Top-200 Hockey Players of All-Time - Round 2, Vote 3

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tarheelhockey

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someone just took them and used them to apparently say that when Stastny only outscored Goulet by 5 points in 87-88 (111-106) he wasn't as statistically impressive as Francis was the time he outscored Blaine Stoughton 90 to 76.

No I didn't say that.

I have been at pains to say, repeatedly, that the gap is not as large as the numbers make it seem. Please don't re-frame that as me saying the gap is reversed.
 

tarheelhockey

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The New York Americans improving dramatically in the standing, and especially in the goals against department, for the 1928–29 NHL season seems to me be more of a case of a coaching change than anything else, switching Shorty Green for Tommy Gorman, with Green fizzling out as an irrelevant AHA coach the next few years whereas Gorman went on to win back-to-back Stanley Cups with the Blackhawks & the Maroons.

Case in point, the back-up goalie on the NY Americans in 1928–29 Flat Walsh played 4 games with 3 shutouts going undefeated (2-0-2) while conceding 1 goal against for a 0.23 save %. This screams a Julien/Tippett/Hitchock type of system to me and a Tim Thomas/Brian Elliott kinda situation/thing going on. The Americans had a steady but pretty unspectacular team already with a few HHOFers in Bullet Joe Simpson, Lionel Conacher & Billy Burch still doing their things.

Another case in point, the team acquired Punch Broadbent this season and Broadbent had 1 goal & 4 assists in 44 games. He still had 59 PIMs though (3rd amount of PIMs on the team that year) which means he still must played more than just sporadically, which means Gorman probably used him pragmatically in a more defensive position where he could use his body to stop other bodies, realizing it was either that-a-way or the bench for good old pluffy face.

This plus I think the NHL at this point in time was a little more consistent and/or eager in giving out the Hart Trophy on its supposed/actual definition/premise, other cases in points being Billy Burch with Hamilton & Tommy Anderson.

Good question.

This has been largely answered in recent years as we now have access to GM-voted All-Star teams for every year from 1926-27 to 1929-30. IMO, since the GMs voted, these All-Star teams might actually be even more valuable than the writer-voted ones that started in 1930-31. 1926-27 to 1929-1930 All-star team selected by coaches

Here are the 1st and 2nd Team AS goalies from 1926-27 to 1929-30 according to NHL GMs:

1926-27 1st Team: George Hainsworth
1926-27 2nd Team: John Ross Roach
1926-27 3rd Team (seems to have actually been official): Roy Worters

1927-28 1st Team; Roy Worters
1927-28 2nd Team: George Hainsworth

1928-29 1st Team: Roy Worters
1928-29 2nd Team: George Hainsworth

1929-30 1st Team: Tiny Thompson
1929-30 2nd Team: Roy Worters

________

Here is how goalies faired in Hart voting during Worter's prime:

1925-26 (no corresponding All-Star Team): 4. Roy Worters, 9. Charles Stewart
1926-27: 10. Roy Worters
1927-28: 2. Roy Worters (we only know top 6 in Hart voting)
1928-29: 1. Roy Worters (we only know top 7 in Hart voting)
1929-30: 7. Charlie Gardiner (we only know top 7 in Hart voting)

___________________

So we know this is Roy Worters's record according to NHL GMs:

1st Team All Star in 1927-28 and 1928-29
2nd Team All Star in 1929-30
"3rd Team All Star" in 1926-27

We don't have an all-star vote in 1925-26, but given how far ahead Worters is in Hart voting than any other goalie, he probably would be the 1st Team All Star that season too:

Hart Trophy 1925-26:
#Player:Pos:Team:Pts:
1.Nels StewartCMontreal Maroons88
2.Sprague CleghornDBoston Bruins75
3.Frank NighborCOttawa Senators68
4.Roy WortersGPittsburgh Pirates44
4.Hooley SmithC/RWOttawa Senators44
6.Howie MorenzCMontreal Canadiens34
7.Jimmy HerbertCBoston Bruins33
7.King ClancyDOttawa Senators28
9.Charles StewartGBoston Bruins24
9.Lionel ConacherDPittsburgh Pirates24
11.Billy BurchC/LWNew York Americans18
12.Reg NobleDMontreal Maroons14
13.Bert McCafferyDToronto St. Patricks10
14.Babe SiebertDMontreal Maroons8
[TBODY] [/TBODY]
[TBODY] [/TBODY]
________________________________________________________

Conclusion - this is what Worter's All-Star record looks like if you include the seasons before the first writer-voted team in 1930-31:

1925-26: 1st (estimated based off the wide gap in Hart voting)
1926-27: 3rd (behind Hainsworth and Roach)
1927-28: 1st
1928-29: 1st
1929-30: 2nd (behind Thompson)
1930-31: 3rd (behind Thompson and Gardiner)
1931-32: 2nd (behind Gardiner)
1932-33: 3rd (behind Roach and Gardiner)
1933-34: 2nd (behind Gardiner)
1934-35: 3rd (behind Chabot and Thompson, tied w Connell, definitely a softening of the competition after Gardiner's death)
1935-36: 5th (behind Thompson, Cude, Karakas, Hainsworth, kind of a "who cares" placing)

So Worter's overall record would be: 1st, 1st, 1st, 2nd, 2nd, 2nd, 3rd, 3rd, 3rd, 3rd, 5th. That only includes one single estimated 1st place based off Hart voting. Yes, that's 10 straight years voted top 3 among goalies in the NHL.

