The 20/21 Canucks Stat Tracking Thread

[Tables of Stats]

So let's rock and roll on the next thread where I predict our players' point totals based on their last 3 seasons of play and update a table every 5 games so we can track their season against my prediction. I'm going to base my stats off the percentage of games our skaters played in those seasons and project that to our, hopefully, 56 game season that starts tonight. I'll also add columns for an 82 game season as that'll be a lot easier to compare to a normal season. To avoid weirdness with rookies who got a few games at the end of a season I'll be skipping those awkward first seasons.

Also, yes I know these predictions will be off right from the start of the season as J.T. Miller is set to miss more games in a shortened season than he missed over the past 3. That's why this is mostly for fun and so we can always look back and see who was hot, cold, or in between over a 5-game stretch. It's not serious so sit back, relax, and prepare to read a big table of numbers!

Name	GP	G	A	P	GP/82	G/82	A/82	P/82
Elias Pettersson	52	21	29	50	75	30	42	72
Brock Boeser	45	17	20	37	66	25	30	55
J.T. Miller	54	15	27	42	80	22	40	62
Bo Horvat	52	17	21	38	76	25	31	56
Tanner Pearson	56	13	14	27	82	19	21	40
Jake Virtanen	51	10	9	19	75	15	13	28
Adam Gaudette	43	6	10	16	62	9	15	24
Brandon Sutter	31	5	6	11	46	8	9	17
Antoine Roussel	43	5	10	15	63	7	14	21
Tyler Motte	37	4	3	7	54	6	5	11
Jay Beagle	46	3	7	10	67	4	11	15
Loui Eriksson	43	7	9	16	63	10	13	23
Zack MacEwen	14	4	1	5	20	6	1	7
Justin Bailey	6	1	0	1	9	1	1	2
Nils Hoglander	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Mark Michaelis	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Hog + Mich + ??	99	15	16	31	146	24	24	48
FW Totals	-	143	182	-	-	211	270	-
Quinn Hughes	55	6	36	42	81	10	54	64
Nate Schmidt	47	5	18	23	69	7	27	34
Alex Edler	44	5	19	24	65	7	28	35
Tyler Myers	55	5	16	21	81	7	24	31
Travis Hamonic	46	3	7	10	68	4	11	15
Jordie Benn	49	2	8	10	71	4	12	16
Olli Juolevi	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Jalen Chatfield	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
G. Brisebois	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
B. Rafferty	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Jack Rathbone	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Rookie D + ??	40	8	38	46	57	12	58	70
D Totals	-	34	142	-	-	51	174	-
Team Totals	-	177	-	-	-	262	-	-

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

The forwards that I can generate data for account for 573 of an expected 672 needed man-games this season. This means that between Hoglander and Michaelis there are 99 man-games to go around. These games could also go to players already accounted for if they are healthy or on the bench more and in the press box less or they could go to players not currently accounted for.

The defense I can generate data for account for 296 of an expected 336 needed man-games for this season. The data it generates is garbage as it expects exactly a Quiin Hughes sized gap to be made up in our defense which none of our rookies are expected to produce. I included it because it's funny; if I were to be more serious I'd average the impact of non-roster players over the past 3 seasons like I do with player stats and get a more reasonable number.

Anyway, I don't have more time to work on this so if there are any typos please point them out and I'll update this post after I'm off work.

Click to read more...

 

[Tables of Stats]

Here it is! The first 5 games of the season on a chart. Please try not to applaud too hard.

Name	GP	G	A	P	p/GP	p/G	p/A	p/P	PS/PPG	P/PPG
Elias Pettersson	5	0	1	1	56	0	11	11	0.962	0.200
Brock Boeser	5	4	1	5	56	45	11	56	0.822	1.000
J.T. Miller	2	0	4	4	22	0	44	44	0.778	2.000
Bo Horvat	5	3	2	5	56	34	22	56	0.731	1.000
Tanner Pearson	5	0	2	2	56	0	22	22	0.481	0.400
Jake Virtanen	5	1	0	1	56	11	0	11	0.373	0.200
Adam Gaudette	5	1	0	1	56	11	0	11	0.372	0.200
Brandon Sutter	5	0	0	0	56	0	0	0	0.355	0.000
Antoine Roussel	5	0	1	1	56	0	11	11	0.349	0.200
Tyler Motte	5	2	0	2	56	22	0	22	0.189	0.400
Jay Beagle	5	0	0	0	56	0	0	0	0.217	0.000
Loui Eriksson	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.372	-.---
Zack MacEwen	3	0	0	0	34	0	0	0	0.357	0.000
Justin Bailey	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.167	-.---
Nils Hoglander	5	1	0	1	56	11	0	11	-.---	0.200
Mark Michaelis	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-.---	-.---
Hog + Mich + ??	5	1	0	1	56	11	0	11	-.---	0.200
FW Totals	-	12	-	-	-	134	-	-	2.554	2.400
Quinn Hughes	5	0	5	5	56	0	56	56	0.764	1.000
Nate Schmidt	5	1	0	1	56	11	0	11	0.489	0.200
Alex Edler	5	0	1	1	56	0	11	11	0.545	0.200
Tyler Myers	5	1	1	2	56	11	11	22	0.382	0.400
Travis Hamonic	5	0	2	2	56	0	22	22	0.217	0.400
Jordie Benn	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.204	-.---
Olli Juolevi	4	0	0	0	45	0	0	0	-.---	0.000
Jalen Chatfield	1	0	0	0	11	0	0	0	-.---	0.000
G. Brisebois	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-.---	-.---
B. Rafferty	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-.---	-.---
Jack Rathbone	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-.---	-.---
Rookie D + ??	5	0	0	0	56	0	0	0	-.---	0.00
D Totals	-	2	-	-	-	22	-	-	0.607	0.400
Team Totals	-	14	-	-	-	156	-	-	3.16	2.786

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

You'll notice a few changes from last season. The first being that I'm comparing my preseason predicted points per game (PS/PPG) to each player's projected points per game (P/PPG) rather than current points to predicted points. I made the change because it better accounts for a difference in expect games played and the games players actually play and because it's likely a bit more interesting for all of you than a simple +/- current points to projected points would be. If you want to see both I can do that so let me know what you think.

As for how our 5 games went, the record says we went 2 - 3 - 0 but after that third loss it felt like it was going to be nothing but losses for the rest of the season. Our only 'pretty' win so far is the season opener against the hot or cold Oilers.

