It is easy to be the critic. If the prospect works out everyone celebrates and no on cares or remembers who was right or wrong. If the prospect fails one can act like he or she is some kind of expert. Win/win for the critics.
I would say it's difficult to be right. Forget criticism. Forget unwarranted optimism. Is the person right? Is the data/homework correct? Those are the only things that should matter. Beyond that, I couldn't care less if a poster criticizes every single aspect of this organization. Or, if someone is unduly optimistic with everything management does. It still comes down to: Can you prove it?
I'm not sure I can agree with your analysis or conclusions. Despite the fact that it was a weak draft, the Sedins were top 3 picks. How many Canucks fans thought the Sedins will probably end up as 2nd line players but they have 1st line upsides? How many of us thought that Juolevi will likely be a 2nd pair Dman but has 1st pairing upside?
Essentially all of us (old enough) were expecting the Sedins to be all star players. In terms of their draft +1 season, the Sedins did not disappoint, but their early NHL performance did make like 90+% of us belief that they would never be 1st line players. Personally, I am convinced that had the NHL not changed the rules and it was still very much clutch and grab, the Sedins would not have been the players they ended up being.
I don't see why the Sedins would have more leeway. They were expected to come in and quickly develop into stars. Brian Burke wanted them in the NHL at 18. You talk about peers as if it matters a lot. Havlat is a peer of the Sedins and he was a much better NHL player until his game was ruined by injuries and the Sedins became the Sedins.
Juolevi was never expected to come in and quickly develop into a star player. I don't know about you, but I wasn't expecting him to be a top 4 Dman for the Canucks starting last season. He wasn't considered the most NHL ready Dman in the draft.
Relatively speaking, if you ask what would be more disappointing for Canucks fans: the Sedins not being average 2nd line players in their draft +4 season or Juolevi not being an average top 4 Dman in his draft + 4 season, I think you would find more fans disappointed in the Sedins.
There's a lot here that is outside the scope of the original argument. So I will re-iterate the argument once more:
PoM is making a false equivalency between the negative reaction Juolevi is garnering pre-NHL and the negative reaction the Sedins garnered when they first came over to the NHL. It's false because before the Sedins stepped foot on NHL ice, they were looking back at two fantastic years in the SEL. Juolevi, to this point, has nothing like this on his resume. Not even close. So I am supposing that a savvy draftist would have (back then) recognized this fact and would have afforded the Sedins more leeway with their early transition. They still had the markers of future top end players. By contrast, the questions with Juolevi were there throughout his draft year and beyond. These aren't comparable situations.
Next, you say that you never expected Juolevi to be a top4 Dman on the Canucks starting last season. I would say that that's... very convenient. I would also say that you were a big proponent of this pick and defended it tooth and nail when Tkachuk was brought up. How's it looking for you so far? Juolevi was never expected to quickly develop? Are you kidding me? He was a top5 pick. Top5 picks are supposed to be excellent prospects that advance above their peers. How low were your expectations of him that this all going according to plan for you? I guess you must have expected Tkachuk to leave him in his wake as well?
The peer group is everything. These guys are drafted in a class of similarly aged players. They are judged against those players, constantly, and throughout their careers. Why wouldn't it matter? Actually, you said "matters a lot". So do you mean to say that peer groups matter, just not to the level that I think they do? If so, what is your take on how Juolevi is currently perceived among his peer group? Just curious.