(Edit: 1925-26 was the last year before the WCHL folded, so it's possible Worters wasn't the best goalie across both leagues. George Hainsworth was 1st team AS in the WCHL in 1925-26. Still, I think this is highly likely a top 3 finish for Worters across both leagues)

IMO, Worters easily has the best regular season record of any player available this round. His playoff record isn't good or bad, it's more of an "incomplete," as he played on teams that were generally awful other than him.

When Gorman took over, he had the Americans play an Ottawa-style defensive system which was aimed at winning games 1-0. They would line up 4, sometimes 5 men to prevent anybody getting through with the puck on their stick. The comparison to a Julien or Hitchcock (or Lemaire for that matter) is accurate.

Much like Lemaire and his Devils, there is good reason to believe that the offensive reform of 1929-30 was very closely tied to the Amerks' surprising level of success running that system. The hockey establishment was worried that if a mediocre team could turn itself around that quickly by using an offense-choking system, then the shutout numbers were only going to keep rising from their already record high. They were at a crossroads of either opening up the game by force, or allowing the NYAs of the world to make hockey a one-point sport. And unlike today's GMs, they were not overly bound by convention when it came to solutions.

That being said, Worters was still very good that year. His preseason was full of contract and trade drama, forcing him to come into the season cold-turkey with extremely high pressure, and he delivered. It's fair to say the Americans' game plan hinged heavily on strong performances from Worters to make good on their offensive sacrifices. Maybe the best modern comparables would be Tim Thomas and Jonathan Quick -- small goalies who played a gritty showmanlike style, who definitely did have their best success within a specific defensive system, and who most observers didn't penalize too heavily for having existed within that system because their performance within it was still special.
 
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seventieslord

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In Stastny's peak seasons (82 and 83), the Nords had these finishes (in the lowest-scoring division of a 21-team league):

4th GF, 14th GA
3rd GF, 16th GA

You're saying they were not a run-and-gun team?

Why cherrypick individual games instead of whole seasons? Why cherrypick individual seasons instead of the full 8 years of data?

Yes, in those two seasons, Quebec was 9% and 10% above average in total goals for and against. Whether 9-10% makes a team officially "run and gun" is a matter of semantics. Sure, since they were 2nd in the league both times - well behind Edmonton - let's say they were a run and gun team. But the fact remains that in 8 seasons those two were - by far - the two in which they score highest by this metric. Even with those two seasons included, over 8 seasons they were only about 1% higher volume than an average team. That is not, on the whole, a run and gun team.


And again, I'm not disputing that there is an offensive gap between the two of them. I'm disputing that the gap is anything like 30%-40%.

In modern terms that's like the difference between Connor McDavid and Mike Hoffman. No, I do not think that is a realistic portrayal of the actual gap between Stastny and Francis.

You're exaggerating. Connor McDavid has 1.38 PPG over the last 4 full seasons. he has scored 35% more than a 1.02 PPG player over the past 4 seasons. McDavid is ~35% ahead of the likes of Eichel, Scheifele, Matthews and Barkov, and 72.5% ahead of Mike Hoffman.


And Francis was also playing defense while doing that, and was a pass-first playmaker who rarely played with anyone who was a threat to score, on a team that struggled to take the puck away from its opponent.

Again, I'm not litigating the statistics. I'm asking people to apply what they know about the game of hockey to the statistics and ask if they actually make sense.

Yes, Stastny sucked defensively, but Francis was not that special in Hartford either. Scouting reports of the time call him "fairly good" defensively, updating to "a fairly complete" player by the turn of the decade. He grew into that role in Pittsburgh.

I recognize that Francis' Pittsburgh numbers are juiced, but it seems a bit unfair to say we draw an absolute line at what he produced with Hartford and never allow him to cross it.

It should go without saying that there's a middle ground where we imagine him having normal offensive support and putting up significantly better numbers than he did with highly unfavorable support.

There's no right or wrong way, but it seems really unlikely that without playing on a scoring champion's line for four straight seasons that he posts his best four years at age 31-34. Who else has?

Just thinking out loud here, but what is the baseline expectation for a center playing with a scoring champion winger? Something I should look into - I'm not sure exactly where Francis' 95-98 seasons rank among post-expansion centers but in any case, it might be helpful.
 
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seventieslord

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Centers who played with scoring champion wingers (plus 95-96 because come on):

NameAdjPRank
Francis1154
Stamkos1082
Francis1025
Sedin1014
Francis1005
Francis948
Point9212
Mahovlich916
Richards919
Lemaire874
Conroy8612
Seguin867
Backstrom7440
Lemaire6723
Anisimov48142
[TBODY] [/TBODY]
Francis appears to show very strongly here, though unsurprisingly the top-2 seasons are both lockout-shortened so we should expect regression to the pack for both he and Stamkos if those full seasons were played out.

