Olympic Gold Medal Game Shootout - Mario Lemieux vs Dominik Hasek - who wins? (read rules)

[bobholly39]

Olympic Gold medal game are the stakes. The winner is to be decided under unique shootout rules which are:

- 7 shots
- Mario Lemieux takes all 7 shots
- Hasek is goalie for all 7
- If Lemieux scores 4+ times, his team wins
- If Hasek makes 4+ saves, his team wins

Who would win, and why? Assume both are in peak shape.

Click to read more...

 

[Dakinjor]

I mean this is a pretty “if my uncle had breasts would he be my aunt” kind of question but I’m pretty sure the shootout favours the shooter but that’s just me.

 

[Larry Hanson]

Mario was as close to an auto goal on breakaways as you could get.

 

[Regal]

Shootouts favour goalies by a significant amount. Since their introduction in the regular season, players generally score around 1/3 of the time and only 5 players with at least 25 attempts have been 50% or better (Kozlov, Christiensen, Oshie, Seguin and Kotalik), and only Kozlov is above the percentage needed here for 4 out of 7 (he's at 58.7, everyone else is under 53).

While Lemieux would likely be one of the best, and had a great penalty shot record in his career, so would Hasek. Obviously anything can happen in a sample size this small, but I don't know how the answer isn't more likely to be Hasek just based on the numbers.

 

[Howboutthempanthers]

Well, we do have some evidence.





2-0 Hasek.

 

[jetsforever]

Shootouts favour goalies by a significant amount. Since their introduction in the regular season, players generally score around 1/3 of the time and only 5 players with at least 25 attempts have been 50% or better (Kozlov, Christiensen, Oshie, Seguin and Kotalik), and only Kozlov is above the percentage needed here for 4 out of 7 (he's at 58.7, everyone else is under 53).

While Lemieux would likely be one of the best, and had a great penalty shot record in his career, so would Hasek. Obviously anything can happen in a sample size this small, but I don't know how the answer isn't more likely to be Hasek just based on the numbers.

Exactly, this should be Hasek

 

[North Cole]

This isn't football, goalies have a much bigger advantage in Hockey

 

[Xspyrit]

Hasek wins anything he wants to win.

 

[MadLuke]

Smart money is on the almost any goaltender against any nhl any skater, seem quite likely for the goaltender to go above 50%. Skater need to come up with the new goal against and against.

That said Towes is almost 50% in the shootout in is career and did score many goal in a row in the world junior.

And Mario Lemieux in is career is 6-2 in penalty shot (75%), making it possible to choose Lemieux in that kind of question.

But in both case they were not facing a peak Hasek, that said I think 3 goal you go with Lemieux, so it is close.

 

[geofff]

In '98, nobody was scoring on Hasek in the shootout. Peak Lemieux would be a better option than any of Canada's shooters at the time (Fleury, Bourque, Nieuwendyk, Lindros, Shanahan) but still there's no way he scores 4 of 7 against Hasek.

 

[dr robbie]

I have a bias towards Mario and will have to vote as such in a poll like this when it's completely hypothetical. He was money on breakaways.

 

[KoozNetsOff 92]

Smart money is on the almost any goaltender against any nhl any skater, seem quite likely for the goaltender to go above 50%. Skater need to come up with the new goal against and against.

That said Towes is almost 50% in the shootout in is career and did score many goal in a row in the world junior.

And Mario Lemieux in is career is 6-2 in penalty shot (75%), making it possible to choose Lemieux in that kind of question.

But in both case they were not facing a peak Hasek, that said I think 3 goal you go with Lemieux, so it is close.

0/1 (0%) vs Hasek though

 

[KoozNetsOff 92]

Hasek for sure.

 

[Thenameless]

I'm a pretty all-out Lemieux fan. And he's the best ever on breakaways. But, the shootout still favours the goalie, and Hasek is one of the best ever as well.

Three should be a break even number on the betting line. If Lemieux scores two or less, Hasek wins. If Lemieux scores four or more, Lemieux wins. Three is considered a tie. Three goals would probably be the most common number between these two.

 

[Maestro84]

Goalies have a huge advantage in penalties; in football, it's the opposite

 

[Bouboumaster]

The real answer is probably Hasek, but if someone can do it, it's Mario Lemieux. He has the tools and the talent to smoke even the best goaltender ever. So I voted for him.

 

[Nathaniel Skywalker]

Hasek but he is the only goalie id pick

 

[Luigi Lemieux]

Hasek was terrible against Pittsburgh (and Lemieux). Remember hearing the stat in the 01 playoffs that his career save % against the pens was the worst of any team.

And Lemieux was automatic on the penalty shot/breakaway.

 

[TheGuiminator]

Can't bet against Lemieux, he just knew how to put that puck in the net.

Best natural scorer of all-time

 

[TheGuiminator]

Hasek but he is the only goalie id pick

In a best of 7 shootout with Olympic goal medal on the line, I think Patrick Roy would give Hasek a run for his money

 

[Nathaniel Skywalker]

In a best of 7 shootout with Olympic goal medal on the line, I think Patrick Roy would give Hasek a run for his money

Reason I'm picking Dominik is because lemieux himself said he was trouble

 

[Xspyrit]

Hasek was terrible against Pittsburgh (and Lemieux). Remember hearing the stat in the 01 playoffs that his career save % against the pens was the worst of any team.

And Lemieux was automatic on the penalty shot/breakaway.

Hey I wanted to verify statistically

Regular Season

14-16-5
.906 SV%
2.70 GAA

Playoffs

3-5
.898 SV%
2.38 GAA


wow it's crazy, compared to his career averages...