TOI - Estimate

[HockeyPuck]

I was wondering if you guys know how to estimate the Time on Ice of a player ? I know that there's a study out there but I'm having difficulties to understand the way they proceed. Is there a formula already built ?

Thank you

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[Golden_Jet]

Nhl.com
It lists TOI

 

[Michael Farkas]

I don't know who made it...but @seventieslord gave me my copy years ago. I think it was based on like shots and plus/minus or some such...assuming you're talking about pre-1998.

 

[Doctor No]

My assumption is that the thread starter is looking for the estimate used in years for which TOI is not published.

Iain Fyffe created the method most commonly used today; there's a useful thread about it here:
https://hfboards.mandatory.com/threads/principles-of-estimating-ice-time.1731329/

Basically, the method was created by fitting a model to the known data, and then assuming that the same relationships would hold in prior periods (that second part is a bit controversial - since it's different to extrapolate than to interpolate - and gets talked about a bit in the thread).

 

[seventieslord]

I don't know who made it...but @seventieslord gave me my copy years ago. I think it was based on like shots and plus/minus or some such...assuming you're talking about pre-1998.

situational goals for and against, compared to the team totals.

 

[HockeyPuck]

Thanks for your answers guys. I was looking for a formula that would help calculating/estimating TOI in the QMJHL. As I look on their Stats page, I can't find the TOI of players.

 

[Michael Farkas]

Kept internally by teams, not for public consumption.