Basically, unless the center is out of his league (Anisimov, Conroy), a great player who hasn't reached his prime (Point, Backstrom), or, strangely, Lemaire that one time, you can expect the center of a scoring champion winger to have 90+ adjusted points and be comfortably inside the top-10. We won't be talking about Mahovlich, Seguin, Richards or Backstrom in this project. Probably not Sedin, and of course not the 23-year old Point. I suspect we will talk about Lemaire, but not because of his regular season offense in these seasons. What I'm saying is any decent #1 center with a scoring champion on his wing will do something pretty similar to what Francis did - it's hard not to! However, Francis did outperform the baseline expectation, AND, he did it four times. So I don't mean to downplay that too much.

Still, he was clearly elevated from what he otherwise would have been at that age - a good two-way 2nd line center maybe hovering around 15th-25th in points - something like Toews is right now - to a slam dunk for top-10 in points. Anyone who counts those 95-98 point totals at face value is doing a disservice to anyone who approached those totals without the help of Jagr (and in one year, Lemieux). There has to be a mental adjustment, and a pretty big one - will we ever agree on how to do that? No, probably not.

Edit: surely someone has some data based on other similar centers who aged gracefully and played till 38-41 - comparing what they did in their physical prime of 24-28 to ages 31-35 and then applying that to Francis could be useful.
 

Black Gold Extractor

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Well, one way is to look at individual point percentage (IPP). The expectation for a forward is ~67% and the expectation for a defenseman is ~33% (post-Bobby Orr, anyway).

Ron Francis

SeasonTeamPTSTGFIPP
1981-82HAR688976.40%
1982-83HAR9011379.65%
1983-84HAR8311870.34%
1984-85HAR8112863.28%
1985-86HAR7711368.14%
1986-87HAR9314066.43%
1987-88HAR7510472.12%
1988-89HAR7711666.38%
1989-90HAR10113773.72%
1990-91TOT8711973.11%
1990-91HAR769778.35%
1990-91PIT112250.00%
1991-92PIT5410750.47%
1992-93PIT10015664.10%
1993-94PIT9313469.40%
1994-95PIT597776.62%
1995-96PIT11918962.96%
1996-97PIT9014163.83%
1997-98PIT8712669.05%
1998-99CAR527866.67%
1999-00CAR7310470.19%
2000-01CAR659369.89%
2001-02CAR7710771.96%
2002-03CAR578368.67%
2003-04TOT405868.97%
2003-04CAR304468.18%
2003-04TOR101471.43%
16 yrsCAR/HAR1175166470.61%
8 yrsPIT61395264.39%
1 yrTOR101471.43%
Career23 yrs1798263068.37%
[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Despite putting up better numbers in Pittsburgh, Francis on average produced less than expected relative to his total on-ice goals for, which indicates that his fairly good* linemates were the ones carrying the mail offensively, so to speak.

* Top-20 all-time is pretty good, right?

Peter Stastny

SeasonTeamPTSTGFIPP
1980-81QUE10914774.15%
1981-82QUE13917479.89%
1982-83QUE12415480.52%
1983-84QUE11915676.28%
1984-85QUE10013673.53%
1985-86QUE12216773.05%
1986-87QUE7711268.75%
1987-88QUE11114676.03%
1988-89QUE8511474.56%
1989-90TOT739874.49%
1989-90QUE628374.70%
1989-90NJD111573.33%
1990-91NJD609265.22%
1991-92NJD6210260.78%
1992-93NJD407057.14%
1993-94STL162080.00%
1994-95STL2366.67%
10 yrsQUE1048138975.45%
4 yrsNJD17327962.01%
2 yrsSTL182378.26%
Career15 yrs1239169173.27%
[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Stastny was carrying the weight in Quebec, but geez did he ever start declining rapidly in New Jersey. (Like, those were his age 34-36 seasons, but still.)

I'll leave the judgment to everyone else.
 

tarheelhockey

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Why cherrypick individual games instead of whole seasons? Why cherrypick individual seasons instead of the full 8 years of data?

I was talking about his clearly defined peak, ‘83 and ‘84. I literally said “in his peak seasons” to start the sentence. That’s not cherry-picking anything.

Yes, in those two seasons, Quebec was 9% and 10% above average in total goals for and against. Whether 9-10% makes a team officially "run and gun" is a matter of semantics. Sure, since they were 2nd in the league both times - well behind Edmonton - let's say they were a run and gun team. But the fact remains that in 8 seasons those two were - by far - the two in which they score highest by this metric. Even with those two seasons included, over 8 seasons they were only about 1% higher volume than an average team. That is not, on the whole, a run and gun team.

And that is exactly my point. As I said in the first place — the years when Stastny’s numbers got really wild, he was playing on a firewagon team during THE highest scoring seasons in NHL history with very solid offensive support.

That’s why I’m a bit confused about the pushback. The statement is very obviously true. The numbers you’re citing back it up. What’s the issue?