Likewise, we had a long streak of bad special teams performances. The PK is still bad but our PP outburst againts Montreal was enough to move us into a massive tie for 8th in PP GF with 3 goals. Too bad a single game can't fix the team's bad conversion rate; a rate that has us in a 3-way tie for 20th with Edmonton and Detroit. The PK without any such bump is in 27th place preventing goals at a 63.6% rate due to allowing 8 goals on 22 attempts.

Goaltending hasn't exactly been a strength for the Canucks thus far. Holtby is in 36th place among all goaltenders with a 0.892 sv% and Demko is 43rd with a 0.883 sv%. It's too early to panic based on a small sample size but it hits harder when Markstrom and the Flames have hit thr ground running to start the season.

Anyway, that wraps up this 5-game recap. See you in the next one!

 

[M2Beezy]

LIKE

 

[Tables of Stats]

LIKE

They really ought to give you back access to that like button again.

 

[Fatass]

Looking like Boeser’s shot is back. He will score 30+ this year.
Hughes is on pace for a PPG year. I’m seeing 60 + for him.
Petey, although struggling now, will get 50+ points.
Bo is looking great! 20+ goals and 40+ points.
Miller is our best (overall) player.
Schmidt is really good.
The rest of our team (imo) is craperolla so far.

 

[Tables of Stats]

Looking like Boeser’s shot is back. He will score 30+ this year.
Hughes is on pace for a PPG year. I’m seeing 60 + for him.
Petey, although struggling now, will get 50+ points.
Bo is looking great! 20+ goals and 40+ points.
Miller is our best (overall) player.
Schmidt is really good.
The rest of our team (imo) is craperolla so far.

It's hard to disagree that we've had our share of disappointing players to start the season. The good news is we've at least got kids on the back end that could rotate in on D. The forwards are is what they are though barring a trade.

 

[Tables of Stats]

Name	GP	G	A	P	p/GP	p/G	p/A	p/P	PS/PPG	P/PPG
Elias Pettersson	10	3	3	6	56	17	17	34	0.962	0.600
Brock Boeser	10	6	3	9	56	34	17	51	0.822	0.900
J.T. Miller	7	2	7	9	39	11	39	50	0.778	1.286
Bo Horvat	10	5	5	10	56	28	28	56	0.731	1.000
Tanner Pearson	10	2	3	5	56	11	17	28	0.481	0.500
Jake Virtanen	9	1	0	1	51	6	0	6	0.373	0.111
Adam Gaudette	7	1	0	1	39	6	0	6	0.372	0.143
Brandon Sutter	10	4	0	4	56	22	0	22	0.355	0.400
Antoine Roussel	10	0	2	2	56	0	11	11	0.349	0.200
Tyler Motte	10	5	0	5	56	28	0	28	0.189	0.500
Jay Beagle	10	0	3	3	56	0	17	17	0.217	0.300
Loui Eriksson	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.372	-.---
Zack MacEwen	7	0	0	0	9	0	0	0	0.357	0.000
Justin Bailey	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.167	-.---
Nils Hoglander	10	2	3	5	56	11	17	28	-.---	0.500
Mark Michaelis	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-.---	-.---
Hog + Mich + ??	10	2	3	5	56	11	17	28	-.---	0.500
FW Totals	-	31	-	-	-	174	-	-	2.554	3.100
Quinn Hughes	10	1	10	11	56	6	56	62	0.764	1.100
Nate Schmidt	10	1	1	2	56	6	6	12	0.489	0.200
Alex Edler	9	0	2	2	50	0	11	11	0.545	0.222
Tyler Myers	10	1	5	6	56	6	28	34	0.382	0.600
Travis Hamonic	5	0	2	2	28	0	11	11	0.217	0.400
Jordie Benn	4	0	2	2	22	0	11	11	0.204	0.500
Olli Juolevi	7	1	0	1	39	6	0	6	-.---	0.143
Jalen Chatfield	4	0	0	0	11	0	0	0	-.---	0.000
G. Brisebois	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-.---	-.---
B. Rafferty	1	0	1	1	6	6	0	6	-.---	1.000
Jack Rathbone	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-.---	-.---
Rookie D + ??	12	1	1	2	67	6	6	12	-.---	0.167
D Totals	-	4	-	-	-	30	-	-	0.607	0.400
Team Totals	-	35	-	-	-	204	-	-	3.16	3.500

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Here's the table. I'll add in the 'interesting' comments when I'm home from work.

 

[M2Beezy]

Name	GP	G	A	P	p/GP	p/G	p/A	p/P	PS/PPG	P/PPG
Elias Pettersson	10	3	3	6	56	17	17	34	0.962	0.600
Brock Boeser	10	6	3	9	56	34	17	51	0.822	0.900
J.T. Miller	7	2	7	9	39	11	39	50	0.778	1.286
Bo Horvat	10	5	5	10	56	28	28	56	0.731	1.000
Tanner Pearson	10	2	3	5	56	11	17	28	0.481	0.500
Jake Virtanen	9	1	0	1	51	6	0	6	0.373	0.111
Adam Gaudette	7	1	0	1	39	6	0	6	0.372	0.143
Brandon Sutter	10	4	0	4	56	22	0	22	0.355	0.400
Antoine Roussel	10	0	2	2	56	0	11	11	0.349	0.200
Tyler Motte	10	5	0	5	56	28	0	28	0.189	0.500
Jay Beagle	10	0	3	3	56	0	17	17	0.217	0.300
Loui Eriksson	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.372	-.---
Zack MacEwen	7	0	0	0	9	0	0	0	0.357	0.000
Justin Bailey	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.167	-.---
Nils Hoglander	10	2	3	5	56	11	17	28	-.---	0.500
Mark Michaelis	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-.---	-.---
Hog + Mich + ??	10	2	3	5	56	11	17	28	-.---	0.500
FW Totals	-	31	-	-	-	174	-	-	2.554	3.100
Quinn Hughes	10	1	10	11	56	6	56	62	0.764	1.100
Nate Schmidt	10	1	1	2	56	6	6	12	0.489	0.200
Alex Edler	9	0	2	2	50	0	11	11	0.545	0.222
Tyler Myers	10	1	5	6	56	6	28	34	0.382	0.600
Travis Hamonic	5	0	2	2	28	0	11	11	0.217	0.400
Jordie Benn	4	0	2	2	22	0	11	11	0.204	0.500
Olli Juolevi	7	1	0	1	39	6	0	6	-.---	0.143
Jalen Chatfield	4	0	0	0	11	0	0	0	-.---	0.000
G. Brisebois	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-.---	-.---
B. Rafferty	1	0	1	1	6	6	0	6	-.---	1.000
Jack Rathbone	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-.---	-.---
Rookie D + ??	12	1	1	2	67	6	6	12	-.---	0.167
D Totals	-	4	-	-	-	30	-	-	0.607	0.400
Team Totals	-	35	-	-	-	204	-	-	3.16	3.500

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Here's the table. I'll add in the 'interesting' comments when I'm home from work.

