Prospect Info: Looking back at 2012 Prospect Rankings

[WeThreeKings]

Every year we rank out prospects after the draft and with a couple weeks to go before we add some new and exciting talent to the pool, I think we should reflect at the rankings we gave our prospects last year and see how far they've fallen, how far they've risen, who we were right about and who we were wrong about.

Here is last year's list:
1. Alex Galchenyuk, C (Sarnia Sting, OHL) - 100% of votes.
2. Nathan Beaulieu, D (St. Johns Sea Dogs, QMJHL) - 43.84% of votes.
3. Jarred Tinordi, D (London Knights, OHL) - 58.16% of votes.
4. Louis Leblanc, C/RW (Hamilton Bulldogs, AHL) - 53.51% of the votes.
5. Sebastien Collberg, RW (Frolunda, SEL) - 56.04% of the votes.
6. Brendan Gallagher, RW (Vancouver Giants, WHL) - 87.38% of the votes.
7. Morgan Ellis, D (Shawinigan Cataractes, QMJHL) - 47.98% of the votes.
8. Danny Kristo, RW (North Dakota, NCAA) - 67.96% of the votes
9. Dalton Thrower, D (Saskatoon Blades, WHL) - 50.00% of the votes.
10. Michael Bournival, C (Shawinigan Cataractes, QMJHL) - 42.41% of the votes.
11. Mac Bennett, D (Michigan Wolverines, NCAA) - 29.13% of the votes.
12. Tim Bozon, LW (Kamloops Blazers, WHL) - 31.94% of the votes.
13. Patrick Holland, C (Tri City Americans, WHL) - 28.19% of the votes.
14. Aaron Palushaj, RW (Hamilton Bulldogs, AHL) - 38.24% of the votes.
15. Darren Dietz, D (Saskatoon Blades, WHL) - 44.85% of the votes.
16. Black Geoffrion, LW/C (Hamilton Bulldogs, AHL) - 29.85% of the votes (wins tie-break by virtue of votes in poll #15).
17. Steve Quailer, RW/LW (Northeastern, NCAA) - 29.85% of the votes (loses tie-break by virtue of votes in poll#15).
18. Mark MacMillan, LW (North Dakota, NCAA) - 18.40% of the votes.
19. Brady Vail, C (Windsor Spitfires, OHL) - 30.77% of the votes.
20. Charles Hudon, LW (Chicoutimi Sangueneens, QMJHL) - 16.67% of the votes.
21. Gabriel Dumont, C (Hamilton Bulldogs, AHL) - 21.90% of the votes.
22. Alexander Avtsin, RW (Hamilton Bulldogs, AHL) - 20.59% of the votes (wins tie-break by virtue of votes in poll #21).
23. Joonas Nattinen, C (Hamilton Bulldogs, AHL) - 20.59% of the votes (loses tea-break by virtue of votes in poll #21).
24. Brendon Nash, D (Hamilton Bulldogs, AHL) - 37.61% of the votes.
25. Daniel Pribyl, C (HC Sparta Praha, Czech Elite League) - 45.36% of the votes.
26. Greg Pateryn, D (Michigan Wolverines, NCAA) - 79.20% of the votes.
27. Josiah Didier, D (University of Denver Pioneers, NCAA) - 73.60% of the votes.
28. Erik Nystrom, LW (MODO Hockey, SEL) - 61.60% of the votes.
29. Olivier Archambault, LW (Drumondville Voltiguers, QMJHL) - 59.20% of the votes.
30. Ian Schultz, RW (Hamilton Bulldogs, AHL) - 51.20% of the votes.
31. Magnus Nygren, D (Farjestads BK, SEL) - 90.00% of the votes.
32. Colin Sullivan, D (Avon Old Farms, USHE) - 68.00% of the votes.
33. Dustin Walsh, C (Dartmouth College Big Green, NCAA) - 63.00% of the votes.
34. Alain Berger, RW (Hamilton Bulldogs, AHL) - 53.00% of the votes.
35. Maxim Trunev, RW (Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, KHL) - 51.00% of the votes.
36. Joe Stejskal, D (Hamilton Bulldogs, AHL) - 92.08% of the votes.
37. Peter Delmas, G (Hamilton Bulldogs, AHL) - 64.36% of the votes.
38. Michael Cichy, C (Awaiting Transfer, NCAA) - 47.52% of the votes.

