SERIES DISCUSSION: Metro Semis | Pens vs. Rangers | Pt. 2 - Turn it up to 11
- Thread starter JQR
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ColePens
RIP Fugu Buffaloed & parabola
Jaded-Fan
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Beau Knows
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Other than our "core" guys, I think Hornqvist is probably going to be the best playoff type player we have had in a long time. I'm excited to see how he does.
pensfan71
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- Jun 9, 2010
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I'm looking forward to see what Downie and Comeau do to get under the Rags' skin
Beau Knows
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So when we left off I think that the suggestion was to do a bit of this to Lundqvist.
Yes, I hope they do exactly that.Not a problem. I had some tabs open.
Rangers are definitely the favorites. They have the better record, better goaltending (by sv%), better shooting (by sh%), are healthier, and have more depth (even when the Pens are healthy).
The Pens actually have some advantages (in spite of the doom and gloom talk). They have better shot differentials, better special teams (even if the PP is not great), and have Crosby and Malkin.
If the Pens can take advantage of their advantages especially special teams and get a little "lucky" in shooting percentage then the series gets a little more interesting.
I don't know or rather the stats don't know either.
PDO is the sum of a team's even strength shooting percentage and even strength save percentage. On average (across teams and players) it measures random variability (or luck) and has a normal range (0.98-1.02 or close to that) over a large number of games. Over a smaller number of games, factors like home/road games, injuries, and SOS play a role. Having a low PDO over a large number of games (see Buffalo) is suggestive of lack of talent and/or coaching issues (line-up and usage, systems, adjustments). Having a high PDO over a large number of games is suggestive of high talent and/or good coaching. (Source 1, Source 2)
In the Pens case, having a low PDO over a small number of games might be injuries. But I still have reservations about Johnston's offensive systems and how they might actually have some responsibility for the lower shooting percentage (which is currently masked by injuries). Looking at Crosby's numbers this year, it seems as though a possibility is there.
Beau Knows
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And hopefully not allow Crosby and Malkin to be as targeted as they have been the last couple years. Last post-season nobody stood up for our stars.
pensfan71
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MeticulouslyDishevel
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edit: the skate is an "optional" one.
If you'll excuse me, I'm off to freak out for the next 7 hours.
edit: The skate is an "optional" one.
If you'll excuse me, i'm off to freak out for the next 7 hours.
steveg
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edit: the skate is an "optional" one.
If you'll excuse me, I'm off to freak out for the next 7 hours.
No 87 at the game-day skate, when he said he feels particularly healthy going into this post season, just one day ago? ???
Something doesn't make sense here...
Beau Knows
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DegenX
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- Aug 14, 2011
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I'm calling major bull on that one. He's looked average most of the year and lost the Art Ross to Jamie Benn by 2 measley points. A "healthy" Crosby would have left chumps like Benn and Voracek in his dust weeks ago.
JQR
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- Jan 25, 2012
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Yeah. I don't want to read into it too deeply, but you've got 20 guys on the ice and the cptn is absent? If he's trying to lead by example, he's doing it wrong. Then again, it may just be nothing. But playoffs, so drama.
steveg
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Yeah. I don't want to read into it too deeply, but you've got 20 guys on the ice and the cptn is absent? If he's trying to lead by example, he's doing it wrong. Then again, it may just be nothing. But playoffs, so drama.
I agree -- don't wish to stir up any unnecessary drama. I guess my thoughts simply are that if we knew Crosby was nursing a minor injury, then him sitting out the optional skate would make sense. Sort of like, if Malkin took off the game day skate today, that would make sense. But it seems odd to proclaim yourself to be feeling real good, and then the next day skip the game day skate...
Jaded-Fan
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MeticulouslyDishevel
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- Oct 23, 2012
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Yeah. I don't want to read into it too deeply, but you've got 20 guys on the ice and the cptn is absent? If he's trying to lead by example, he's doing it wrong. Then again, it may just be nothing. But playoffs, so drama.
So it looks like several beat writers conveniently left out the fact that 3 others are also missing.
I feel better now.
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