LIKE

 

[Tables of Stats]

So we had five games where we went 2 - 3 and then five where we went 3 - 2. The difference is that we played the Senators three games straight in the second set and they look like a team that just wants to hit the showers the moment anything at all doesn't go their way. We can't take much away from beating a bad team 16 - 3 over three games, but maybe we can be happy that no other team shelled them quite as hard.

Thanks to the stats boost the Canucks are now looking a little bit better. We're even in goal differential (if you count a shootout goal), scoring 3.5 goals per game (ignore that we've allowed 3.6 per game), and have dragged our special teams stats out of the basement into 21st (PP) and 14th (PK). We're close to the top of the league for 5v5 goals per game (2.7) while only giving up (2.2) 5v5 goals per game both of which are good stats to see. Can we keep them there without a team rolling over and letting us pad our stats? We'll need to wait and see.

Goaltending is also trending upwards. Demko and Holtby are both rocking low-end starters numbers now for sv% with Demko ranking 25th and Holtby at 28th for goalies who've played more than one game. These aren't amazing numbers but they were both sub .900 in our last review so, baby steps.

We'll know more about how this team looks in another 5 games so I'll see you all then!

 

[Tables of Stats]

We stink. Have some stats that only measure offense so you can pretend we're doing okay. I'll do a write-up 5-games from now if the team deserves it.

Name	GP	G	A	P	p/GP	p/G	p/A	p/P	PS/PPG	p/PPG
Elias Pettersson	15	4	6	10	56	15	22	37	0.962	0.667
Brock Boeser	15	9	5	14	56	34	19	53	0.822	0.933
J.T. Miller	12	3	10	13	45	11	37	48	0.778	1.083
Bo Horvat	15	6	6	12	56	22	22	44	0.731	0.800
Tanner Pearson	15	4	4	8	56	15	15	30	0.481	0.533
Jake Virtanen	11	1	0	1	41	4	0	4	0.373	0.091
Adam Gaudette	11	2	0	2	41	7	0	7	0.372	0.182
Brandon Sutter	15	4	0	4	56	15	0	15	0.355	0.266
Antoine Roussel	15	1	2	3	56	4	7	11	0.349	0.200
Tyler Motte	15	5	1	6	56	18	4	22	0.189	0.400
Jay Beagle	15	1	4	5	56	4	15	19	0.217	0.333
Loui Eriksson	1	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0.372	0.000
Zack MacEwen	10	1	0	1	37	4	0	4	0.357	0.100
Justin Bailey	1	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0.167	0.000
Nils Hoglander	15	3	4	7	56	11	15	26	-.---	0.466
Mark Michaelis	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-.---	-.---
Hog + Mich + ??	15	3	4	7	56	11	15	26	-.---	0.466
FW Totals	-	44	-	-	-	164	-	-	2.554	2.933
Quinn Hughes	15	1	15	16	56	4	56	60	0.764	1.067
Nate Schmidt	15	1	2	3	56	4	7	11	0.489	0.200
Alex Edler	14	0	4	4	52	0	15	15	0.545	0.286
Tyler Myers	15	1	5	6	56	4	18	22	0.382	0.400
Travis Hamonic	5	0	2	2	18	0	7	7	0.217	0.400
Jordie Benn	9	0	3	3	34	0	11	11	0.204	0.333
Olli Juolevi	7	1	0	1	26	4	0	4	-.---	0.143
Jalen Chatfield	9	0	0	0	33	0	0	0	-.---	0.000
G. Brisebois	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-.---	-.---
B. Rafferty	1	0	1	1	4	4	0	4	-.---	1.000
Jack Rathbone	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-.---	-.---
Rookie D + ??	17	1	1	2	63	4	4	8	-.---	0.118
D Totals	-	4	-	-	-	15	-	-	0.607	0.266
Team Totals	-	48	-	-	-	179	-	-	3.16	3.200

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

 

[xtra]

Maybe change the p/gp column header to reflect that it’s based on a 82gp pace

P/82gp

 

[Tables of Stats]

Maybe change the p/gp column header to reflect that it’s based on a 82gp pace

P/82gp

Anything with p/ in front of it is projected. p/GP is projected games played based on how many games they're played thus far in the season. All the p/ columns are simple projections based on the players scoring pace as of that 5 game chunk of the season.

PS/PPG is my Preseason Prediction for each player's PPG by the end of the season.

p/PPG is just the player's percentage of points tallied compared to their number of games played at the time I make the updated table.

 

[Tables of Stats]

We still have a ways to go but we've shown enough signs of life to be worthy of a write-up this segment.

Name	GP	G	A	P	p/GP	p/G	p/A	p/P	PS/PPG	P/PPG
Elias Pettersson	20	5	9	14	56	14	25	39	0.962	0.700
Brock Boeser	20	12	9	21	56	34	25	59	0.822	1.050
J.T. Miller	17	4	12	16	48	11	34	45	0.778	0.941
Bo Horvat	20	8	7	15	56	22	20	42	0.731	0.750
Tanner Pearson	20	5	4	9	56	14	11	25	0.481	0.450
Jake Virtanen	15	1	0	1	42	3	0	3	0.373	0.067
Adam Gaudette	16	2	0	2	45	6	0	6	0.372	0.125
Brandon Sutter	20	5	0	5	56	14	0	14	0.355	0.250
Antoine Roussel	19	1	2	3	53	3	6	9	0.349	0.158
Tyler Motte	15	5	1	6	42	14	3	17	0.189	0.375
Jay Beagle	20	1	4	5	56	3	11	14	0.217	0.250
Loui Eriksson	4	0	1	1	11	0	3	3	0.372	0.250
Zack MacEwen	11	1	0	1	32	3	0	3	0.357	0.091
Justin Bailey	3	0	0	0	8	0	0	0	0.167	0.000
Nils Hoglander	20	3	6	9	56	8	17	25	-.---	0.450
Mark Michaelis	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-.---	-.---
Hog + Mich + ??	20	3	6	9	56	8	17	25	-.---	0.450
FW Totals	-	53	-	-	-	149	-	-	2.554	2.650
Quinn Hughes	20	2	18	20	56	6	50	56	0.764	1.000
Nate Schmidt	20	2	2	4	56	6	6	12	0.489	0.200
Alex Edler	19	0	4	4	52	0	12	12	0.545	0.210
Tyler Myers	20	2	8	10	56	6	22	28	0.382	0.500
Travis Hamonic	5	0	2	2	14	0	6	6	0.217	0.400
Jordie Benn	14	1	3	4	39	3	8	11	0.204	0.286
Olli Juolevi	12	1	0	1	34	3	0	3	-.---	0.083
Jalen Chatfield	9	0	0	0	25	0	0	0	-.---	0.000
G. Brisebois	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-.---	-.---
B. Rafferty	1	0	1	1	3	3	0	3	-.---	1.000
Jack Rathbone	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-.---	-.---
Rookie D + ??	22	1	1	2	62	3	3	6	-.---	0.091
D Totals	-	8	-	-	-	27	-	-	0.607	0.400
Team Totals	-	61	-	-	-	176	-	-	3.16	3.050