With a wider lens, is “Stastny was in an obviously more favorable circumstance to put up gaudy numbers” really even a controversial statement? Like, are we quibbling about fringe issues or do you really disagree with the thesis?
 

Professor What

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Two things that I don't think are getting enough consideration in the Francis/Stastny discussion -- one for each man.

Francis: I really feel like discussing the offensive aspect of his game is pulling away from the big picture. This man was elite defensively, and when you talk about forwards who were strong at both ends of the ice, his has to be one of the first names that comes up. Perhaps he's not someone that you'd argue is at the tip top of the talent pile, but boy, did he ever pour his heart into the game, and not just in select circumstances.

Stastny: He's done an injustice if his play before his defection isn't considered. He'd been playing at a consistent, high level for four years before arriving in Quebec. Granted, the level of the Czechoslovakian league wasn't NHL standard, but when you look at how level his performance was during those four years, it somehow doesn't seem unfair to suppose that, had he made it to Canada at age 20, he'd have four more seasons of similar caliber to his early NHL campaigns. He still wouldn't stack up to Francis for longevity, but his NHL career doesn't tell that story, and his numbers would be larger.

Earlier in this thread, I said that I wouldn't burn much energy debating one over the other, assuming that a case was logically presented. I'm much more interested in burning energy to state what I think is a proper perspective, however. I think there's been some good discussion of these two in the thread, but it just feels like there have been a few pieces missing from the discussion. I'm not saying that no one knows this stuff. I strongly suspect that everyone involved in the project knows it, and plenty better than I do, but I still want to make those points.
 
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ted2019

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Early thoughts.
Top 5: Quackenbush/Gilmour/Worters/Blake/Bower
Next 5: Holecek/Savard/Francis/Vasiliev/Langway
After 5: Busher/Bure/Parent/Datsyuk/Stastny
 

Professor What

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Just realized we have two potentially interesting 3-way comparisons: Gilmour/Francis/Datsyuk and Savard/Vasiliev/Langway.

There’s a lot to unpack there.

The defenseman part hadn't hit me until you said that. Personally, I find it the easier of the two. I like Vasiliev the most because when you look at his domestic accomplishments, he managed what he did despite being a member of Dynamo rather that CSKA. There's no argument of his being a product of the team. Even though Langway might be the top total shutdown guy of the three, there's almost no offensive production, while Savard wasn't too far behind in defensive play and did show some offensive flashes at time. Going with the idea that it's easier to destroy than create, his combo tops Langway.

For the forwards, I'll condense my general thoughts from earlier. Datsyuk, as fabulous of a player as he is, is in third for me. He's probably the best defensively, but I like the combination of defense and offensive production of Francis and Gilmour better, similarly to my Savard/Langway comment above. Untangling Francis and Gilmour is a much tougher task though.
 
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bobholly39

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Just realized we have two potentially interesting 3-way comparisons: Gilmour/Francis/Datsyuk and Savard/Vasiliev/Langway.

There’s a lot to unpack there.

Gilmour/Francis/Datsyuk.

To me Datsyuk is clearly #3. Gilmour/Francis is the much more interesting comparison.

Francis edges out Gilmour in longevity (and - strong longevity, not just compiling, so i think it counts more), but Gilmour has the significantly better peak.
Gilmour has the considerably better playoffs too - though Francis does well here too.

I want to prioritize Gilmour based on the above, but there's a big enough gap in VsX between the 2 (both 7, and even more 10 years) that Francis makes this compelling. Of course - you can also consider why VsX isn't perfect, since in my opinion Gilmour has the best 2 seasons between the 2, but VsX has Francis > Gilmour for top 2.

I'm leaning Gilmour ahead of Francis, but it's close.
 

quoipourquoi

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I feel like it's time for Quackenbush to go.

He waited 20 years for the HOF, so what’s another round?

Blake and Bower were voted top-4 in their position the same number of times (or more) as Quackenbush’s All-Star selections, but also have retroactive Conn Smythe Trophies and top-2 placements in Hart voting.

Worters doesn’t have much in terms of playoffs (just like Quackenbush), but the stronger regular season resume with the coaches polls and Hart voting.

Seems like a given that those three would be higher, since they match Quackenbush’s accomplishments and then add to them.

Gilmour was the highest-ranked player on the playoff performers list to not make the top-100, and he has three years of top-5 Hart voting in a 21+ team league.

Bure has the same number of top-4s in All-Star voting at a deeper position (1, 2, 2, 3, 3 - of the 6 players who finished ahead of him in those years, two are Selanne and three are Jagr), and at least one playoff run and best-on-best tournament of note.

Stastny has one fewer top-4 (3, 3, 3, 4, 5) while playing at the worst time for anyone in any position to try to get votes. He also had a not negligible amount of pre-NHL success which shouldn’t be discounted considering how he hit the ground running in his 1st NHL season.

Those three are probably more in line with Quackenbush’s accomplishments while perhaps giving cause to hold theirs in greater esteem.

