In my post, I already had Reilly penciled in as our "Keith equivalent". Do we consider Gardiner as our anchor for the 2nd pairing and equivalent to Hjalmarsson? Hjalmarsson is a rock and anchors that 2nd pairing for Chicago. Then there's Seabrooke.
We might be OK on the blueline if everything turns out, but hopefully the per usual optimism will be warranted this time and we aren't too prong to the "counting our chickens" phenomena here.
We're not going to have a defense identical to Chicago. It looks like this team will have its own identity.
I agree with your projection of Rielly. Gardiner is a complete mystery to me and I think we're still a couple years away from seeing his full potential. Great player with amazing skill, he seems sometimes a second too slow when making a decision.
Reilly, Percy and Gardiner is one incredible mobile defense. Loov has a great shot and Harrington has shown some great poise and intelligence. I'm looking forward to seeing this Corrado kid and what he has.
The future team won't have to rely solely on our own prospects to round out the defense. With Reilly, Gardiner, Percy, Harrington, Loov and whomever else it is not imperative they all fulfill expectations.
Finding players like Hunwick (Hunwick is only 30 and could be here for the turn around)or some older vets to fill in around whomever does not make the cut will fortify our solid d. I am pretty comfortable with the above knowing that we may still grab another solid d prospect and can fill in with some vet experience.
Not identical of course, but some basic stuff (trends) emerge when you do a bit of analysis on a championship team. You need 3 quality defenders along these lines:
#1D - Easily in the top 5 percentile (5%) in the league
#2 D - In the top 10 percentile in the league
#3 D - The defender that anchors the 2nd pairing, Minimal or very little drop off between the #2 and #3 guys. Still probably a top 10 percentile guy.
We can pencil in Reilly to the #1 slot.
Gardiner has the tools, but has been inconsistent. Is he top 10 percentile? Whether he has the hockey IQ is to be determined.
The #3 guy is an open question and TBD. Maybe one of current prospects will emerge? Will they be top 10 percentile? At best, hard to say at this point.
Phaneuf could be the #3 guy. But, in five years when we hope we are in position to take a run at the Cup, or a deep playoff run, not sure that Phaneuf or Hunwick are options or will be around.
The problem with the trade route is virtually every team wants another top 4 defender -> very high demand, very short supply. And, to get one, you have to overpay throwing the cap structure into disarray.
This is one of the reasons you have so few championship caliber teams.
My two cents.