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

The team's splits thus far have been:

2 - 3 - 0
3 - 2 - 0
1 - 4 - 0
2 - 2 - 1

This leaves our record at 8 - 11 - 1 which isn't good enough to be in the dance and isn't poor enough to be worth a high draft pick. This team needs to pick a direction and fast or else we risk spending a year in no-man's-land. Many predicted we'd take exactly this step back this season but I think this team has the tools to be better than what we've seen thus far but needs to start using them ASAP.

The stats say we're a middling offensive team with a GF/GP of 3.05 good enough for 15th in the league. Defensively we're putrid, if it weren't for the Senators we'd have the worst GA/GP in the league at 3.6 per game. Special teams offer a faint glimmer of hope if only because we're scoring so well even though or PP is ranked 20th with a 17.1% conversion rate. Even the PK has headed the right way operating at an 82.3% rate good for 11th in the league. The bad news is that this means we're even worse at 5-on-5 defense than our GA/GP would indicate.

If our GA/GP is terrible what does that say about our goaltending? Nothing good. When sorted to remove goalies with less than 5 games played, Holtby and Demko are neck and neck with a 0.896 and 0.895 sv%, which's "good" for 35th and T36th place respectively. It gets worse in terms of GAA with both Holtby and Demko sitting below 40th place among goalies. This says that we're allowing way too many shots and dangerous scoring chances per game which isn't a surprise to anybody who's been watching games this season.

If this team is to have any hope of winning games they need to play a more disciplined game. No more D-men pinching at the blue line only to miss the puck and let an odd-man rush go towards our net. No more standing still at our own blue line and just letting the other team chip the puck past us for easy possession. We need to instill the same uptempo that Green wants in the offensive zone into our neutral zone and defensive zone play. We have enough offensive skill to score on the counter-attack and enough footspeed to draw penalties that we shouldn't need to press so hard for offense.

TLDR; We must be better defensively at 5-on-5 and it would help if the PP started working at a better rate.

 

[Tables of Stats]

Well, we sucked on toast these past 5 games going 1 - 3 - 1 putting our total record to 9 - 14 - 2. We literally need to win 5 in a row to get back to .500 and that's pathetic.

Name	GP	G	A	P	p/GP	p/G	p/A	p/P	PS/PPG	P/PPG
Elias Pettersson	25	9	11	20	56	20	25	45	0.962	0.800
Brock Boeser	25	12	11	23	56	27	25	52	0.822	0.920
J.T. Miller	22	5	15	20	49	11	33	44	0.778	0.909
Bo Horvat	25	9	7	16	56	20	16	36	0.731	0.640
Tanner Pearson	25	5	4	9	56	11	9	20	0.481	0.360
Jake Virtanen	20	1	0	1	45	2	0	2	0.373	0.050
Adam Gaudette	21	2	2	4	47	4	4	8	0.372	0.190
Brandon Sutter	25	6	1	7	56	13	2	15	0.355	0.280
Antoine Roussel	24	1	2	3	54	2	5	7	0.349	0.125
Tyler Motte	15	5	1	6	34	11	2	13	0.189	0.375
Jay Beagle	25	1	4	5	56	2	9	11	0.217	0.200
Loui Eriksson	5	0	1	1	11	0	2	2	0.372	0.200
Zack MacEwen	14	1	0	1	31	2	0	2	0.357	0.071
Justin Bailey	3	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	0.167	0.000
Nils Hoglander	25	4	6	10	56	9	13	22	-.---	0.400
J. Hawrlyuk	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	-.---	0.000
Hog + Others	26	4	6	10	58	9	13	22	-.---	0.385
FW Totals	-	61	-	-	-	137	-	-	2.554	2.440
Quinn Hughes	25	2	19	21	56	4	43	47	0.764	0.840
Nate Schmidt	25	3	4	7	56	7	9	16	0.489	0.280
Alex Edler	24	0	4	4	54	0	9	9	0.545	0.167
Tyler Myers	25	3	9	12	56	7	20	27	0.382	0.480
Travis Hamonic	7	0	2	2	16	0	5	5	0.217	0.286
Jordie Benn	19	1	5	6	43	2	11	13	0.204	0.316
Olli Juolevi	15	1	0	1	34	2	0	2	-.---	0.067
Jalen Chatfield	9	0	0	0	20	0	0	0	-.---	0.000
G. Brisebois	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-.---	-.---
B. Rafferty	1	0	1	1	2	2	0	2	-.---	1.000
Rookie D + ??	25	1	1	2	56	2	2	4	-.---	0.080
D Totals	-	10	-	-	-	22	-	-	0.607	0.400
Team Totals	-	71	-	-	-	159	-	-	3.16	2.840

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

We've gone from middling offensively to below-average dropping from 3.05 GF/GP to 2.84 GF/GP good for a mere 20th in the league. Defensively we've improved all the way from 2nd worst in the league giving up 3.6 GA/GP to 3rd worst giving up 3.4 GA/GP. If we keep up this pace we can be merely bottom 10 by the end of the season! The PP is still stone cold having dropped from 17.1% to 16.7% and moving from 20th to 23rd. The PK also cooled dropping from 82.3% to 80.9% but our ranking held steady at 11th overall. Unless the PP finds a way to produce this team is exactly as doomed as it looks.

