.
In October-November the Coyotes in wins, won by an average of 1.93 goals. Since then they have won by 2.3 on average. A nice improvement.
But in losses it's a different story. Through November when the Coyotes lost, they only lost by an average of 1.33 goals. Since, they are losing by an average of 2.4. A massive decline and it predates losing Kuemper.
IMO the team has lost its identity. Through patchwork and adding Taylor Hall they've managed to stay afloat by increasing scoring. But they have lost the ability to stay in games they had no business getting points out of, which was a key advantage of the team earlier in the year. Thus far the scoring increase has helped but only to stop the bleeding, not completely fix things. Also it has seemed to come in bunches due to general streakiness so they run up the score in games and then get whacked in others.
My bottom line is this, without one of those insane months the Coyotes have traditionally put together in January or February, we're gonna fall short. Can we get one of those in a season that wasn't over by October 31st? without Kuemper for around half of that?
The Coyotes overall points % is: .574 which is tied for 3rd. We would win the tie breaker with regulation wins at this time.
Vancouver is very close though at .568. They are making a big push right now, whether it's sustainable is the question.
My big concern is this:
October Pts% - .625
November Pts% - .562
Dec/Jan Pts% - .526
It would be pretty easy to point at Kuemper, and it's a definite factor, but obviously not all of it. It's moot anyway since Kuemper won't be back till the break, and we don't' know what kinda condition he'll be in.
Right now the team has 54 points, if we take the possible points remaining and add it via total pts % we come out to 94 points. It's possible that's enough depending on what the rest of the Pacific does, but it will be CLOSE.
If we keep rocking this .520 to .560 range though, we'll fall short.
What's missing? Close games. The Coyotes in October and November grabbed a lot of valuable points in losses by playing tough. The Coyotes haven't had a salvage a point game since November 29th.
In October-November the Coyotes in wins, won by an average of 1.93 goals. Since then they have won by 2.3 on average. A nice improvement.
But in losses it's a different story. Through November when the Coyotes lost, they only lost by an average of 1.33 goals. Since, they are losing by an average of 2.4. A massive decline and it predates losing Kuemper.
IMO the team has lost its identity. Through patchwork and adding Taylor Hall they've managed to stay afloat by increasing scoring. But they have lost the ability to stay in games they had no business getting points out of, which was a key advantage of the team earlier in the year. Thus far the scoring increase has helped but only to stop the bleeding, not completely fix things. Also it has seemed to come in bunches due to general streakiness so they run up the score in games and then get whacked in others.
My bottom line is this, without one of those insane months the Coyotes have traditionally put together in January or February, we're gonna fall short. Can we get one of those in a season that wasn't over by October 31st? without Kuemper for around half of that?
