The Tank Megathread | 7 | All Tank Talk & Standings Talk

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CanaFan

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It's kind of ironic if you think about it.

Missing the playoffs means our young guys are not providing secondary scoring. That doesn't bode well for the future either.

Whereas, if we make the playoffs, it means everyone's contributing....like now. Markstrom is playing like a #1 goalie. Baertschi and Horvat are scoring consistently. Hutton is one of our top 4 D, and some nights, top 3. Virt's delivering heavy hits. Even Vey and Etem are contributing and providing a lot of offensive pressure.

For me, it's fun to watch all these young guys play. And winning, especially against BOS, CGY, EDM, LA, ANA, CHI.... is always fun.

It does but let's be realistic here. While Bo and Baertschi are contributing directly to wins, Jake and McCann aren't really. Yes their overall play is getting better (esp. Jake) but we aren't winning these games *because* of them. We've won despite the team as a whole playing quite poor hockey but a combination of unreal goaltending and honestly just some lucky bounces have been the difference. That isn't enough to make me say "well, this team is good now so let's just focus on playoffs", it's mostly a mirage/illusion built largely around some players in their mid-30's who won't be part of that next cup run.

This team needs more talent in general and at least *some* elite talent, which it doesn't have anywhere in the system outside of the 35 year old Sedins. I am very excited about Horvat already and what Virtanen, McCann, and Boeser can potentially develop into but let's be realistic, none of these guys is going to turn into a Kane, Toews, Seguin, etc level player. They are potentially good players but this team isn't going to be a strong cup competitor without one or two Sedin-level or close on the top line. I'm as happy as anyone to see the kids do well but let's not pretend they are the ones driving this winning streak either.
 

fancouver

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Yeah I'm in the same boat. I don't want Horvat, Hutton, Virtanen and the others playing in a toxic environment but I also don't want a near miss or first round exit where we draft 12-16th. Tough to have it both ways

Yep, you have to make a decision on this. If the kids are performing and getting the team points, that's already 'rebuiding for the future'.
 

VanTampaFan

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Jul 16, 2010
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It does but let's be realistic here. While Bo and Baertschi are contributing directly to wins, Jake and McCann aren't really. Yes their overall play is getting better (esp. Jake) but we aren't winning these games *because* of them. We've won despite the team as a whole playing quite poor hockey but a combination of unreal goaltending and honestly just some lucky bounces have been the difference. That isn't enough to make me say "well, this team is good now so let's just focus on playoffs", it's mostly a mirage/illusion built largely around some players in their mid-30's who won't be part of that next cup run.

This team needs more talent in general and at least *some* elite talent, which it doesn't have anywhere in the system outside of the 35 year old Sedins. I am very excited about Horvat already and what Virtanen, McCann, and Boeser can potentially develop into but let's be realistic, none of these guys is going to turn into a Kane, Toews, Seguin, etc level player. They are potentially good players but this team isn't going to be a strong cup competitor without one or two Sedin-level or close on the top line. I'm as happy as anyone to see the kids do well but let's not pretend they are the ones driving this winning streak either.

I agree. It's like Poile's comment when he traded for Johansen the other week.

Paraphrasing here: "You look at all the guys in the top 30 in scoring, and nearly every one is a top 5 pick."

So you either draft those guys or when one comes available you pounce on it like Poile did. I think we really need to try and grab one or two right now to develop with this new core.

I also really wish the AHL/CHL transfer agreement would exclude 1st round picks. Jake and Jared should be playing in the AHL right now and riding the bus and being seasoned the right way. I don't disagree with Benning keeping them up, but I think everyone would rather see them getting top 9 minutes on the Comets if we had the choice.
 

canwincup

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Aug 28, 2008
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It does but let's be realistic here. While Bo and Baertschi are contributing directly to wins, Jake and McCann aren't really. Yes their overall play is getting better (esp. Jake) but we aren't winning these games *because* of them. We've won despite the team as a whole playing quite poor hockey but a combination of unreal goaltending and honestly just some lucky bounces have been the difference. That isn't enough to make me say "well, this team is good now so let's just focus on playoffs", it's mostly a mirage/illusion built largely around some players in their mid-30's who won't be part of that next cup run.

This team needs more talent in general and at least *some* elite talent, which it doesn't have anywhere in the system outside of the 35 year old Sedins. I am very excited about Horvat already and what Virtanen, McCann, and Boeser can potentially develop into but let's be realistic, none of these guys is going to turn into a Kane, Toews, Seguin, etc level player. They are potentially good players but this team isn't going to be a strong cup competitor without one or two Sedin-level or close on the top line. I'm as happy as anyone to see the kids do well but let's not pretend they are the ones driving this winning streak either.