Goaltending is actually a bright spot. Demko has improved his sv% from 0.895 to 0.907, had he stayed there he would be alone in 40th for sv% among goalies with 7 games played but he's shot all the way up to 20th. His GAA has stayed close to where it was last post sitting at 3.06 which is only good for 37th but given the team he's in front of he's a bright spot. If Demko is doing 'well' and still putting up a terrible GAA dare we even look at Holtby? I dare. He's bad, 3.51 GAA puts him 46th out of 50 goalies who've played 7 or more games and his 0.893 sv% is just as bad ranking 42nd. I had hopes he could be at least average, but he blows and we get to enjoy his presence next season so plan the parade.

TLDR; the stats are as terrible as our record suggests.

 

[Tables of Stats]

I'm cutting things close here with game 31 on the horizon, but here we go.

We went 3 - 2 in our last 5 games. Sadly this is only our second 5 game stretch where we've gone above .500 and in both of those spans we went 3 - 2. We need to go 4 - 0 - 1 or better in this next 5 game stretch to reach a .500 record and I'm not sure if I can picture that happening.

If that wasn't enough look at our roster, of the players I have predictions for only 3 of them are performing better than predicted. If you add in Hoglander's 20 point pace as a plus that's 4. On defense it's no better, only Hughes, Myers, and Benn are above-predicted points paces and they're not up by enough to cancel out Edler and Schmidt not finding points.

Name	GP	G	A	P	p/GP	p/G	p/A	p/P	PS/PPG	P/PPG
Elias Pettersson	26	10	11	21	49	19	21	40	0.962	0.808
Brock Boeser	30	14	15	29	56	26	28	54	0.822	0.967
J.T. Miller	27	7	18	25	50	13	33	46	0.778	0.926
Bo Horvat	30	11	9	20	56	21	17	38	0.731	0.667
Tanner Pearson	30	5	4	9	56	9	7	16	0.481	0.300
Jake Virtanen	25	3	0	3	47	6	0	6	0.373	0.120
Adam Gaudette	26	3	3	6	49	6	6	12	0.372	0.231
Brandon Sutter	30	6	1	7	56	11	2	13	0.355	0.233
Antoine Roussel	29	1	2	3	54	2	4	6	0.349	0.103
Tyler Motte	15	5	1	6	28	10	2	12	0.189	0.375
Jay Beagle	30	1	4	5	56	2	7	9	0.217	0.167
Loui Eriksson	5	0	1	1	9	0	2	2	0.372	0.200
Zack MacEwen	15	1	0	1	28	2	0	2	0.357	0.067
Justin Bailey	3	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	0.167	0.000
Nils Hoglander	30	5	6	11	56	9	11	20	-.---	0.333
J. Hawrlyuk	5	0	0	0	9	0	0	0	-.---	0.000
M. Michaelis	4	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	-.---	0.000
Hog + Others	39	5	6	10	73	9	11	20	-.---	0.256
FW Totals	-	72	-	-	-	134	-	-	2.554	2.400
Quinn Hughes	30	2	22	24	56	4	41	45	0.764	0.800
Nate Schmidt	30	3	6	9	56	6	11	17	0.489	0.300
Alex Edler	29	0	6	6	54	0	11	11	0.545	0.207
Tyler Myers	30	3	10	13	56	6	19	25	0.382	0.433
Travis Hamonic	10	0	2	2	20	0	4	4	0.217	0.200
Jordie Benn	24	1	5	6	45	2	9	11	0.204	0.250
Olli Juolevi	15	1	0	1	28	2	0	2	-.---	0.067
Jalen Chatfield	9	0	0	0	17	0	0	0	-.---	0.000
G. Brisebois	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-.---	-.---
B. Rafferty	1	0	1	1	2	2	0	2	-.---	1.000
Rookie D + ??	25	1	1	2	47	2	2	4	-.---	0.080
D Totals	-	10	-	-	-	19	-	-	0.607	0.333
Team Totals	-	82	-	-	-	153	-	-	3.16	2.733

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

We've gone from below-average offensively to slightly worse dropping from 2.84 GF/GP to 2.73 GF/GP which is still "good" for 20th in the league. Defensively we've improved by another 0.1 GA/GP which is enough to make us only the 6th worst defensive team in the league. If we maintain the defense and see an offensive bump when (if?) Pettersson comes back we could see enough of an improvement to narrowly miss the playoffs and screw our draft selection up. The PP has found some success rising back to a 20% scoring rate but that's still only good for 19th. The PK mostly stayed the same slipping from 80.9% to 80.4% but that was enough to drop us to 13th in the league. The PP produced by our 5-on-5 offense is dire without Pettersson.

Demko keeps powering up pushing his save percentage up from .907 to .914 which places him at 14th in the league. His GAA has also improved to 2.87 which jumps him from 37th to 26th. He's playing like a star given how bad his start was and it makes me wonder what our record might have been if we got him into a grove early rather than splitting the net with Holtby. Speaking of Holtby, he's still awful with a 0.893 sv% and 3.56 GAA. The second-year on his deal looks worse by the game.

TLDR; Demko has put the team on his back and is trying to carry us but unless we can find some offense he's doomed to fail.

 

[M2Beezy]

I'm cutting things close here with game 31 on the horizon, but here we go.

We went 3 - 2 in our last 5 games. Sadly this is only our second 5 game stretch where we've gone above .500 and in both of those spans we went 3 - 2. We need to go 4 - 0 - 1 or better in this next 5 game stretch to reach a .500 record and I'm not sure if I can picture that happening.

If that wasn't enough look at our roster, of the players I have predictions for only 3 of them are performing better than predicted. If you add in Hoglander's 20 point pace as a plus that's 4. On defense it's no better, only Hughes, Myers, and Benn are above-predicted points paces and they're not up by enough to cancel out Edler and Schmidt not finding points.

