Most likely to bust?

[Sinurgy]

The Yotes have a lot of high end prospects but if it's one thing we've learned it's that potential and reality often do not go hand in hand. So....of the current crop, who do you think will become the next Gormley or Rundblad?

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[Jamieh]

I don't know if I'd say bust but I don't see Duke ever reaching the potential folks here think he has. I wouldn't be surprised in the least if his best scoring year is behind him.

 

[XX]

I don't know if I'd say bust but I don't see Duke ever reaching the potential folks here think he has. I wouldn't be surprised in the least if his best scoring year is behind him.

Looked exactly like his potential when he was put with the one guy who knows how to pass into space and create offense for him in Domi. Duclair is the type of player that can put up nice totals on a good team, but won't be super useful on a weak team.

 

[Jamieh]

To get those totals he shot almost 20%, not that likely that he can do that again.
And much easier to score 20 goals once than it is to repeat that in the World's best League. The other players figure you out and if you don't adapt you don't succeed. I've seen nothing from Duke to suggest he's capable of that....but he is still young.

Looked exactly like his potential when he was put with the one guy who knows how to pass into space and create offense for him in Domi. Duclair is the type of player that can put up nice totals on a good team, but won't be super useful on a weak team.

 

[Ebb]

The Yotes have a lot of high end prospects but if it's one thing we've learned it's that potential and reality often do not go hand in hand. So....of the current crop, who do you think will become the next Gormley or Rundblad?

I'd go with Conor Garland as the possible biggest bust (I'm assuming you mean all of our prospects), followed by Gaudet, and perhaps Dauphin.

 

[XX]

I'd go with Conor Garland as the possible biggest bust (I'm assuming you mean all of our prospects), followed by Gaudet, and perhaps Dauphin.

Hard to be a big bust when you're a 5th round pick or UFA signing.

 

[Plub]

I don't know if I'd say bust but I don't see Duke ever reaching the potential folks here think he has. I wouldn't be surprised in the least if his best scoring year is behind him.

Strome.

 

[Ebb]

Hard to be a big bust when you're a 5th round pick or UFA signing.

I was assuming it was based on prospects moreso than where they were drafted, but here's a list of the picks from the first two rounds since 2013:

2016 Keller, Chychrun
2015 Strome, Merkley, Fischer
2014 Perlini, MacInnis, Dvorak
2013 Domi, Dauphin​

Of the above, in order of most to least likely to bust, I would choose Dauphin and then MacInnis.

 

[Muppet]

This thread is proudly brought to you by, Dylan Strome.

 

[Englishcoyote]

Merkley and macinnes for me, there's only so many spots that you have available in your organisation, may well trade some of them before the value goes down and get in good picks or prospects.

 

[XX]

Merkley and macinnes for me, there's only so many spots that you have available in your organisation, may well trade some of them before the value goes down and get in good picks or prospects.

Merkley is meeting expectations. MacInnis is not.

 

[Grimes]

Merkley is meeting expectations. MacInnis is not.

MacInnis's first pro season is the only reason why I would consider drafting Rasmussen. You would be drafting, at the very least, a unique 3C. Would not be the best use of a 7OA, but I can't say I would be completely disappointed either. He has Crouse written all over him, very unique player that teams benefit from having, but questionable ceiling.

 

[XX]

MacInnis's first pro season is the only reason why I would consider drafting Rasmussen. You would be drafting, at the very least, a unique 3C. Would not be the best use of a 7OA, but I can't say I would be completely disappointed either. He has Crouse written all over him, very unique player that teams benefit from having, but questionable ceiling.

Sounds like most players taken in the last ten picks of the first round. While it's nice to have guys that fit archetypes, there's really no downside to having a really good C as your 3C, so always go BPA. Change the guys that don't fit to wing. If you have more than 6 or so young forwards that fit, disregard this advice because you're from the future and have all the answers already.

 

[moosemeister]

I'm gonna go Merkley for first rounders.

MacInnis is likely to bust.

As much as I don't want Strome to busy I have concerns

 

[MIGs Dog]

2016 Keller, Chychrun
2015 Strome, Merkley, Fischer
2014 Perlini, MacInnis, Dvorak
2013 Domi, Dauphin​

.

I feel really good about 75% of that group. The yotes have drafted well the last few years. Not sold on Strome making it.

 

[Jamieh]

That is possible but I just did not want to write that name!!!!

Strome.

 

[RemoAZ]

Lot of people seem to be down on Mac. I liked him in rookie camp a lot and think it's way too soon to write him off.

 

[Jakey53]

I'd go with Conor Garland as the possible biggest bust (I'm assuming you mean all of our prospects), followed by Gaudet, and perhaps Dauphin.

Dauphin made the team out of training camp this year, and DT he expects him to make a big push next training camp.

Strome.

Last year most thought Perlini was going to be a bust, and now some are saying Strome will be. I still believe Strome will end up being one of our best players.

 

[Jakey53]

Lot of people seem to be down on Mac. I liked him in rookie camp a lot and think it's way too soon to write him off.

I agree. He was one of the best players at rookie camp.

 

[Mosby]

Merkley.

No qualms with RMac. He's getting in his pro reps. This is a long-term thing. I can see him being our 4 or 3 C down the road.

 

[rt]

There's a risk in all of them. Even Keller. He's a shrimp.

 

[Lilhoody]

Tinordi! In general, with the Yotes, and even after being given a second chance. What a major disappointment.

 

[BlazingBlueAnt]

Tinordi! In general, with the Yotes, and even after being given a second chance. What a major disappointment.

I dont think a bust can bust again

 

[Murf]

Keller. His face is shoulder high on most defenseman at this level, and he is a featherweight. How many big hits before he is rendered ineffective?

 

[BUX7PHX]

Keller. His face is shoulder high on most defenseman at this level, and he is a featherweight. How many big hits before he is rendered ineffective?

To be fair, that was the same reason why people put Marner behind players like Strome and Hanifin in their draft year, myself included. That hasn't happened to Marner... yet. Plenty of "undersized" players that carve out nice careers, so I just don't think injury alone determines bust and you can't predict injury.

Strome kind of wins by default because he was taken #3 OA and we traded away the only other 1st rounder (H Samuelsson) that could lay claim. There is an expectation to uphold in being picked so high, and it is possible that he becomes a solid, but not elite player that meets that perceived value. The other prior 1st rounders were taken at a safe enough position and met or exceeded expectations. (Was anyone disappointed with Chychrun's or Keller's development?)

For later round picks (2nd and beyond) - I will throw Dineen and MacInnis in there.