What is hockey's equivalent of a 20 point lead in the NBA?

Discussion in 'National Hockey League Talk' started by Rapsfan, Jun 19, 2021.

  1. Rapsfan Registered User

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    20 point leads being blown are very common in the NBA even though it's ~6-10 possessions worth of scoring. How many goal leads in hockey do you consider it a 20 point lead equivalent to the NBA? I would say maybe 3-4 goal lead.
     
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  2. Svencouver Registered User

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    4-1, the most dangerous lead in hockey
     
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  3. I Hate Chris Butler Backlund Fan Club

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    5-0.

    Big enough to seem insurmountable but it has been done.
     
  4. Finlandia WOAT Bench Jones Sponsor

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  5. Ezekial Cheap Pizza, Bad Hockey

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    4 goals, everyone knows a goal in hockey is like 5 points in basketball.
     
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  6. danisonfire 2313 Saint Catherine

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  7. Ace Registered User

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    Puck drop against the Sabres
     
  8. Brownies Registered User

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    I'm really not sure if we're getting trolled with all those NBA related threads. Are you writing a thesis on the NBA vs NHL and slowly getting HFBoards to help on each chapter ?
     
  9. generalshepherd141 Registered User

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    I'd say a 3 goal lead, so each goal is worth like 7ish basketball points.
     
  10. njdevils1982 Hell Toupée!!!

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    /nm
     
    Last edited: Jun 19, 2021
  11. Finlandia WOAT Bench Jones Sponsor

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    I like to give the benefit of the doubt and assume the OP's an NBA fan trying to gain a better understanding of hockey
     
  12. Puckstop40 Registered User

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  13. Rapsfan Registered User

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    I mean people like you are probably what drive other NBA fans transitioning into NHL away from that. Yeah I'm genuinely getting into hockey watching. Also, if you think I troll, I bet you haven't seen most other topics posted here.
     
  14. Brownies Registered User

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    Sorry, no offense I was legitimately wondering. We've had some very subtle (but funny) trolls over the years that posted seemingly valid threads but after 5 or 6 of them you realize they're trolling for obscure reasons. What's the name of that guy with threads digging up weird stats on Crosby, Ovechkin and Laine ?

    Your thread is not a bad question at all : 2 goals seems not enough and 4 too much so I'd go with 3. Still, I always laugh when they say general stuff on TV like : 2 goals leads are the worst in hockey.. I'm pretty sure a 1 goal lead is worst.
     
  15. holy Habs 2021-2022 Cup Champs

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    4 goal lead seems more like a 30-35 point comeback. Those are pretty rare.

    3 goal comebacks happen all the time though.
     
  16. Jetsfan79 Registered User

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    The only way to scientifically answer this is to look up how often an NBA team comes back from 20 points behind. (A percentage)Then you find the equivalent percentage of teams coming back in games they are behind by a certain number of goals in hockey.

    For example. if it's determined 30.47 percent of teams down by 20 in the NBA come back to reach a tie game or slight eclipse of a tie (up to 2 points pass a tie as sometimes an exact tie is not achievable in one single scoring play in basketball)

    and

    30.65 percent of NHL teams down by 2 goals come back to reach a tie game.

    Then this would give you a strong indicator of the equivalence.
     
    Last edited: Jun 19, 2021
  17. Three On Zero Generational Poster

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    Probably a 2 goal lead
     
  18. Nucker101 Foundational Poster

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    With the high variance 3 point shooting in the NBA, I’d say it’s 2 goals


    It’s definitely not more than 3, anyone who’s saying that hasn’t watched the NBA in recent years.
     
  19. Eternal Leaf Registered User

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    It seems like every other game teams are coming back from 15-20 points in the NBA.

    I would say it's similar to a 2-0 lead in hockey.
     
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  20. Lil226 Registered User

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    2, 3 goals tops. I would say about 2.5 is about right
     
  21. McNurse Registered User

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    That would be a pretty sick idea, but I think he might be just a new hockey fan who has switched over from basketball jus asking questions but what do I know haha
     
  22. HITMAN88 Registered User

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    Probably about 2.5 goals lead.
     
  23. DieSendungmitderMaus Registered User

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    This

    Everything else reminds me of some stupid articles being written after the 7-1 in Germany-Brazil 2014 that said "this is like scoring 420 points in an NBA game or 120 points in the NFL!" because Germany scored ~4.5 times as much as an average soccer team and they just multiplied that factor by average NBA and NFL scores, when the correct comparison would've been looking what scores in those leagues happen as often as scoring 7 goals in soccer.

    /tangent, but yeah, if NBA teams blowing 20 point leads isn't super rare (seems like a big if), calling the hockey equivalent 3 goals is wrong, because that IS incredibly rare.
     
  24. AvroArrow #LeafsFanWhoLostABet

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    About a 3 goal lead. Basketball is different, it's a game of runs/streaks. Teams go on like 8-0, 10-2 etc run regularly every game so it's kinda tough to compare. But if we're comparing to the Jazz from last night, it's like blowing a 3 goal lead.
     
  25. soothsayer Registered User

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    As a huge basketball fan myself, I say 2 goal lead--enough to think the outcome is likely, but there's no way you're turning the game off.
     
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