Name	GP	G	A	P	p/GP	p/G	p/A	p/P	PS/PPG	P/PPG
Elias Pettersson	26	10	11	21	49	19	21	40	0.962	0.808
Brock Boeser	30	14	15	29	56	26	28	54	0.822	0.967
J.T. Miller	27	7	18	25	50	13	33	46	0.778	0.926
Bo Horvat	30	11	9	20	56	21	17	38	0.731	0.667
Tanner Pearson	30	5	4	9	56	9	7	16	0.481	0.300
Jake Virtanen	25	3	0	3	47	6	0	6	0.373	0.120
Adam Gaudette	26	3	3	6	49	6	6	12	0.372	0.231
Brandon Sutter	30	6	1	7	56	11	2	13	0.355	0.233
Antoine Roussel	29	1	2	3	54	2	4	6	0.349	0.103
Tyler Motte	15	5	1	6	28	10	2	12	0.189	0.375
Jay Beagle	30	1	4	5	56	2	7	9	0.217	0.167
Loui Eriksson	5	0	1	1	9	0	2	2	0.372	0.200
Zack MacEwen	15	1	0	1	28	2	0	2	0.357	0.067
Justin Bailey	3	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	0.167	0.000
Nils Hoglander	30	5	6	11	56	9	11	20	-.---	0.333
J. Hawrlyuk	5	0	0	0	9	0	0	0	-.---	0.000
M. Michaelis	4	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	-.---	0.000
Hog + Others	39	5	6	10	73	9	11	20	-.---	0.256
FW Totals	-	72	-	-	-	134	-	-	2.554	2.400
Quinn Hughes	30	2	22	24	56	4	41	45	0.764	0.800
Nate Schmidt	30	3	6	9	56	6	11	17	0.489	0.300
Alex Edler	29	0	6	6	54	0	11	11	0.545	0.207
Tyler Myers	30	3	10	13	56	6	19	25	0.382	0.433
Travis Hamonic	10	0	2	2	20	0	4	4	0.217	0.200
Jordie Benn	24	1	5	6	45	2	9	11	0.204	0.250
Olli Juolevi	15	1	0	1	28	2	0	2	-.---	0.067
Jalen Chatfield	9	0	0	0	17	0	0	0	-.---	0.000
G. Brisebois	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-.---	-.---
B. Rafferty	1	0	1	1	2	2	0	2	-.---	1.000
Rookie D + ??	25	1	1	2	47	2	2	4	-.---	0.080
D Totals	-	10	-	-	-	19	-	-	0.607	0.333
Team Totals	-	82	-	-	-	153	-	-	3.16	2.733

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

We've gone from below-average offensively to slightly worse dropping from 2.84 GF/GP to 2.73 GF/GP which is still "good" for 20th in the league. Defensively we've improved by another 0.1 GA/GP which is enough to make us only the 6th worst defensive team in the league. If we maintain the defense and see an offensive bump when (if?) Pettersson comes back we could see enough of an improvement to narrowly miss the playoffs and screw our draft selection up. The PP has found some success rising back to a 20% scoring rate but that's still only good for 19th. The PK mostly stayed the same slipping from 80.9% to 80.4% but that was enough to drop us to 13th in the league. The PP produced by our 5-on-5 offense is dire without Pettersson.

Demko keeps powering up pushing his save percentage up from .907 to .914 which places him at 14th in the league. His GAA has also improved to 2.87 which jumps him from 37th to 26th. He's playing like a star given how bad his start was and it makes me wonder what our record might have been if we got him into a grove early rather than splitting the net with Holtby. Speaking of Holtby, he's still awful with a 0.893 sv% and 3.56 GAA. The second-year on his deal looks worse by the game.

TLDR; Demko has put the team on his back and is trying to carry us but unless we can find some offense he's doomed to fail.

Pretty impressive to see Brock Boeser still at around PPG even tho went like 10 games without a goal - wasnt really struggling during that streth just not getting the goals

 

[Tables of Stats]

Pretty impressive to see Brock Boeser still at around PPG even tho went like 10 games without a goal - wasnt really struggling during that streth just not getting the goals

Yeah, Boeser and Miller are putting up points even while 'playing badly' which makes it all the worse that they're getting zero run support.

 

[M2Beezy]

Looking at the stats of our bottom 6 forwards is super depressing:

Sutter 7 pts in 30 games
Gaudette 6 in 26
Motte 6 in 15
Beagle 5 in 30
Virtanen 3 in 25
Roussell 3 in 29
Macewan 1 in 15
Eriksson 1 in 5

Also doesnt help that Pearson as our 6th best forward has only 9 points

 

[Tables of Stats]

Looking at the stats of our bottom 6 forwards is super depressing:

Sutter 7 pts in 30 games
Gaudette 6 in 26
Motte 6 in 15
Beagle 5 in 30
Virtanen 3 in 25
Roussell 3 in 29
Macewan 1 in 15
Eriksson 1 in 5

Also doesnt help that Pearson as our 6th best forward has only 9 points

I wouldn't lump in Motte with the rest. If he stayed on pace, as unlikely as that is, he'd be ahead of Pearson right now.

 

[Tables of Stats]

For those of you missing this would you rather I bring this back at game 40 or do a 'mid-season' breakdown as we've hit our scheduled break? I'm leaning towards just doing one now, but if people want to keep the numbers clean I'm 100% down with that too.

 

[Tables of Stats]

I missed game 40 by a fair bit, so I'm going to update the stats thread after today's game, then game 50, and then game 56.

 

[Tables of Stats]

This one's a bit off schedule at game 42, but after that COVID bought I'm feeling about as drained as the team must have felt, but, just like them, I'll play out the string.

Since our last update back at game 30 our record has been 7 - 4 - 1 which is well above our pace for the season. We're still in tough to make the dance but if we can keep up a ~0.650 points percentage moving forward we have a good shot.

That all said Pettersson is done for the season and almost nobody is performing above my expectations. Combine that with the schedule and Demko being banged up and we could just as easily freefall down the league's standings. I'm leaning tank myself even given the odd circumstances surrounding this draft class.

