ChiTownPhilly
Not Too Soft
... not by as much as you'd think.
As many of us have doubtless heard by now, the last time there was an Original Six Stanley Cup Finals was 1979- 34 years ago. A long time ago, to be sure... but is it an anomalously long time ago? In the cold light of discrete statistics, I'd say "no."
Extrapolating current conference configuration and presuming parity conditions, one would expect an Original Six finals once every 28 years. Of course, this is a rudimentary start to the analysis. The number of teams has increased from 1979, parity conditions exist only in theory and not in reality, and so on. Still, I think one would find that if we factored for all the variables, the expected value of one O-6 SC finals in a 34-year span would be, to the nearest whole number, one.
Starting next year, the enacted re-alignment will lessen the chance of this happening. Now, in order for there to be an Original Six Finals, the Blackhawks must be one of the finalists. This lengthens the odds of its occurrence by nearly 45%.
For those of us who have more of our life behind us than in front of us, we might be witnessing our last Original-Six Stanley Cup Finals.
As many of us have doubtless heard by now, the last time there was an Original Six Stanley Cup Finals was 1979- 34 years ago. A long time ago, to be sure... but is it an anomalously long time ago? In the cold light of discrete statistics, I'd say "no."
Extrapolating current conference configuration and presuming parity conditions, one would expect an Original Six finals once every 28 years. Of course, this is a rudimentary start to the analysis. The number of teams has increased from 1979, parity conditions exist only in theory and not in reality, and so on. Still, I think one would find that if we factored for all the variables, the expected value of one O-6 SC finals in a 34-year span would be, to the nearest whole number, one.
Starting next year, the enacted re-alignment will lessen the chance of this happening. Now, in order for there to be an Original Six Finals, the Blackhawks must be one of the finalists. This lengthens the odds of its occurrence by nearly 45%.
For those of us who have more of our life behind us than in front of us, we might be witnessing our last Original-Six Stanley Cup Finals.
Last edited: