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Pre-Game Talk: Week of shiny new toys, McDrai, Nucks, and Girouxless Flyers

Vaslof

Vaslof

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Feb 1, 2017
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1/3 chance to win the cup? Those odds are about as good as it gets at this point in the season.

moneypuck.com

NHL Playoff Odds -MoneyPuck 2024 Playoff & Cup Odds

NHL Playoff Odds updated many times a day. Playoff seeding, Stanley Cup, and Draft Lottery Odds too.
moneypuck.com moneypuck.com

Moneypuck has us at more conservative 8.4%, lower odds than 3 others teams (Calgary, Florida, Blues).
 
Vaslof

Vaslof

Registered User
Feb 1, 2017
5,066
3,913
BoxOfChocolates said:
Moneypuck must have some wonky math going to have the Blues with higher odds
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These models can never reach high accuracy as hockey is too complex. Take all regular season games from 20-21 season. The model could predict only 60% of the winners of those games correctly. It can still be interesting to try to improve these models as much as you can.
 
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Pokecheque

Pokecheque

I’ve been told it’s spelled “Pokecheck”
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Pierce Hawthorne

Pierce Hawthorne

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Apr 29, 2012
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Can't forget trade deadline acquisition Bo Byram either.


Massive boost for this team if he could actually come back and stay healthy for the playoffs.


Toews - Makar
Girard - Manson
Byram- EJ



It would essentially give us the best pairing in hockey, and then two 2nd pairings after that. If Girard/Manson struggle you can comfortably give Bo plenty of minutes and personally I think EJ will step up in the playoffs when he can get away with more in the corners and the front of the net.
 
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Ceremony

Ceremony

blahem
Jun 8, 2012
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TruePowerSlave said:
32% chance for the cup is simply ridiculous and cannot be taken seriously
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This isn't how odds work. The percentage listed here takes into account that it's easier to say the Avalanche will make the final than an Eastern team because there's higher competition, so our percentage goes up marginally as a result. It's why in that chart from the Athletic you see teams like Minnesota at 4% and Tampa at 6%.
 
TruePowerSlave

TruePowerSlave

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Jun 27, 2015
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Ceremony said:
This isn't how odds work. The percentage listed here takes into account that it's easier to say the Avalanche will make the final than an Eastern team because there's higher competition, so our percentage goes up marginally as a result. It's why in that chart from the Athletic you see teams like Minnesota at 4% and Tampa at 6%.
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32% is outrageous no matter how the number is generated
 
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