Parent and Francis are players that essentially ask how we measure unmatched peak levels or relentless goodness. I expect them to be the most polarizing retired players we discuss all project (more so than Bowie).

But Holecek on the other hand? He and Quackenbush finished within 2 voting points of each other last round. Named Best/All-Star goaltender at six World Championship tournaments (top save percentage at six as well, by my count).

Those three are going to be more dependent on how we value certain things.

Then there is Savard who is 4th/5th in Norris/All-Star voting for 5-straight years. So a little more concentrated and no years on top (Orr, Potvin, Robinson, and Park fill up much of the spots, but we also can’t say that Guy Lapointe didn’t overcome this), but with a Conn Smythe.


I can see under an optimistic lens how Quackenbush could fall in that 4th through 7th range (under Blake, Bower, and Worters - who he simply does not compare well against) but more appropriately 7th through being unranked.

What I don’t see is the urgency.
 

Dennis Bonvie

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The defenseman part hadn't hit me until you said that. Personally, I find it the easier of the two. I like Vasiliev the most because when you look at his domestic accomplishments, he managed what he did despite being a member of Dynamo rather that CSKA. There's no argument of his being a product of the team. Even though Langway might be the top total shutdown guy of the three, there's almost no offensive production, while Savard wasn't too far behind in defensive play and did show some offensive flashes at time. Going with the idea that it's easier to destroy than create, his combo tops Langway.

For the forwards, I'll condense my general thoughts from earlier. Datsyuk, as fabulous of a player as he is, is in third for me. He's probably the best defensively, but I like the combination of defense and offensive production of Francis and Gilmour better, similarly to my Savard/Langway comment above. Untangling Francis and Gilmour is a much tougher task though.

Both Savard (5 games, 2 assists -1) and Vasiliev (6 games, 1 goal 2 assists +1) played in the Summit series.

Both also played in the 1976 Canada Cup, Savard had 3 assists in 7 games. Vasiliev 3 assists in 5 games.

Vasiliev also captained the 1981 Canada Cup champions.

Langway played in the 1981, 1984 and 1987 Canada Cups for the U.S. In 1984, he was the first American player to be named to a Canada Cup post-tourney first All-Star team.
 

sr edler

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When Gorman took over, he had the Americans play an Ottawa-style defensive system which was aimed at winning games 1-0. They would line up 4, sometimes 5 men to prevent anybody getting through with the puck on their stick. The comparison to a Julien or Hitchcock (or Lemaire for that matter) is accurate.

Much like Lemaire and his Devils, there is good reason to believe that the offensive reform of 1929-30 was very closely tied to the Amerks' surprising level of success running that system. The hockey establishment was worried that if a mediocre team could turn itself around that quickly by using an offense-choking system, then the shutout numbers were only going to keep rising from their already record high. They were at a crossroads of either opening up the game by force, or allowing the NYAs of the world to make hockey a one-point sport. And unlike today's GMs, they were not overly bound by convention when it came to solutions.

That being said, Worters was still very good that year. His preseason was full of contract and trade drama, forcing him to come into the season cold-turkey with extremely high pressure, and he delivered. It's fair to say the Americans' game plan hinged heavily on strong performances from Worters to make good on their offensive sacrifices. Maybe the best modern comparables would be Tim Thomas and Jonathan Quick -- small goalies who played a gritty showmanlike style, who definitely did have their best success within a specific defensive system, and who most observers didn't penalize too heavily for having existed within that system because their performance within it was still special.

I've liked Quick a lot when I've seen him, most of the time, and I'm not a big goalie guy. He was really good & impressing in that Vegas series in 2018 when the Kings got swept, and kept every game a one-goal game. So even when his team wasn't very good (2018 LA Kings) he was still very good himself. I certainly liked him more than Fleury. Thomas I've never been high on, but it doesn't mean I think he was garbage. None of Quick or Thomas are up for vote so far though.

But it's interesting what you say about Gorman there, I didn't know that in detail, although it kinda looked like that while just skimming on it, with the Americans pancaking to 160 goals against in 1929–30.

What is it about Bure in particular that is so polarizing? Is he just the perfect storm of career features, or is there something about him personally that pushes people to that?

I don't think anything good will come from any attempts to try to unwrap this on a more detailed level, at least not here in this thread, let's just say some of it goes back to previous projects. But the short diplomatic answer is just that some people like Bure and some people doesn't. It's not a big deal. It it what it is.
 
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TheDevilMadeMe

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He waited 20 years for the HOF, so what’s another round?

Blake and Bower were voted top-4 in their position the same number of times (or more) as Quackenbush’s All-Star selections, but also have retroactive Conn Smythe Trophies and top-2 placements in Hart voting.

You word in in such a way to make their records look similar. They don't really:

This is Quackenbush's All-Star record: 1, 1, 2, 3, 3, 5, 7, 10
This is Bower's All-Star record: 1, 3, 3, 3, 3, 4, 5

I'm not going to do this for every player, but your entire post is based off "top 4s"
 
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overpass

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Well, one way is to look at individual point percentage (IPP). The expectation for a forward is ~67% and the expectation for a defenseman is ~33% (post-Bobby Orr, anyway).

