TOI - Estimate

Discussion in 'By The Numbers' started by HockeyPuck, Sep 25, 2018.

  1. HockeyPuck

    HockeyPuck Registered User

    Joined:
    Jan 6, 2016
    Messages:
    21
    Likes Received:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    4
    I was wondering if you guys know how to estimate the Time on Ice of a player ? I know that there's a study out there but I'm having difficulties to understand the way they proceed. Is there a formula already built ?

    Thank you
     
  2. Golden_Jet

    Golden_Jet Registered User

    Joined:
    Sep 21, 2005
    Messages:
    2,996
    Likes Received:
    310
    Trophy Points:
    124
    Nhl.com
    It lists TOI
     
  3. Mike Farkas

    Mike Farkas Grace Personified

    Joined:
    Jun 28, 2006
    Messages:
    9,641
    Likes Received:
    2,647
    Trophy Points:
    156
    Location:
    PA
    Home Page:
    I don't know who made it...but @seventieslord gave me my copy years ago. I think it was based on like shots and plus/minus or some such...assuming you're talking about pre-1998.
     
  4. Doctor No

    Doctor No Registered User

    Joined:
    Oct 26, 2005
    Messages:
    7,931
    Likes Received:
    1,348
    Trophy Points:
    139
    Home Page:
    My assumption is that the thread starter is looking for the estimate used in years for which TOI is not published.

    Iain Fyffe created the method most commonly used today; there's a useful thread about it here:
    https://hfboards.mandatory.com/threads/principles-of-estimating-ice-time.1731329/

    Basically, the method was created by fitting a model to the known data, and then assuming that the same relationships would hold in prior periods (that second part is a bit controversial - since it's different to extrapolate than to interpolate - and gets talked about a bit in the thread).
     
  5. seventieslord

    seventieslord Student Of The Game

    Joined:
    Mar 16, 2006
    Messages:
    32,419
    Likes Received:
    1,416
    Trophy Points:
    169
    Location:
    Regina, SK
    situational goals for and against, compared to the team totals.
     
  6. HockeyPuck

    HockeyPuck Registered User

    Joined:
    Jan 6, 2016
    Messages:
    21
    Likes Received:
    0
    Trophy Points:
    4
    Thanks for your answers guys. I was looking for a formula that would help calculating/estimating TOI in the QMJHL. As I look on their Stats page, I can't find the TOI of players.
     
  7. Mike Farkas

    Mike Farkas Grace Personified

    Joined:
    Jun 28, 2006
    Messages:
    9,641
    Likes Received:
    2,647
    Trophy Points:
    156
    Location:
    PA
    Home Page:
    Kept internally by teams, not for public consumption.
     
    Canadiens1958 likes this.

Share This Page

  1. This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
    By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.
    Dismiss Notice
monitoring_string = "358c248ada348a047a4b9bb27a146148"