I think playoff experience is huge for the young guys, especially when they don't have to be relied upon. I just think it's important for guys like McCann, Virtanen, and Horvat to get playoff games under their belts while they don't have pressure to perform, otherwise in the future they would be getting thrown into the fire and be expected to be the go to guys.
 

fancouver

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It does but let's be realistic here. While Bo and Baertschi are contributing directly to wins, Jake and McCann aren't really. Yes their overall play is getting better (esp. Jake) but we aren't winning these games *because* of them. We've won despite the team as a whole playing quite poor hockey but a combination of unreal goaltending and honestly just some lucky bounces have been the difference. That isn't enough to make me say "well, this team is good now so let's just focus on playoffs", it's mostly a mirage/illusion built largely around some players in their mid-30's who won't be part of that next cup run.

This team needs more talent in general and at least *some* elite talent, which it doesn't have anywhere in the system outside of the 35 year old Sedins. I am very excited about Horvat already and what Virtanen, McCann, and Boeser can potentially develop into but let's be realistic, none of these guys is going to turn into a Kane, Toews, Seguin, etc level player. They are potentially good players but this team isn't going to be a strong cup competitor without one or two Sedin-level or close on the top line. I'm as happy as anyone to see the kids do well but let's not pretend they are the ones driving this winning streak either.

I agree we don't have any elite talent, like Patrick Kane, but we definitely have some legit top-6 potential in Horvat and Baertschi and the past road trip, we won "because" of them. Heck, Horvat even scored the game-winning goal and already have a few 2-goal games.

And I think the most important factor to the rebuilding phase is we are seeing Markstrom develop into a #1 goalie right before our eyes. So far he hasn't had 1 bad game since the first game this year. That's the most important piece to the roster and it looks like we'll be set.

What we need is to draft smart outside the top 10 to supplement these kids. Sedins don't look like they are slowing down.
 

Brock Boeser

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Mar 11, 2013
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They're winning games without Henrik, Sutter, Hamhuis. That would've put us into guaranteed lottery contention in years past.

Henrik has only been 2 and a half games. Sutter and Hamhuis have been average to mediocre all year, adding them to the lineup only makes a minimal upgrade via bumping players down a lineup.
 

fancouver

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You mean the Sedins are still good. That and the goaltending has been solid (Markstrom/Miller).

And one of those guys you mentioned are part of the 'rebuild'.

They're winning games without Henrik, Sutter, Hamhuis. That would've put us into guaranteed lottery contention in years past.

Exactly, the kids are taking over. They won't take over every game, but they've showed they can. Just look at this road trip and you can see Horvat and Baertschi were one of the reasons they got 2 points when the Sedins weren't on the scoreboard.
 

The Drop

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I think playoff experience is huge for the young guys, especially when they don't have to be relied upon. I just think it's important for guys like McCann, Virtanen, and Horvat to get playoff games under their belts while they don't have pressure to perform, otherwise in the future they would be getting thrown into the fire and be expected to be the go to guys.
This is ridiculous. Do you have evidence that backs this experience in the playoffs nonsense? It would be like me saying that being one and done in the playoffs is a bad experience for young players because they'll think the goal every year is to just make the playoffs and then it doesn't matter.
 

canwincup

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This is ridiculous. Do you have evidence that backs this experience in the playoffs nonsense? It would be like me saying that being one and done in the playoffs is a bad experience for young players because they'll think the goal every year is to just make the playoffs and then it doesn't matter.

Haha nonsense? I've heard it all folks playoff experience is a bad thing, my apologies for making such a dumb statement :sarcasm: .
 

Billy Kvcmu

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Dec 5, 2014
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Yep, you have to make a decision on this. If the kids are performing and getting the team points, that's already 'rebuiding for the future'.

But only top 5 picks are consider "future", right?
Drouin had great junior season so he'll become a legit first liner.
Boesser is having a great NCAA season but his ceiling is 2nd liner.
Amirght?
 

canwincup

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This is ridiculous. Do you have evidence that backs this experience in the playoffs nonsense? It would be like me saying that being one and done in the playoffs is a bad experience for young players because they'll think the goal every year is to just make the playoffs and then it doesn't matter.

Then It's like me saying that if the young players get used to missing the playoffs and finishing in the bottom 5 they will never be able to lead a team to the playoffs because they don't know how to make the playoffs.
 