Ron Francis

SeasonTeamPTSTGFIPP
1981-82HAR688976.40%
1982-83HAR9011379.65%
1983-84HAR8311870.34%
1984-85HAR8112863.28%
1985-86HAR7711368.14%
1986-87HAR9314066.43%
1987-88HAR7510472.12%
1988-89HAR7711666.38%
1989-90HAR10113773.72%
1990-91TOT8711973.11%
1990-91HAR769778.35%
1990-91PIT112250.00%
1991-92PIT5410750.47%
1992-93PIT10015664.10%
1993-94PIT9313469.40%
1994-95PIT597776.62%
1995-96PIT11918962.96%
1996-97PIT9014163.83%
1997-98PIT8712669.05%
1998-99CAR527866.67%
1999-00CAR7310470.19%
2000-01CAR659369.89%
2001-02CAR7710771.96%
2002-03CAR578368.67%
2003-04TOT405868.97%
2003-04CAR304468.18%
2003-04TOR101471.43%
16 yrsCAR/HAR1175166470.61%
8 yrsPIT61395264.39%
1 yrTOR101471.43%
Career23 yrs1798263068.37%
[TBODY] [/TBODY]
Despite putting up better numbers in Pittsburgh, Francis on average produced less than expected relative to his total on-ice goals for, which indicates that his fairly good* linemates were the ones carrying the mail offensively, so to speak.

* Top-20 all-time is pretty good, right?

Peter Stastny

SeasonTeamPTSTGFIPP
1980-81QUE10914774.15%
1981-82QUE13917479.89%
1982-83QUE12415480.52%
1983-84QUE11915676.28%
1984-85QUE10013673.53%
1985-86QUE12216773.05%
1986-87QUE7711268.75%
1987-88QUE11114676.03%
1988-89QUE8511474.56%
1989-90TOT739874.49%
1989-90QUE628374.70%
1989-90NJD111573.33%
1990-91NJD609265.22%
1991-92NJD6210260.78%
1992-93NJD407057.14%
1993-94STL162080.00%
1994-95STL2366.67%
10 yrsQUE1048138975.45%
4 yrsNJD17327962.01%
2 yrsSTL182378.26%
Career15 yrs1239169173.27%
[TBODY] [/TBODY]
Stastny was carrying the weight in Quebec, but geez did he ever start declining rapidly in New Jersey. (Like, those were his age 34-36 seasons, but still.)

I'll leave the judgment to everyone else.

When looking at IPP, you have to consider what role the player played to know what the IPP expectation is. It's not as simple as 67% for every forward. Francis often played the point on the power play so his IPP expectation for those seasons would be lower than a primary playmaker like Stastny. On the power play, the best defencemen are around 60% IPP. (MacInnis was 60.8%, Bourque was 60.0%, Leetch was 57.3%, Coffey was 57.4%, Lidstrom was 56.4%) and I would expect a forward playing the point to be similar.

I don't have a scouting report on which seasons Francis played the point, but I can get a good idea by looking at his teams and the percentage of their PPGF came from defencemen. A team that always played 2 defencemen on the point would have 40% of their PPGF from defencemen. A team that always played 1 defenceman and 1 forward on the point would have 20% of their PPGF from defencemen. Francis's teams were always in the range between 20% and 40% of PPGF from D over his career, but some years tended strongly one way and some years strongly the other way. For example, his team was clearly running a forward on the point most of the time in 1983-84, 1984-85, 1986-87, 1989-90, 1992-93, 1995-96. And in 1990-91,1996-97, 1997-98, 1999-00, 2000-01 they were clearly running 2 defencemen out there most of the time. (In Pittsburgh, you can see they run more forwards when Mario Lemieux is playing and more defencemen when he's not playing, because Francis played the point on the PP when Mario was in the lineup and played centre on the PP when Mario was out. With the exception of 1996-97, when Lemieux-Francis-Jagr was a regular line at EV and on the PP) The numbers are below.

TeamSeason PPGF % from DFrancis PPGFrancis PPAFrancis PPPFrancis PPGFFrancis PP IPP%
Hartford198234.3%1214263868.4%
Hartford198331.5%424283384.8%
Hartford198423.9%531365961.0%
Hartford198524.4%427316349.2%
Hartford198631.3%724314864.6%
Hartford198726.0%724316150.8%
Hartford198829.2%1125365170.6%
Hartford198926.3%821294959.2%
Hartford199024.7%1528436170.5%
Hartford199133.9%1018284070.0%
Pittsburgh199229.1%59144431.8%
Pittsburgh199324.0%941508459.5%
Pittsburgh199431.0%833416068.3%
Pittsburgh199530.5%318212584.0%
Pittsburgh199624.4%1242549258.7%
Pittsburgh199734.4%1024345068.0%
Pittsburgh199836.2%725325064.0%
Carolina199922.9%810182962.1%
Carolina200037.0%722294367.4%
Carolina200136.0%726334770.2%
Carolina200223.0%1428425182.4%
Carolina200331.8%815233663.9%
Carolina200431.4%511162369.6%
[TBODY] [/TBODY]
Now technically the only conclusion I can draw from the % of PPGF from D is how often a forward played the point, not how often Francis played the point. But if I aggregate the seasons where his team had more than 30% of their PPGF from D (Francis is more likely to have played forward on the PP) and the seasons where they had less than 30% of their PPGF from D (Francis is more likely to have played the point on the PP), there is a big difference in IPP. Francis had a power play IPP of 59.6% in seasons when a forward was on the point more often and a power play IPP of 69.5% in seasons when a forward was on the point less often.

