Pulled Goalie Statistics

[member 298589]

Anyone know of a resource which shows, in recent history, the chance of success (for the trailing team of course) that comes with a goalie being pulled in the final < 3 minutes? It must show an advantage versus sustained 5v5 pressure the trailing team usually has?

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[LeHab]

a little dated: https://www.tsn.ca/the-math-on-pulling-goaltenders-1.465010

http://people.math.sfu.ca/~tim/papers/goalie.pdf

and a more recent study:

Pulling the Goalie: Hockey and Investment Implications by Clifford S. Asness, Aaron Brown :: SSRN

You may get more responses in By the Numbers board.

 

[maacoshark]

Ive always found that while pulling your goalie does increase your chances to tie the game it still isn't very successful. With 6 skaters against 5 there really isn't a lot of room. When is does work its usually not a finesse play.

 

[cgf]

Ive always found that while pulling your goalie does increase your chances to tie the game it still isn't very successful. With 6 skaters against 5 there really isn't a lot of room. When is does work its usually not a finesse play.

The NHL should hire Patrick Roy to teach every team to be lethal 6-on-5 over the summer

 

[BMOK33]

I always thought it’s a 6% chance you tie the game under that circumstance. I know in the old old five on five format of ties and the 5 minute OT there was a noticeable edge to the team who gave up the tying goal actually winning the game in OT for whatever reason. I don’t think that’s the case anymore with the 3 on 3 and the shootout.

 

[Kevs Security]

Could someone please tell me what the hell is Montgomery thinking? That's all I need to know.