I think we were all right with Galchenyuk as #1.
We definitely had Gallagher rated too low, he should have been behind Galchenyuk.
Beaulieu a little high but I think warranted it with his play this year.
Tinordi and Collberg are around their right location.
Leblanc definitely was rated highly but fell off.
Ellis, Pribyl, Palushaj, Thrower, and Quailer are all ones we had rated highly that should have been lower.
Hudon, Dietz, Pateryn and Nygren are ones, to me, that we rated too low.

Click to read more...

 

[Ezpz]

Pateryn higher.
Nygren much higher.
Quailer lower.
Hudon higher.
Dumont possibly higher.
Leblanc lower.
Thrower probably lower but I still think his upside is the same.
Ellis over Kristo never made sense. Were people really that upset that Kristo went for a final year of College when we didn't even have a GM in place?

 

[WeThreeKings]

Pateryn higher.
Nygren much higher.
Quailer lower.
Hudon higher.
Dumont possibly higher.
Leblanc lower.
Thrower probably lower but I still think his upside is the same.
Ellis over Kristo never made sense. Were people really that upset that Kristo went for a final year of College when we didn't even have a GM in place?

yes they were pissed at Kristo for that. Kristo was definitely rated too low.

 

[HankyZetts]

1. Alex Galchenyuk, C (Sarnia Sting, OHL) - 100% of votes.
2. Nathan Beaulieu, D (St. Johns Sea Dogs, QMJHL) - 43.84% of votes.
3. Jarred Tinordi, D (London Knights, OHL) - 58.16% of votes.
6. Brendan Gallagher, RW (Vancouver Giants, WHL) - 87.38% of the votes.
5. Sebastien Collberg, RW (Frolunda, SEL) - 56.04% of the votes.
8. Danny Kristo, RW (North Dakota, NCAA) - 67.96% of the votes
20. Charles Hudon, LW (Chicoutimi Sangueneens, QMJHL) - 16.67% of the votes.
9. Dalton Thrower, D (Saskatoon Blades, WHL) - 50.00% of the votes.
4. Louis Leblanc, C/RW (Hamilton Bulldogs, AHL) - 53.51% of the votes.
7. Morgan Ellis, D (Shawinigan Cataractes, QMJHL) - 47.98% of the votes.
10. Michael Bournival, C (Shawinigan Cataractes, QMJHL) - 42.41% of the votes.
15. Darren Dietz, D (Saskatoon Blades, WHL) - 44.85% of the votes.
18. Mark MacMillan, LW (North Dakota, NCAA) - 18.40% of the votes.
19. Brady Vail, C (Windsor Spitfires, OHL) - 30.77% of the votes.
12. Tim Bozon, LW (Kamloops Blazers, WHL) - 31.94% of the votes.
23. Joonas Nattinen, C (Hamilton Bulldogs, AHL) - 20.59% of the votes (loses tea-break by virtue of votes in poll).
11. Mac Bennett, D (Michigan Wolverines, NCAA) - 29.13% of the votes.
31. Magnus Nygren, D (Farjestads BK, SEL) - 90.00% of the votes.
13. Patrick Holland, C (Tri City Americans, WHL) - 28.19% of the votes.
17. Steve Quailer, RW/LW (Northeastern, NCAA) - 29.85% of the votes (loses tie-break by virtue of votes in poll#15).
26. Greg Pateryn, D (Michigan Wolverines, NCAA) - 79.20% of the votes.
27. Josiah Didier, D (University of Denver Pioneers, NCAA) - 73.60% of the votes.
24. Brendon Nash, D (Hamilton Bulldogs, AHL) - 37.61% of the votes.
25. Daniel Pribyl, C (HC Sparta Praha, Czech Elite League) - 45.36% of the votes.


Without putting toooo much thought into it, I like something like this. I know i'm underrating Bennett but, admittedly, he is the prospect I've seen the least of, so I don't want to rank him ahead of guys I already know and like.

 

[Ohashi_Jouzu*]

Without putting toooo much thought into it, I like something like this. I know i'm underrating Bennett but, admittedly, he is the prospect I've seen the least of, so I don't want to rank him ahead of guys I already know and like.