Billy Kvcmu

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Dec 5, 2014
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This is ridiculous. Do you have evidence that backs this experience in the playoffs nonsense? It would be like me saying that being one and done in the playoffs is a bad experience for young players because they'll think the goal every year is to just make the playoffs and then it doesn't matter.
You look at a guy like Taylor Hall who's 24 yet hasn't even had 1 playoff game.
I really don't want that happen to our young players, so even if we somehow sneak into the playoff, it's not the end of the world.
 

CanaFan

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Haha nonsense? I've heard it all folks playoff experience is a bad thing, my apologies for making such a dumb statement :sarcasm: .

No one said its a bad thing but can you show it ultimately makes any difference? I could list dozens of players who became NHL stars without making playoffs in their 1st, 2nd, or 3rd seasons. Talent, work ethic, and opportunity are the main drivers of player success. Making playoffs is not really any different than saying making the World Junior tournament is an important ingredient in a player's development. It seems like it makes sense and most people just accept it to be true, but there is no actual evidence it makes a bit of difference.
 

CanaFan

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You look at a guy like Taylor Hall who's 24 yet hasn't even had 1 playoff game yet.
I really don't want that happen to our young players, so even if we somehow sneak into the playoff, it's not the end of the world.

I don't understand your argument. Taylor Hall is a very good player, one of the top scorers in the league. What exactly has not making the playoffs "done" to him?
 

Billy Kvcmu

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I don't understand your argument. Taylor Hall is a very good player, one of the top scorers in the league. What exactly has not making the playoffs "done" to him?

It hasn't done anything to him but it's just sad to see. Plus it has become a part of Edmonton's joke around the league.
Anyway right now I'm enjoying what the youth is bringing to this team. I'll return if we have a atrocious collapse.
 

CanaFan

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But only top 5 picks are consider "future", right?
Drouin had great junior season so he'll become a legit first liner.
Boesser is having a great NCAA season but his ceiling is 2nd liner.
Amirght?

Jury is out on both Drouin and Boeser so let's not put them in either category just yet ok?

Ignoring cherry picked examples, draft history shows unequivocally that you are much much more likely to draft a top NHL player in the top 5 than in the 20's. Yes there are cases where a top 5 busts and a top 20 hits it big, but the % odds are much lower in each case. You could draft for 10 years in the 20's and walk out with 1 Kesler and 1 Schneider or you could draft top 5 for 5 years and walk out with a Carey Price, Jonathan Toews, Karl Alzner, Alex Pietrangelo, and a Matt Duchene. It depends on how long you want to wait for you to find a decent core of talent. Top 5 is faster and allows you to build a core near the same age group so they can stay together for an extended window of competitiveness.
 

CanaFan

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It hasn't done anything to him but it's just sad to see. Plus it has become a part of Edmonton's joke around the league.
Anyway right now I'm enjoying what the youth is bringing to this team. I'll return if we have a atrocious collapse.

Sure it's sad I guess, but I'd take a 50 loss season to have Taylor Hall on my team. Just because Edmonton has forgotten that you need to build other parts of a team than just forward doesn't mean we have to do it that way.
 

Billy Kvcmu

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Dec 5, 2014
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Jury is out on both Drouin and Boeser so let's not put them in either category just yet ok?

Ignoring cherry picked examples, draft history shows unequivocally that you are much much more likely to draft a top NHL player in the top 5 than in the 20's. Yes there are cases where a top 5 busts and a top 20 hits it big, but the % odds are much lower in each case. You could draft for 10 years in the 20's and walk out with 1 Kesler and 1 Schneider or you could draft top 5 for 5 years and walk out with a Carey Price, Jonathan Toews, Karl Alzner, Alex Pietrangelo, and a Matt Duchene. It depends on how long you want to wait for you to find a decent core of talent. Top 5 is faster and allows you to build a core near the same age group so they can stay together for an extended window of competitiveness.

I was pointing at some posters who have crazy obsession with Drouin
 

canwincup

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No one said its a bad thing but can you show it ultimately makes any difference? I could list dozens of players who became NHL stars without making playoffs in their 1st, 2nd, or 3rd seasons. Talent, work ethic, and opportunity are the main drivers of player success. Making playoffs is not really any different than saying making the World Junior tournament is an important ingredient in a player's development. It seems like it makes sense and most people just accept it to be true, but there is no actual evidence it makes a bit of difference.

I'm not arguing that playoff experience is what makes a young player a star....all I'm saying is that it is beneficial for a player to experience what the playoffs are like when they are not the ones relied upon to produce. Many players have stated before that getting expirence in the playoffs at a young age helps them understand how much harder the games get and how intense each and every shift is. If you think players are lying when they say that then I guess I'm wrong.
 
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