Defensemen
I don't want to beat on seventies' team while he's not around, but since jarek brought up Brian Campbell, it leads naturally into a discussion of the defensemen.
Anyway, I think these are the best two defensive corps in the draft, and a big reason these two teams got this far.
First pairing = slight advantage Regina
Jack Evans = Bob Armstrong
Seventieslord posted earlier that he didn't understand why Evans was a MLD All-Star and Armstrong wasn't, when they are basically the same defenseman. And he's right - they were very similar players. Armstrong seemed to fight more often, while Evans used his massive physical strength in a more controlled manner, but they seem to have gotten similar results.
Mike O'Connell < Gordie Roberts (by a little)
offense: O'Connell > Roberts
defense: O'Connell < Roberts
overall peak: O'Connell = Roberts
longevity: O'Connell < Roberts
Roberts gets a slight advantage because he rebranded himself a depth defensive defenseman and won two Cups late in his career in Pittsburgh as a depth player, giving him more career value.
Basically, the only thing that puts Roberts over O'Connell is longevity as a productive player, but that is something that matters to me.
Second pairing = moderate advantage Eden Hall
Walt Buswell = Jack Portland
They played in the same era and have very similar Norris records. Portland was a bigger hitter, and Buswell more controlled, but they seem to have gotten similar results.
Brian Campbell >>> Barry Gibbs (by a lot)
Campbell has been discussed to death in this thread. Barry Gibbs doesn't stack up:
- Norris record: Campbell (5th, 10th); Gibbs (none)
- All Star record: Campbell (4th, 9th, 16th); Gibbs (11th, 13th)
- All Star games: Campbell (2007, 2008, 2009); Gibbs (1973)
- Competition for above: Campbell (modern talent pool); Gibbs (70s NHL when many of the best players were in Europe or the WHA)
- 5 year peak offense: Campbell (9th among dmen, 92% of 2nd place Niedermayer, 93% of 3rd place Pronger)); Gibbs (15th among dmen, 51% of 2nd place Park, 55% of 3rd place Lapointe)
- Contribution to team success: Campbell (#1 on a President's Trophy winner, #3 on a Cup winner); Gibbs (#1 defenseman 9 times on 2 different expansion teams)
- Playoff totals: Campbell (38 points in 90 games); Gibbs (6 points in 36 games)
- Playoff highlight: Campbell (led the 2010 Cup winner in +/- from the second pairing); Gibbs (1 assist and 47 PIMs in 1971 as his team lost in the second round - the only time one of Gibbs teams made it past the first round in his career)
Basically, Gibbs' role in history is as the undisputed #1 of the expansion North Stars, followed by the expansion Flames, teams that won a single playoff round between them. Basically the best fish out of a rotten bunch.
What did Gibbs do with his massive ice time?:
- In 1973-74, more goals were scored against Gibbs' team when he was on the ice than any other defenseman in the NHL
- In 1978-79, Gibbs' was second in goals against to Rick Green, the number one defenseman on the Washington Capitals, one of the worst teams of all-time.
- This means Gibbs was an outlier away from the dubious distinction of twice leading the NHL in goals against his team while he was on the ice.
- Of course, Gibbs' massive goals-against numbers are products of being the #1 guy on awful teams. But so are his massive ice time numbers that are the main reason seventieslord drafted him.
Bottom pairing = slight advantage Regina
Christian Ehrhoff >> Gary Sargent (by a moderate amount)
- Norris record: Ehrhoff (8th, 9th); Sargent (8th)
- All Star record: Ehrhoff (7th, 11th); Sargent (12th)
- longevity: Ehrhoff (500 games); Sargent (406 games)
- playoffs: Ehrhoff (34 points in 73 games); Sargent (12 points in 20 games)
Ehrhoff beats Sargent in both peak and longevity.
Garth Butcher <<< Bingo Kampman (by a lot)
Butcher has everything you could want from a #6 - he's a perfect role player - a leader, a hard hitting stay at homer, an agitator, and a heavyweight fighter.
But Kampman provides everything Butcher does (minus the leadership) and has an All-Star record showing him to be a much better player compared to his peers. Butcher is a very good #6 I at this level I think, but Kampman is slumming it on a bottom pair.
Summary:
Eden Hall has a significant (though not huge) advantage on the second pair, where Brian Campbell is a much better player than Barry Gibbs. Is it enough to outweigh Regina's smaller advantages on the first and third pair?