Name	GP	G	A	P	p/GP	p/G	p/A	p/P	PS/PPG	P/PPG
Elias Pettersson	26	10	11	21	35	13	15	28	0.962	0.808
Brock Boeser	42	17	20	37	56	23	27	50	0.822	0.881
J.T. Miller	39	10	23	33	52	13	31	44	0.778	0.846
Bo Horvat	42	16	16	32	56	21	21	42	0.731	0.762
Tanner Pearson	38	9	5	14	51	12	7	19	0.481	0.368
Jake Virtanen	36	4	0	4	48	5	0	5	0.373	0.111
Adam Gaudette*	32	4	3	7	32	4	3	7	0.372	0.219
Brandon Sutter	40	8	3	11	53	11	4	15	0.355	0.275
Antoine Roussel	35	1	3	4	47	1	4	5	0.349	0.114
Tyler Motte	22	6	2	8	29	8	3	11	0.189	0.364
Jay Beagle	30	1	4	5	40	1	5	6	0.217	0.167
Loui Eriksson	7	0	1	1	9	0	1	1	0.372	0.142
Zack MacEwen	23	1	1	2	31	1	1	2	0.357	0.087
Justin Bailey	3	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0.167	0.000
Jimmy Vesey	8	0	0	0	11	0	0	0	-.---	0.000
Travis Boyd	5	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	-.---	0.000
M. Highmore	4	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	-.---	0.000
Nils Hoglander	42	9	10	19	56	12	13	25	-.---	0.452
J. Hawrlyuk	17	1	1	2	23	1	1	2	-.---	0.118
M. Michaelis	8	0	0	0	11	0	0	0	-.---	0.000
Tyler Graovac	3	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	-.---	0.000
Hog + Others	70	10	11	21	94	13	14	27	-.---	0.300
FW Totals	-	97	-	-	-	129	-	-	2.554	2.301
Quinn Hughes	42	3	29	32	56	4	39	43	0.764	0.762
Nate Schmidt	41	4	9	13	55	5	12	17	0.489	0.317
Alex Edler	39	0	6	6	52	0	8	8	0.545	0.154
Tyler Myers	42	4	12	16	56	5	16	21	0.382	0.381
Travis Hamonic	24	0	4	4	32	0	5	5	0.217	0.167
Jordie Benn*	31	1	8	9	31	1	8	9	0.204	0.290
Olli Juolevi	19	2	0	2	25	3	0	3	-.---	0.105
Jalen Chatfield	13	0	1	1	17	0	1	1	-.---	0.077
B. Rafferty	1	0	1	1	1	0	1	1	-.---	1.000
G. Brisebois	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	-.---	0.000
Rookie D + ??	34	2	2	4	44	3	2	5	-.---	0.118
D Totals	-	14	-	-	-	19	-	-	0.607	0.333
Team Totals	-	111	-	-	-	148	-	-	3.16	2.642

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Let's be honest, we're missing one of our top 3 players so it's no surprise the offense looks terrible. Our GF/GP has lurched another step lower from 2.73 to 2.64 falling from 20th to 23rd. That said our defense has looked better, mainly due to Holtby not playing terribly, and our GA/GP has changed from 3.4 to 3.1 which is still high but not the early season Senators level of bad it was at. Our PP has slipped half a percentage point from 20% flat to 19.5% which has us tied for 19th in the league. Meanwhile, the PK is running at 78.3% (21st) which is a big drop from the 80.3% it was at after game 30.

All of these stats peg us as a 20th place team in the league which is almost exactly where we're at.

The goaltending has been an adventure this year with Demko's rocky start and Holtby doing his best to play himself out of the league, but it's improved some. Demko has kept pushing his numbers towards the top of the league with a 0.917 sv% which has kept his GAA at 2.74. If we could keep him from facing 33 shots per night he could, almost, carry this team. Holtby who hasn't broken 0.900 in any of these reports is at a 0.904 which pegs him as a solid backup. Still, he's facing 34 shots per night which has his GAA sitting at 3.24 which is 49th among goalies who've started at least 15 games.

This team needs a lot of help on defense and could easily dump its entire bottom-6 for waiver fodder and expect to see improvement. It's going to take work that I'm not sure Benning is capable of to get this team pointed in the right direction.

 

[Tables of Stats]

Game 50 was the game that we found ourselves officially on the outside of the playoffs with no way back in. With a record of 21 - 26 - 3 for a 0.450 points percentage, we find ourselves only above the Senators in our division and 24th in the league by points percentage. Given how tight the standings are at the bottom of the league we could still place anywhere between 20th and 28th place. My hope is that we stay towards the bottom and pull even more vets from the line-up for our meaningless final games.

Name	GP	G	A	P	p/GP	p/G	p/A	p/P	PS/PPG	P/PPG
Elias Pettersson	26	10	11	21	26	10	11	21	0.962	0.808
Brock Boeser	50	20	21	41	56	22	24	46	0.822	0.820
J.T. Miller	47	13	26	39	53	15	29	44	0.778	0.830
Bo Horvat	50	17	19	36	56	19	21	40	0.731	0.720
Tanner Pearson	46	10	7	17	52	11	8	19	0.481	0.370
Jake Virtanen	38	5	0	5	38	5	0	5	0.373	0.132
Adam Gaudette*	32	4	3	7	32	4	3	7	0.372	0.219
Brandon Sutter	43	9	3	12	48	10	3	13	0.355	0.279
Antoine Roussel	35	1	3	4	39	1	3	4	0.349	0.114
Tyler Motte	24	6	3	9	27	7	3	10	0.189	0.375
Jay Beagle	30	1	4	5	30	1	4	5	0.217	0.167
Loui Eriksson	7	0	1	1	8	0	1	1	0.372	0.142
Zack MacEwen	30	1	1	2	34	1	1	2	0.357	0.067
Justin Bailey	3	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0.167	0.000
Jimmy Vesey	14	0	1	1	16	0	1	1	-.---	0.071
Travis Boyd	13	1	0	1	15	1	0	1	-.---	0.077
M. Highmore	12	0	2	2	13	0	2	2	-.---	0.167
J. Hawrlyuk	24	2	3	5	27	2	3	5	-.---	0.208
Nils Hoglander	50	12	14	26	56	13	16	29	-.---	0.520
M. Michaelis	10	0	0	0	11	0	0	0	-.---	0.000
Tyler Graovac	8	2	0	2	9	2	0	2	-.---	0.250
Kole Lind	6	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	-.---	0.000
Hog + Others	74	14	14	28	83	15	16	31	-.---	0.378
FW Totals	-	118	-	-	-	132	-	-	2.554	2.360
Quinn Hughes	50	3	33	36	56	3	37	40	0.764	0.720
Nate Schmidt	49	5	10	15	55	6	11	17	0.489	0.306
Alex Edler	47	0	7	7	53	0	8	8	0.545	0.149
Tyler Myers	50	5	13	18	56	6	15	21	0.382	0.360
Travis Hamonic	32	1	5	6	36	1	6	7	0.217	0.188
Jordie Benn*	31	1	8	9	31	1	8	9	0.204	0.290
Olli Juolevi	21	2	1	3	24	2	1	3	-.---	0.143
Jalen Chatfield	15	0	1	1	17	0	1	1	-.---	0.067
B. Rafferty	1	0	1	1	1	0	1	1	-.---	1.000
G. Brisebois	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	-.---	0.000
Jack Rathbone	4	1	1	2	4	1	1	2	-.---	0.500
Rookie D + ??	42	3	4	7	47	3	4	7	-.---	0.167
D Totals	-	18	-	-	-	20	-	-	0.607	0.360
Team Totals	-	136	-	-	-	152	-	-	3.16	2.720

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Players in bold are players that are presumed to be done for the season. Players marked with a star and in italics were traded.

