I'm worried the best opportunities for adding offensive skill may have come and gone with our #1 and #5OA draft picks. Of course we don't know what those kids will become, but we do know drafting at the very top is the best way to find elite talent.
I know many are predicting another bottom finish and top pick next season. It's possible, but that means our young, developing players won't improve over last year's raw, heavily-injured roster. If the young core remains reasonably healthy you'd expect progress, which should translate into a few more wins, especially if we're no longer overtly tanking. Surpassing last year's mess seems like a pretty low bar; if they can't do that I'd be concerned.
So I'm expecting our 2024 pick will be in the 10-12 range – good, but unlikely a future star will be waiting there for us.
Others are predicting we'll swap cap space for an additional 1st-round pick. Very possible, but while having another 1st-round dart is valuable, it'll probably be mid-late round pick, which may become a solid depth player.
In short, I don't see where our mystery goal-scoring is going to come from. We won't be getting a better opportunity than drafting #1 and 5OA, so we'd better hope Slafkovsky develops into a top forward. Otherwise, Hughes is going to have to pull another Kirby Dach bank-shot and acquire an existing prospect/young player. There's always UFAs, but that's usually a terrible investment.
We won't really know whether they have or they haven't. I'm sure Devils fans might have felt that they wouldn't have an opportunity to get their top end defenseman after winning the lottery for Hughes after winning it for Hischier, but they got Hughes at 4 and then won a lottery to bring them to 2 to get Nemec.
I think there's a way that our roster improves but we still remain picking low (though we'll need a lotto luck at some point again) because we have to think about where we are. We can still be a young and improving team but be stuck in the basement of the Atlantic division.
Buffalo and Ottawa are at a point in their rebuild that they should be making a larger stride than us because they've accumulated their core from rebuilding before us and they are all entering their years where they should hit the higher end of their upside.
Toronto, Tampa Bay and Florida still remain top regular season teams.
The two wildcards are Detroit who also have been rebuilding longer than us but made a bunch of questionable signings and the Bruins who still have a large collection of talent, a top end coach/system, but have lost a lot down the middle without being able to address it internally/externally.
I don't think it's realistic to be picking outside of the top 10 and be last or second last in our division. Which is where we can be with our young players still showing progression.
Either way, a lot of fans were fretting on passing on Benson, who went 13th. I still believe that if we are picking in/around the top 10, the opportunity should come to add another high end offensive talent to the roster. It may not be the 90-100 point variety but I also think that the architecture of this team is one that is going to win on it's massive supply of depth at every position then a team that wins on the strength of its top two lines.