PPGF from DFrancis PPGFrancis PPAFrancis PPPFrancis PPGFFrancis PP IPP%
20-29.9% PPGF9828638464459.6%
30-39.9% PPGF7823030844369.5%
[TBODY] [/TBODY]
2001-02 is a bit of an outlier in the relationship between Francis's IPP and the team PPGF from D. Carolina clearly had a forward on the point, with only 23% of PPGF from D, but Francis had a point on 42 of 51 PPGF, which would be very high for a player on the point. Did Sami Kapanen play the point that season and Francis play centre? If that was the case and we include this season with the ones where we don't think Francis played the point, his IPP was only 57.7% when we think he was on the point and it was 70.9% when we think he was at centre. That's almost the same as Peter Stastny's career power play IPP of 71.8%.

The overall effect is that Francis had a career IPP on the power play of 63.6%, compared to Stastny's 70.0%. But when Francis played forward on the power play, his IPP was similar to Stastny's. I'm assuming Stastny did not regularly play on the point.

At even strength, Francis had a career IPP of 72.3%. 76.8% in Hartford, 67.8% in Pittsburgh, 69.7% in Carolina. Stastny had a career EV IPP of 75.5%. 77.8% in Quebec and 62.5% in New Jersey. So Stastny's IPP at even strength during his prime in Quebec was quite high, but Francis in Hartford was only a point behind. Francis's IPP at even strength dropped when he moved to Pittsburgh and took a secondary offensive role to Jagr.

Conclusions:
  • Francis's even strength IPP in Hartford was very similar to Stastny's even strength IPP in Quebec (Stastny had the edge by 1 percentage point).
  • Francis had a lower even strength IPP when playing in Pittsburgh as the secondary offensive player on his line to Jaromir Jagr. But almost any NHL forward in history would be a secondary offensive player on a line with Jagr, including Stastny.
  • Francis had a lower even strength IPP late in his career in Carolina (69.7%) -- but Stastny also had a low even strength IPP in his late 30s, he just played far fewer games than Francis at this age.
  • Francis's lower power play IPP may be fully explained by playing the point in some seasons rather than playing down low as a playmaker every year as Stastny did. When we estimate which seasons Francis played on the point and which he played up front, we get his power play IPP as about 70% for the seasons he played up front. Which is basically identical to Stastny's career power play IPP of 70%.
  • Stastny's edge in IPP may be entirely explained by their different team situations as listed above.
 

TheDevilMadeMe

Registered User
Aug 28, 2006
52,271
6,982
Brooklyn
Stastny: He's done an injustice if his play before his defection isn't considered. He'd been playing at a consistent, high level for four years before arriving in Quebec. Granted, the level of the Czechoslovakian league wasn't NHL standard, but when you look at how level his performance was during those four years, it somehow doesn't seem unfair to suppose that, had he made it to Canada at age 20, he'd have four more seasons of similar caliber to his early NHL campaigns. He still wouldn't stack up to Francis for longevity, but his NHL career doesn't tell that story, and his numbers would be larger.

We actually have pretty good records now from CSSR - Hockey in Czechoslovakia and Europe from 1968 to 1990 (some awards and stats).

Here's how Stastny faired in "best player in Czechoslovakia" among forwards:

76-77: not ranked
77-78: not ranked
78-79: 4th behind Marian Stastny, Vladimir Martinec, and Anton Stastny
79-80: 1st

I see ONE elite season for Stastny in Czechoslovakia, and MAYBE a 2nd notable one.
 
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Theokritos

Global Moderator
Apr 6, 2010
12,552
4,974
We actually have pretty good records now from CSSR - Hockey in Czechoslovakia and Europe from 1968 to 1990 (some awards and stats).

Here's how Stastny faired in "best player in Czechoslovakia" among forwards:

76-77: not ranked
77-78: not ranked
78-79: 4th behind Marian Stastny, Vladimir Martinec, and Anton Stastny
79-80: 1st

I see ONE elite season for Stastny in Czechoslovakia, and MAYBE a 2nd notable one.

