Points vs ppg vs points per 60 mins toi

Points vs ppg vs points per 60 mins toi


  • Total voters
    333

GreeningOil

Yarpmeister
Jun 22, 2016
3,023
3,548
Saskatoon
If points/60 showed the best players, wouldn’t they play them more and then they would become the next Leon Draisaitl?

PPG tells you exactly how many points on average they will score in a given game.

no measure is going to tell you all there is though.
 

Aimerd

Registered User
Oct 14, 2017
17
15
If points/60 showed the best players, wouldn’t they play them more and then they would become the next Leon Draisaitl?

PPG tells you exactly how many points on average they will score in a given game.

no measure is going to tell you all there is though.

Not when there is no reason to, aka having a big lead alot more often than say the oilers when they are constantly chasing say a 1 goal deficity and have them out there for 2 minitues with a timeout with the goalie pulled
 

Perennial

Registered User
Jun 27, 2020
3,492
1,523
I like the idea of a PP/60, however, even that requires a caveat...

Player A and Player B could have identical PP/60, however, Player A might be getting 5 minutes of power play time per game without having to kill penalties, whereas Player B is playing shorthanded for 5 minutes per game without any power play time
 

Aimerd

Registered User
Oct 14, 2017
17
15
I like the idea of a PP/60, however, even that requires a caveat...

Player A and Player B could have identical PP/60, however, Player A might be getting 5 minutes of power play time per game without having to kill penalties, whereas Player B is playing shorthanded for 5 minutes per game without any power play time

well there is points per toi 5vs5 and points per toi on the PP. If player A leads in both then?
 

GreeningOil

Yarpmeister
Jun 22, 2016
3,023
3,548
Saskatoon
Not when there is no reason to, aka having a big lead alot more often than say the oilers when they are constantly chasing say a 1 goal deficity and have them out there for 2 minitues with a timeout with the goalie pulled
Partially true. An ENG matters. How many games have been lost when a team is scored on. McDavid might have 8-10 eng in his career. He’s not so good without the goalie in
 

Stive Morgan

Fatso forgot to shake my hand
Jul 25, 2011
21,053
26,912
British Columbia
Depends on the context, like obviously I wouldn't try to say some random 3rd liner is better than a 1st liner because he has a higher P/60 mins

PPG is usually good enough for me.
 
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The Moose is Loose

Registered User
Jun 28, 2017
10,344
9,289
St.Louis
Points 100% they're tangible and real. PPG and p/60 stats give an idea of what a player could produce in a different scenario or over a larger set of games, but thats all they are- point projections. Real actual point production will always reign supreme to pace because its a hard fact.

31 out of 31 GMs would say points here and the fact that over 75% did not choose points says a lot about how much the opinions on hfboards are worth
 

Rants Mulliniks

Registered User
Jun 22, 2008
23,071
6,136
If points/60 showed the best players, wouldn’t they play them more and then they would become the next Leon Draisaitl?

PPG tells you exactly how many points on average they will score in a given game.

no measure is going to tell you all there is though.

Your last sentence is the relevant one.

PPG doesn't tell you anything about WILL but about DID, exactly the same as P60. The big mistake many posters make is assuming linearity.

It's like the struggle many have with advanced stats.

None of the stats are bad, it's how people interpret them that's the issue.

Some folks use stats the same way a drunkard uses a light pole, for support rather than illumination.
 

Rants Mulliniks

Registered User
Jun 22, 2008
23,071
6,136
points>ppg>p/60

p/60 is dumb and usually just leads to people heavily overrating guys that do well playing on 3rd lines against weak competition
It only does that if the interpreter isn't bright. The stats are fine. It's a pesky little thing called "context" that many can't wrap their heads around.
 
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Rants Mulliniks

Registered User
Jun 22, 2008
23,071
6,136
Points 100% they're tangible and real. PPG and p/60 stats give an idea of what a player could produce in a different scenario or over a larger set of games, but thats all they are- point projections. Real actual point production will always reign supreme to pace because its a hard fact.

31 out of 31 GMs would say points here and the fact that over 75% did not choose points says a lot about how much the opinions on hfboards are worth

They aren't projections. They are exactly what happened, just like points.
 
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Holymakinaw

Registered User
May 22, 2007
8,637
4,512
Toronto
I picked PPG because you have to pick SOMETHING in this poll. But why even ask the question? They're ALL equally as important. We keep trying to dissect things down to "this > that" with zero context and it's just silly. It doesn't work that way. "Goals > points"......"5V5 > PP"........."Shot attempts > blocked shots". LOL. They're all small parts of a bigger thing.

Points matter. So does points per game. And so does points per 60 minutes, if you don't try to skew the stat to suit your argument.

Enjoy the games. Just watch the hockey. :)
 

BlueBaron

Registered User
May 29, 2006
15,674
6,308
Sarnia, On
There is no "this poll is flawed" option so didn't vote.

Problem is the stats have different value depending on the point in a players career. The per 60 stats need large samples to have meaning but after awhile it gets difficult to ignore Matthews goal scoring pace or McDavid's point production. If my per 60 goals drop when I'm 33 it means something different than when I'm 25.

This poll question is awful and almost meaningless as it currently stands.
 
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Hockey Outsider

Registered User
Jan 16, 2005
9,197
14,635
Earlier in the year, I looked at which stats best predict a forward's salary. This was based on the 2019 off-season, and I looked at 134 players (64 RFA's and 90 UFA's). I looked at more than 80 statistics to see what predicted salary. The findings:
  • The single best predictor of a forward's salary is points
  • Goals and assists were both good predictors, but not as strong as total points
  • Even strength points and powerplay points were also good predictors, but also not as strong as total points
  • Points per game was a decent predictor, but weaker than total points (similarly, goals per game and assists per game were less predictive than total goals or totals assists)
  • Per-60 production had limited predictive value. I looked at this nine different ways (goals only, assists only, and totals points - at ES only, PP only, and in total). None of those nine combinations had very good predictive power.
This doesn't mean that you shouldn't value points per game or points per 60 minutes. Maybe we have a "Moneyball" situation, where teams aren't paying players properly. But if the question is what do GM's actually value when paying players - there's no question that point production is the single most valuable metric. Combine that with age and you can get a very accurate model that predicts salary.
 

Bomber0104

Registered User
Apr 8, 2007
15,178
7,158
Burlington
All three have as much meaning as you allow them to when you apply the necessary context to it.

Overall points win the actual games at the end of the day, but you'd also be wise to find out how efficient your players are at scoring those points.
 
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Miro4Norris

Registered User
Jan 24, 2021
1,790
1,490
Points

You don’t provide value from the press box or the bench. The only thing that really matters is points
Ok so.. Teravainen just came back to The lineup last night after being out since first games of The season. He has 9 points this season.
You would rather to have Jordan Martinook, 13 points in 43 games in lineup when playoffs start instead of Teuvo?
 

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