Buttonwood
$$$
Something I'd like to look at someday (but honestly, it's not goaltender-related and therefore it always falls to the bottom of my list) is a comparison of the actual value of NHL draft picks (measured by some metric) versus the perceived value of NHL draft picks (measured by the value that NHL GMs impute when they trade those picks on or before draft day).
I'm throwing it up for grabs, and would love to be involved if things get moving.
I've actually toyed around with this. I 'predicted' career games of draft picks from 1996-2006 then divided that by Michael Schuckers draft value chart (derived for expected career games, http://myslu.stlawu.edu/~msch/sports/Schuckers_NHL_Draft.pdf) then multiplied it by a 'production factor' (ppg divided by average ppg). Summed them up by team year and volia!
Obviously, the weakest part of this assessment is the predicted games, but analyzing the draft and its impact pre-salary cap isn't as fun. Once I get around to it and tighten it up a bit, I'll probably pop it into a regression to explain team success (lagged 2-3 years of course).