Darth Milbury
Registered User
Forgive me for intruding guys, but I actually do teach statistics at a university.
The odds of independent events do not influence each other. If you toss a coin twice, the odds will be 50% each time. You could lose the coin toss nine times, and the odds will be no different the tenth time. Each coin toss is independent from the other.
Intuitively, it would seem logical that 9 tails would make a heads more likely on the tenth toss, but that is not correct.
Your odds only change if there is a dependency. So, the odds of getting a particular pick given that somebody else has already lost the lottery improve.
The Leafs odds of winning the lottery are exactly what their odds are given their position in the lottery.
The odds of independent events do not influence each other. If you toss a coin twice, the odds will be 50% each time. You could lose the coin toss nine times, and the odds will be no different the tenth time. Each coin toss is independent from the other.
Intuitively, it would seem logical that 9 tails would make a heads more likely on the tenth toss, but that is not correct.
Your odds only change if there is a dependency. So, the odds of getting a particular pick given that somebody else has already lost the lottery improve.
The Leafs odds of winning the lottery are exactly what their odds are given their position in the lottery.