NHL Entry Draft Top 8 picks of the 2020 draft (#3)

[Sensinitis]

Hopefully we can at least pick #3 if we don’t get 1 or 2.

Praise and prayers to the hockey Gods. Be favourable to us dear Gods.

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[dumbdick]

Same guy I picked #2.

Some call him.....Tim

 

[playasRus]

I fully expect us to get a top pick #3 at 0.727 odds. I'd be pleasantly surprised with 1 or 2 and okay with 3+anything. I'll be uber disappointed with 4+5 or lower.

 

[Six Assets]

I fully expect us to get a top pick #3 at 0.727 odds. I'd be pleasantly surprised with 1 or 2 and okay with 3+anything. I'll be uber disappointed with 4+5 or lower.

top 3 pick odds are 63% apparently

 

[Alf Silfversson]

Raymond for me. He's being underrated because he only plays 8-9 minutes a night in one of the best leagues in the world.

 

[playasRus]

top 3 pick odds are 63% apparently

Hmm i'm confused now, with multiple sources having different numbers. This vs Tankathon for ex.

but this adds up to 62.2% of picking top 3 without include our odds at 1-3+6

 

[Six Assets]

Not sure where that number comes from and if odds were updated over the last months, but odds have been broken down showing the probabilities of eahc pick individiually:

Saw several other posts here with similar numbers.

 

[playasRus]

Saw several other posts here with similar numbers.

Yeah, was going based on Tankathon, but I guess these break downs may have more validity to them. Even at 62 percent, i'd be a little upset at less than 3OA based on favourable odds.

Realizing we can't get (1-3)+6 because other teams have to win 1-3 for us to drop to 6.

 

[Xspyrit]

It makes no sense that "both picks fall" = 54.2%

I understand what was the point behind the changes they made a few years ago but it shouldn't be 54.2% vs 10.2% (both pick stay in top-3)

This is a bit ridiculous

 

[DJB]

It makes no sense that "both picks fall" = 54.2%

I understand what was the point behind the changes they made a few years ago but it shouldn't be 54.2% vs 10.2% (both pick stay in top-3)

This is a bit ridiculous

I agree that the lottery odds are not conducive for the bad teams to win it like it should be. But at 54% chance of falling that could also mean we fall to picks 3 and 4.

 

[DJB]

Saw several other posts here with similar numbers.

Great chart. I love the scenarios sections. To expand on it do we know the % chance of two top 4 picks? Two top 5 picks?

I think that would be interesting to see

 

[Xspyrit]

I agree that the lottery odds are not conducive for the bad teams to win it like it should be. But at 54% chance of falling that could also mean we fall to picks 3 and 4.

Yeah that would be misleading because 3 and 4 doesn't mean both picks dropped as we'd have #2 and #3 by standings, so basically it could be just the #2 falling back 2 spots

 

[Micklebot]

Great chart. I love the scenarios sections. To expand on it do we know the % chance of two top 4 picks? Two top 5 picks?

I think that would be interesting to see

They give you the odds for each combination, so you can just add them up.

Two top 5 is anything but 5 and 6 so 84.8%
Two top 4 is 34.3%

 

[DJB]

They give you the odds for each combination, so you can just add them up.

Two top 5 is anything but 5 and 6 so 84.8%
Two top 4 is 34.3%

Thanks I never thought of that and math isnt my strong suit anyways lol

 

[Benttheknee]

What I fear is ending up 5&6 and NYI getting a top 3 spot. Man that would suck.