BTW the newer, streamlined thread (which is still incomplete & will remain incomplete for some time) has Czechoslovak overviews on page 2: International & European Award & All-Star Voting
 

Dennis Bonvie

Registered User
Dec 29, 2007
29,807
18,362
Connecticut
I believe I had Langway, Savard, Black Jack Stewart, and Ching Johnson all right next to each other on my list. I see them as the best-of-the-best "one-way" defensive defensemen. (Yes, Savard started as a two-way defenseman until injuries cut out that aspect of his game). Savard with a little weaker regular season record than the rest, but a stronger playoff record.
Re: Savard vs Langway, it should be noted that Savard's prime happened at the same time as Potvin, Robinson, Salming, and Lapointe, while Langway won his 2 Norrises as competition got a lot softer during the generational shift in the early 1980s. Right around when Wilson and Carlyle won a Norris each. On the other hand, Langway did do well in Hart voting those two years, as well.

How is Langway's competition much softer? Bourque, Coffey and Howe? Potvin was still around.
 

Professor What

Registered User
Sep 16, 2020
2,339
1,985
Gallifrey
We actually have pretty good records now from CSSR - Hockey in Czechoslovakia and Europe from 1968 to 1990 (some awards and stats).

Here's how Stastny faired in "best player in Czechoslovakia" among forwards:

76-77: not ranked
77-78: not ranked
78-79: 4th behind Marian Stastny, Vladimir Martinec, and Anton Stastny
79-80: 1st

I see ONE elite season for Stastny in Czechoslovakia, and MAYBE a 2nd notable one.

I'm a bit surprised he didn't fare better in earlier voting records, but I had more of his offensive output in mind in relation to the earlier discussion.

76-77: 25-27-52 in 44
77-78: 29-24-53 in 42
78-79: 32-23-55 in 39
79-80: 26-26-52 in 41

Of course, there's a lot more to playing hockey than pure offensive numbers, and it's very easy for me to accept that his overall game improved over that time span. I'd hope it did, actually since most younger players tend to have weaknesses to develop. What's interesting to me though, based on the awards voting you mentioned is that, offensively, 78-79 was his best season, though it obviously wasn't seen as such for his overall game. Anyway, what I'm trying to say is that, if we look at Stastny as a purely offensive threat, which has been done, and which he largely was, his Czechoslovakian stats can't be ignored.

This does bring another question to my mind though. If he was consistent offensively, what aspects of his game led to the improvement in his voting record? Examining those aspects of his game after the NHL move would give a better view of him than seeing him as a pure numbers machine, which is a real temptation in his case.
 

quoipourquoi

Goaltender
Jan 26, 2009
10,123
4,127
Hockeytown, MI
You word in in such a way to make their records look similar. They don't really:

This is Quackenbush's All-Star record: 1, 1, 2, 3, 3, 5, 7, 10
This is Bower's All-Star record: 1, 3, 3, 3, 3, 4, 5

I'm not going to do this for every player, but your entire post is based off "top 4s"

A 5, 7, and 10 in a 6-team league with small numbers of ballots isn’t all that notable.

Let’s look at that #5 (1946):

DEFENSE: Jack Crawford, Bos (6-3-3-3); Butch Bouchard, Mtl (5-6-0-1); Ken Reardon, Mtl (2-0-4-1); Jack Stewart Det (3-8-3-3); Bill Quackenbush, Det (0-0-2-4)

Twice as many Defensemen (4) were named on All-Star ballots that year than any other position (2). And Quackenbush’s support came from the bottom-half of the ballot. Had Quackenbush been a C, LW, RW, or G where only two players were named on All-Star ballots, that 5th place finish becomes a year where he’s completely unranked.

And a #7 and a #10? Since when do we care about stray votes?

Johnny Bower had a #5 in 1963 and I didn’t mention it because why should I? All-Star ballots are designed to capture specific data (All-Stars) not comprehensive rankings of players.

Using Defensive All-Star selections which capture double the players to look at fringe ranking support is always going to steer a comparison towards the Defenseman.

You know this.
 

TheDevilMadeMe

Registered User
Aug 28, 2006
52,271
6,982
Brooklyn
A 5, 7, and 10 in a 6-team league with small numbers of ballots isn’t all that notable.

Let’s look at that #5 (1946):

DEFENSE: Jack Crawford, Bos (6-3-3-3); Butch Bouchard, Mtl (5-6-0-1); Ken Reardon, Mtl (2-0-4-1); Jack Stewart Det (3-8-3-3); Bill Quackenbush, Det (0-0-2-4)

Twice as many Defensemen (4) were named on All-Star ballots that year than any other position (2).

I fail to grasp the relevance of the bolded. There are twice as many defensemen in a starting hockey lineup as any other position (assuming you split wings into LW and RW) - why wouldn't there be twice as many spots for them on an All-Star team?

I mean, is our disagreement that you think there should be roughly equal numbers of goaltenders and defensemen on our list, while I think it makes sense to have roughly double the number of defensemen?

And Quackenbush’s support came from the bottom-half of the ballot. Had Quackenbush been a C, LW, RW, or G where only two players were named on All-Star ballots, that 5th place finish becomes a year where he’s completely unranked.

How often have All-Star ballots had only 2 names on them? Certainly not in modern times, not before WW2, either.

And a #7 and a #10? Since when do we care about stray votes/

I listed every year when a player received more than 1 vote. Yes, the 7th and 10th place finishes are borderline "who cares" finishes
 
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