HF Habs: The Official Push for the 2020 Playoffs

[Legend123]

Likeliest playoff (currently) targets to beat

• Florida: 47GP, 57 Points --> On pace for 99 points
• Columbus: 49GP, 58 points --> On pace for 97 points
• Philly: 49GP, 58 points --> On pace for 97 points

Bubble Teams:

• Carolina: 48GP, 57 points --> On pace for 97 points
• Toronto: 49GP, 57 points --> On pace for 95 points

Montreal Canadiens: 50GP, 51 points --> On pace for 83-84 points
Current Record: 22-21-7; On pace for [around]: 38-36-8
Overall Record needed to make playoffs (roughly): 45-30-7

Which equates to a record, from now on, needed to beat current pace of current playoff and bubble teams:
23-9-0 or a winning percentage of 72%

However, the Habs have 2 to 6 fewer RW than the current and bubble teams. Therefore, they need an additional point of that pace, meaning a record of 23-8-1 (73-74%) from now on.

This is all assuming the current pace of playoff and bubble teams is maintained.

I will continuously update this thread until we either qualify for the playoffs or get eliminated. This is not a positive or negative thread. Just an outlook of our position in the playoff picture.
_____________________________________________________________________
Ideal Outcomes:
Jan 21

• Carolina loses to WPJ [0:0]
• Florida loses to CHI [0:0]

--> Now 8 points behind the last WC team.
_____________________________________________________________________

Go Go!!

Click to read more...

 

[Legend123]

Carolina is currently winning 1-0

 

[Cobra Commander]

We have a positivity playoff push thread already

 

[Legend123]

We have a positivity playoff push thread already

its a playoff outlook thread. Not about positivity or negativity

 

[Cobra Commander]

Go Habs Go, we can make the playoffs if Price keeps playing like he has been.

 

[Canadienna]

Lets say they somehow go 21-9-2 the rest of the year. That still likely puts them out of a playoff spot.

If they manage something incredible like 24-7-1, they'd hit 100 points. However, there's enough teams ahead of us that even with an ungodly run like that they're still unlikely to make it.

Carolina goes 19-10-5 --> 100 points.
Toronto goes 19-9-5 --> 100 points
Columbus goes 20-11-2 --> 100 points
Philly goes 19-10-4 --> 100 points
Florida goes 19-11-5 --> 100 points


Those are all far more likely than us going 24-7-1. With the exception of Columbus I don't think any of those teams are going to stop winning. I haven't given up faith that this can be a good team, but I don't think playoffs are really in our sight this year.

 

[Legend123]

Lets say they somehow go 21-9-2 the rest of the year. That still likely puts them out of a playoff spot.

If they manage something incredible like 24-7-1, they'd hit 100 points. However, there's enough teams ahead of us that even with an ungodly run like that they're still unlikely to make it.

Carolina goes 19-10-5 --> 100 points.
Toronto goes 19-9-5 --> 100 points
Columbus goes 20-11-2 --> 100 points
Philly goes 19-10-4 --> 100 points
Florida goes 19-11-5 --> 100 points


Those are all far more likely than us going 24-7-1. With the exception of Columbus I don't think any of those teams are going to stop winning. I haven't given up faith that this can be a good team, but I don't think playoffs are really in our sight this year.

yeah i personally agree but its just an outlook thread until we get eliminated or qualify. Its basically like a calculator to check what needs to be done from that day on.

 

[ahmedou]

Where's the official push thread for the Stanley Cup?

 

[HabsWhiteKnightLOL]

Where's the official push thread for the Stanley Cup?

Search '1993'

 

[Legend123]

Where's the official push thread for the Stanley Cup?

when we make the playoffs

 

[lo striver]

Where's the official push thread for the Stanley Cup?

no need to waste time. let's just create "parade route suggestions" thread

 

[Roadhouse]

Where's the official push thread for the Stanley Cup?

That's the tank/rebuild thread.

Making the playoffs without making major moves (which Bergevin has been confirmed to not be seeking; Price, Weber, Tatar, Petry, Domi out of the question) will not get this team far. The D will get eaten alive in the playoffs.

 

[DramaticGloveSave]

If we’re healthy and in the mix come TDL, we can’t just tank. Maybe sell some minor pieces like Thompson/Weal etc, but our roster when healthy looks pretty damn good with a motivated Kovalchuk

 

[HBDay]

You should just post your opening post in that thread.

My opinion, that thread is quite, something, I'll skip the descriptors. This seems like a discussion.

 

[CHfan1]

Here is Montreal’s chances to make it depending on how they finish the season.

Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances - Sports Club Stats

 

[peate]

Looks a lot like last year but with a steeper hill to climb. We're gonna need help and lots of it from the teams ahead of us. I say the push seems fruitless but, like the coach said: "It's not over till it's over."

