This not the value we gave up, we gave up
McCann, Hallander and a 7th to keep Kerfoot and his $3.5 million 3rd line winger salary.
On a separate subject, Kerfoot had one of the worst cap hit value to goals scored of our forward group. If you look at goals scored, like money ball looks at runs scored, you can break down each cap hit in terms of good value or bad value.
Name | Cap hit | Goals | Cap hit per goal | Team goals per cap hit |
Spezza, Jason | $750,000 | 10 | $75,000 | 1087 |
Simmonds, Wayne | $900,000 | 7 | $128,571 | 634 |
Engvall, Pierre | $1,250,000 | 7 | $178,571 | 456 |
Brooks, Adam | $725,000 | 4 | $181,250 | 450 |
Mikheyev, Ilya | $1,645,000 | 7 | $235,000 | 347 |
Matthews, Auston "A" | $11,640,250 | 41 | $283,909 | 287 |
Nylander, William | $6,962,366 | 17 | $409,551 | 199 |
Kerfoot, Alexander | $3,500,000 | 8 | $437,500 | 186 |
Marner, Mitchell "A" | $10,903,000 | 20 | $545,150 | 150 |
Tavares, John "C" | $11,000,000 | 19 | $578,947 | 141 |
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If you take the 6 best values, add their cap hit divide by the number of goals, it's about $223k (cap hit) per goal, if you take our bottom 3 it's about $541k (cap hit) per goal. Not everyone is deployed in same manner so it's not apples to apples but at the same time when your 2nd highest cap hit is your worst value to goals, that speaks to JT, Marner and Kerfoots need to be more prominent on the score sheet.
Another fan stat you can look at to see value is the number of goals the team would score if every one had the cap hit per goal ratio of a particular player, based on $81.5 mil cap. If everyone had Spezza's cap to goal ratio, the team would score over 1000 goals.
If everyone had Tavares ratio, the team would score 141 goals.
This is not to pick on Matthews (I think his contract is fair value) but more to illustrate what great value Spezza's contract was, if Matthews had the same cap hit value as Spezza ($75k per goal) that means his contract would have been a little over $3 mil per season or he would have had to score 155 goals @ 11.6 mil
For Marners and Tavares contract to make sense they have to score around 40 goals each. For Kerfoot's to make cap sense he has to score around 13 goals. Willie Ny has to be around 26 goals per year..