The offense is still awful having plummeted from 2.64 GF/GP to 2.36 which is 'good' for 24th in the league. The defense has also given up and dipped to allowing 3.26 GA/GP which is also 24th in the league. Special teams are at 17.4% (25th) and 77.9% (24th) and are as responsible for our lack of success as everything else has been this season.

Demko is still putting up respectable starting-caliber numbers on a team with a very poor defense (0.914 sv% [T15th] - 2.89 GAA [39th] - 33.25 Shots Against per Game). Holtby has slipped back into being a low end backup after a few games where he started looking better (0.899 sv% [T44th] - 3.34 GAA [51st] - 33.06 Shots Against per Game). If Holtby had played as well as Demko we might have just limped into the playoffs but that's a lot to ask of your backup with our quality of defense.

Look forward to our season concluding stats when this mess is finally finished. Until then, try to stay sobber during the games, this team isn't a good reason to hurt your liver.

 

[Tables of Stats]

It is my grim duty to post this season's final tallies and put this season out of its misery.

We finished with a 23 - 19 -4 record which was "good" for 50 points in 56 games. That puts us 24th overall had we been 3 points worse we'd have been alone in 28th, 6 points worse for 29th, 8 for 30th, and 13 for last. We were 11 points away from an untied 16th in the league.

Name	GP	G	A	P	82/GP	82/G	82/A	82/P	P/PPG	A/PPG
Elias Pettersson	26	10	11	21	38	15	16	31	0.962	0.808
Brock Boeser	56	23	26	49	82	34	38	72	0.822	0.875
J.T. Miller	53	15	31	46	78	22	46	68	0.778	0.868
Bo Horvat	56	19	20	39	82	29	29	58	0.731	0.696
Tanner Pearson	51	10	8	18	75	15	12	27	0.481	0.353
Jake Virtanen	38	5	0	5	56	7	0	7	0.373	0.132
Adam Gaudette	32	4	3	7	47	6	4	10	0.372	0.219
Brandon Sutter	43	9	3	12	63	13	4	17	0.355	0.279
Antoine Roussel	35	1	3	4	51	1	4	5	0.349	0.114
Tyler Motte	24	6	3	9	35	9	4	13	0.189	0.375
Jay Beagle	30	1	4	5	44	1	6	7	0.217	0.167
Loui Eriksson	7	0	1	1	10	0	1	1	0.372	0.142
Zack MacEwen	34	1	1	2	50	1	1	2	0.357	0.067
Justin Bailey	3	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0.167	0.000
Jimmy Vesey	20	0	3	3	29	0	4	4	0.354	0.150
Travis Boyd	19	2	0	2	28	3	0	3	0.391	0.105
M. Highmore	18	3	2	5	26	4	3	7	0.137	0.278
J. Hawrlyuk	30	2	3	5	44	3	4	7	0.324	0.167
Tyler Graovac	14	3	1	4	21	5	2	7	0.169	0.286
Nils Hoglander	56	13	14	27	82	19	21	40	-.---	0.482
M. Michaelis	15	0	0	0	22	0	0	0	-.---	0.000
Kole Lind	7	0	0	0	10	0	0	0	-.---	0.000
J. Gadjovich	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	-.---	0.000
W. Lockwood	2	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	-.---	0.000
Rookies	81	13	14	31	119	19	21	40	-.---	0.382
FW Totals	-	127	-	-	-	186	-	-	2.554	2.268
Quinn Hughes	56	3	38	41	82	4	56	60	0.764	0.732
Nate Schmidt	54	5	10	15	79	7	15	22	0.489	0.278
Alex Edler	52	0	8	8	76	0	12	12	0.545	0.154
Tyler Myers	55	6	15	21	81	9	22	31	0.382	0.382
Travis Hamonic	38	3	7	10	56	4	12	16	0.217	0.263
Jordie Benn	31	1	8	9	45	1	8	9	0.204	0.290
Olli Juolevi	23	2	1	3	34	3	1	4	-.---	0.130
Jalen Chatfield	18	0	1	1	26	0	1	1	-.---	0.056
B. Rafferty	1	0	1	1	1	0	1	1	-.---	1.000
G. Brisebois	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0.000	0.000
Jack Rathbone	8	1	2	3	12	2	3	5	-.---	0.375
Rookie D	51	3	5	8	75	5	6	11	-.---	0.157
D Totals	-	21	-	-	-	31	-	-	0.607	0.375
Team Totals	-	148	-	-	-	217	-	-	3.16	2.643

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

[I changed the predicted totals to 82 game season totals for more context. I also added "predictions" for players that joined the team late for even more context.]

You can look at the red and see that way too many players underperformed their 3-year average.

6 of 24 forwards were on pace for less than 20 points over an 82 game season. Hoglander was the only rookie forward to score a point. Once you got past our top 6, and arguably our top 5, you fell into the abyss in terms of generating offense. The worst part, and we all know it, is that the abyss is also a money pit to the tune of $20 million per season.

The defense was slightly better. Hughes was scoring close to last years rate even without Pettersson to finish for him. Rathbone and Juolevi look like at least depth options. Even Myers at least managed to score at a respectable rate. With a proper system, which we're not seeing next season, we could make this core average even with the parts we have.

In terms of team stats the only stat that wasn't in the mid 20's was our PK and given how leaky we were at 5-on-5 that didn't help. We simply couldn't score, couldn't keep shot counts low, and couldn't keep pucks out of the net. 148 goals for. 187 goals against. -39 goal differential. Need I say more.

Demko was better than his stats suggest given the state of this team. He managed a 0.915 sv% (T16th) and a 2.85 GAA (36th) but he did so facing 33.5 shots per 60 minutes which was only behind the 34.8 Bernier faced playing in Detroit. Holtby couldn't match Demko's heroics while facing down 33.1 shots per 60 (4th highest) and ended with an 0.889 sv% (56th) and a GAA of 3.67 (58th) which simply aren't good enough even in the face of that many shots.

In short, we deserved our place in the standings and given that we're giving the same manager and coach another season I have little hope for next season.

 

[RebuildinVan]

Here is a stat. Loui Eriksson made $6 million per point this year

I need to throw up....then have a drink