% that McDavid wins the Rocket this season

[authentic]

I re-ran the model that I've been using this season. Assuming Matthews doesn't miss any games, the race is absolutely over. My model gives him a 99.97% chance of winning the Richard trophy. McDavid has less than a 0.1% chance.

If we assume Matthews misses the rest of the season, the race is still over. In that scenario, he has a 99.92% chance of winning the Richard trophy. McDavid's chances go up to 0.2%. There are too few games remaining on the schedule for him to have any realistic chance to catch up.

If someone offered to pay me $1 if Matthews won the Richard, and I had to pay them $1,000 if anyone else took the trophy, I'd take that bet (and sleep soundly at night).

It would be the easiest dollar you ever made.

 

[CN8]

Matthews could shut it down today and win by a few goals
As a McDavid fanboy I can praise his dominance as a goal scorer

 

[93gilmour93]

0%

The leagues best goal scorer will not be caught and it's going to be Matthews winning the rocket for the foreseeable future unless he get injured in a season

 

[Mats13]

He has no chance

Matthews goal scoring is simply unrivalled

 

[spiny norman]

Lopsided result.