 

[Kudo Shinichi]

Washington Capitals - W
Buffalo Sabres - W
Florida Panthers - W
Columbus Blue Jackets - W
New Jersey Devils - W
Anaheim Ducks - W
Toronto Maple Leafs - W
Arizona Coyotes - L
Boston Bruins - L
Pittsburgh Penguins - W
Dallas Stars - L
Detroit Red Wings - W
Washington Capitals - L
Ottawa Senators - W
Vancouver Canucks - W
New York Rangers - W
Carolina Hurricanes - W
New York Islanders - L
Tampa Bay Lightning - L
Florida Panthers - W
Nashville Predators - W
Buffalo Sabres - W
Anaheim Ducks - W
Los Angeles Kings - W
San Jose Sharks - W
Colorado Avalanche - L
Buffalo Sabres - W
Florida Panthers - W
New York Islanders - L
Chicago Blackhawks - W
Nashville Predators - W
Toronto Maple Leafs - W

24-8
Need something like this

 

[sandviper]

Washington Capitals - W
Buffalo Sabres - W
Florida Panthers - W
Columbus Blue Jackets - W
New Jersey Devils - W
Anaheim Ducks - W
Toronto Maple Leafs - W
Arizona Coyotes - L
Boston Bruins - L
Pittsburgh Penguins - W
Dallas Stars - L
Detroit Red Wings - W
Washington Capitals - L
Ottawa Senators - W
Vancouver Canucks - W
New York Rangers - W
Carolina Hurricanes - W
New York Islanders - L
Tampa Bay Lightning - L
Florida Panthers - W
Nashville Predators - W
Buffalo Sabres - W
Anaheim Ducks - W
Los Angeles Kings - W
San Jose Sharks - W
Colorado Avalanche - L
Buffalo Sabres - W
Florida Panthers - W
New York Islanders - L
Chicago Blackhawks - W
Nashville Predators - W
Toronto Maple Leafs - W

24-8
Need something like this

Pretty much, but I would argue all the Atlantic games, minus the Bruins, are must wins as those are 4-pointers.

 

[Edgy]

Likeliest playoff (currently) targets to beat

• Florida: 47GP, 57 Points --> On pace for 99 points
• Columbus: 49GP, 58 points --> On pace for 97 points
• Philly: 49GP, 58 points --> On pace for 97 points

Bubble Teams:

• Carolina: 48GP, 57 points --> On pace for 97 points
• Toronto: 49GP, 57 points --> On pace for 95 points

Montreal Canadiens: 50GP, 51 points --> On pace for 83-84 points
Current Record: 22-21-7; On pace for [around]: 38-36-8
Overall Record needed to make playoffs (roughly): 45-30-7

Which equates to a record, from now on, needed to beat current pace of current playoff and bubble teams:
23-9-0 or a winning percentage of 72%

However, the Habs have 2 to 6 fewer RW than the current and bubble teams. Therefore, they need an additional point of that pace, meaning a record of 23-8-1 (73-74%) from now on.

This is all assuming the current pace of playoff and bubble teams is maintained.

I will continuously update this thread until we either qualify for the playoffs or get eliminated. This is not a positive or negative thread. Just an outlook of our position in the playoff picture.
_____________________________________________________________________
Ideal Outcomes:
Jan 19

• Carolina Loses to Islanders in REG [1:1 3rd period]
• Columbus Loses to NYR in REG

_____________________________________________________________________

Go Go!!

23-9, so a miracle run and lots of bad luck for teams ahead of us.
Thanks for putting the work into this, keeping it updated will sure be interesting to watch.

 

[Michelangelo]

Can you also do an outlook for the lottery?

I think Chicago and NYR are playing right now

 

[Legend123]

Bad result: Car won. This may open the door to catch up on the NYI but not very likely at this point.

 

[Chili]

Leafs were dreadful last night including Andersen. If they don't get some bodies back on the blueline after the break, could be tough for them.

Edit: On the flipside, Florida is getting into a groove and now Bobrosky is back.

5 games left against those two teams.

 

[Legend123]

Leafs were dreadful last night including Andersen. If they don't get some bodies back on the blueline after the break, could be tough for them.

Edit: On the flipside, Florida is getting into a groove and now Bobrosky is back.

5 games left against those two teams.

if we go out, we may as well take the leafs out with us. No mercy!

 

[Chili]

if we go out, we may as well take the leafs out with us. No mercy!

That would be almost a consolation prize.

Edit: It's tough to miss the playoffs but it's brutal to get knocked out in the last game of the season. Hard to forget.

 

[the]

Kovalchuk will bring us to the promise land.