TheDevilMadeMe
Registered User
TDMM asserts that the GMs "saw through" how save percentage was misleading in relation to Brodeur on account of conservative shot recording, and that this somehow vindicates them. Frankly, that's ********. The GMs hadn't the faintest clue about the recording bias. Hell, no one talked about recording bias until the save percentage advocates discovered its existence in 2009. Brodeur was indeed better than his save percentage would suggest, but the GMs got stone cold lucky - it was akin to a group of blind squirrels finding a nut.
You need to expand your circle beyond the stats community. The undercounting in NJ was a running joke by Doc Emrick on local broadcasts for years in early 00s. It went like this - after a flurry of shots on goal, the game would go to commercial. Emrick: "and as we head to commercial, shots are 1-0 in favor of NJ. -laughs- well it certainly seems like more than that!" And then he and the broadcast partner would laugh. Seriously, you never heard anyone mention shot counting in New Jersey before the stats community starting taking it seriously in 2009? TheContrarianGoaltender can back this up - I'm sure he got a lot of irate email from NJ fans complaining about how his use of save percentages was underrating Brodeur because of rampant undercounting in NJ. You know why? Because it was blatantly obvious to anyone who watched the team on a regular basis that more shots were being directed towards net than were being recorded.
And as pointed out before, more elegantly by C1958 than by me, the GMs base their opinions on internal team evaluations, where they receive input from various scouts who attend games around the league.
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