Point prediction time

Mike Liut

HFBoards Sponsor
Sponsor
Feb 12, 2008
19,356
8,878
Tarasenko 45g-40a-85pts
Schwartz 35g-45a-80pts
ROR 25g-50a-75pts
Schenn 30g-35a-65pts
Pietrangelo 17g-44a-61pts
Perron 25g-25a-50pts
Parayko 15g-30a-45pts
Kyrou 20g-20a-40pts
Steen 18g-22a-40pts
Thomas 15g-25a-40pts
Bozak-18g-22a-40pts
Maroon 15g-25a-40pts
Blais 15g-15a-30pts
Dunn- 12g-15a-27pts
Edmundson -10g-15a-25pts
Jaskin 10g-10a-20pts
Barbashev 10g10a-20pts
JBO 5g-15a-20pts
Schmaltz - 5g-15a-20pts
Bortuzzo 5g-10a-15pts
 

Blueston

HFBoards Sponsor
Sponsor
Dec 4, 2016
18,958
19,673
Houston, TX
Tarasenko 45g-40a-85pts
Schwartz 35g-45a-80pts
ROR 25g-50a-75pts
Schenn 30g-35a-65pts
Pietrangelo 17g-44a-61pts
Perron 25g-25a-50pts
Parayko 15g-30a-45pts
Kyrou 20g-20a-40pts
Steen 18g-22a-40pts
Thomas 15g-25a-40pts
Bozak-18g-22a-40pts
Maroon 15g-25a-40pts
Blais 15g-15a-30pts
Dunn- 12g-15a-27pts
Edmundson -10g-15a-25pts
Jaskin 10g-10a-20pts
Barbashev 10g10a-20pts
JBO 5g-15a-20pts
Schmaltz - 5g-15a-20pts
Bortuzzo 5g-10a-15pts
Don't mean to be a jerk (I realize how tough this exercise is), but by my count that adds up to 350 goals. Last year no team scored 300 and Tampa was only team with even 280 goals. While individually none of these seem crazy I would suggest that on average these are likely 20-25% too high.
 

BlueDream

Registered User
Aug 30, 2011
25,781
14,197
Don't mean to be a jerk (I realize how tough this exercise is), but by my count that adds up to 350 goals. Last year no team scored 300 and Tampa was only team with even 280 goals. While individually none of these seem crazy I would suggest that on average these are likely 20-25% too high.
He's assuming every player plays 82 games. So that never happens, which is why the point projections are always a little high. It's understandable.

And that's also why I don't make projections for the entire team. I'll do it on an individual basis but there's too many things that are too hard to predict.
 

542365

2018-19 Cup Champs!
Mar 22, 2012
22,326
8,702
Tarasenko: 71 pts.
Schwartz 85 pts.(yep, I said it)
ROR 56 pts.
Schenn 61 pts.
Pietrangelo 43 pts.
Perron 45 pts.
Parayko 30 pts.
Kyrou 55 pts.(again, I said it!)
Steen 44 pts.
Thomas 33 pts.(with big majority coming in second half)
Bozak-38 pts.
Maroon 32 pts.
Blais 15 pts.
Dunn- 40 pts.
Edmundson -31 pts.
Jaskin 29 pts.
Barbashev 27 pts.
JBO 20 pts.
Schmaltz - 20 pts.
Bortuzzo 15 pts.

Some of those are optimistic, but it's the beginning of the year. f*** it.​
 

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