Without getting too deep into it either, swap Dietz with Thrower, and I could probably shake on it. I'd be closer to swapping Bournival and Nygren as well, believe it or not.

 

[Analyzer*]

Black Geoffrion ?

 

[HankyZetts]

Without getting too deep into it either, swap Dietz with Thrower, and I could probably shake on it. I'd be closer to swapping Bournival and Nygren as well, believe it or not.

I could definitely swap Bournival and Nygren if we're talking about potential ceilings. I only put him there because I think he will certainly be an NHLer. Nygren is more talented though, no doubt.

 

[WeThreeKings]

Black Geoffrion ?

A typo that turned into a running joke.

Too bad ole Black Geoffrion won't be back to play with Subban and Nygren.

 

[Mrb1p]

Ultimately, I don't think it changed that much. Outside of Nygren, Hudon, Kristo and Dietz no one really need to rise and no one really needs to fall outside of the people not signed...

 

[hototogisu]

The obsession with size on this board is why you have a guy like Ian Schultz placing higher than Magnus Nygren.

 

[WeThreeKings]

The obsession with size on this board is why you have a guy like Ian Schultz placing higher than Magnus Nygren.

Obscure Euro hype always wins too.. I fall into it (Avtsin, Trunev & Pribyl RIP).

#14 on our list, Aaron Palushaj got traded during the season.
#16 Black Geoffrion suffers career threatening injury (nothing we could predict)
#22 Alexander Avtsin released
#24 Brendon Nash traded.
#25 Daniel Pribyl not signed
#29 Olivier Archambault not signed
#33 Dustin Walsh not signed
#34 Alain Berger released.

So 8 of our prospects in our 38 player deep pool are no longer going to be on the ballot when I run this poll post 2013 Draft.

 

[Mrb1p]

Obscure Euro hype always wins too.. I fall into it (Avtsin, Trunev & Pribyl RIP).

#14 on our list, Aaron Palushaj got traded during the season.
#16 Black Geoffrion suffers career threatening injury (nothing we could predict)
#22 Alexander Avtsin released
#24 Brendon Nash traded.
#25 Daniel Pribyl not signed
#29 Olivier Archambault not signed
#33 Dustin Walsh not signed
#34 Alain Berger released.

So 8 of our prospects in our 38 player deep pool are no longer going to be on the ballot when I run this poll post 2013 Draft.

Luckily, the best asset we might have lost is Black Geoffrion or Palushaj.... This doesn't hurt us much, both players acquired for scraps. There was also no high pick wasted there.

 

[Mike Mike Caron]

Luckily, the best asset we might have lost is Black Geoffrion or Palushaj.... This doesn't hurt us much, both players acquired for scraps. There was also no high pick wasted there.

Has Black Jeff retired officialy?

 

[Mrb1p]

Has Black Jeff retired officialy?

Yes he has. He's pimpin' somewhere else now.

 

[PricerStopDaPuck]

Truly sad that Blake might retire to me he was a good 3rd line guy abit down the road. Can't believe that hit that useless goon delivered to him

 

[25get]

Feels like Dietz, Kristo, Dumont, Nygren, Pateryn and Hudon should all go up in that order.
Dietz is definitively top-10 maybe top-5.
Nygren was 31st in our list so he should get the most spectacular rise (top-10?).

Leblanc and Thrower have gone down.
But I hope both are going to rise again.
Leblanc because of his working ethics.
Thrower also dropped a lot.

Vail will probably go down but he increased his numbers despite playing on defense at some point during the season.

Out of that list: Galchenyuk, Gallagher Prybil, Palushaj, Goeffrion and Archambeault.

With Beaulieu, Tinordi and Dietz we are pretty loaded in defense.

 

[25get]

Truly sad that Blake might retire to me he was a good 3rd line guy abit down the road. Can't believe that hit that useless goon delivered to him

It was an unfortunate injury not a deliberate hit.

 

[MarkovtoSubban]

Just for fun added the picks from the mock draft:

1. Nathan Beaulieu, D
2. Jarred Tinordi, D
3. Danny Kristo, RW
4 Andrei Burakowsky, LW
5. Charles Hudon, LW
6. Sebastian Collberg, RW
7. Greg Pateryn, D
8. Darren Dietz, D
9. Zach Nastasiuk, RW
10. Jason Dickinson, LW-C
11. Michael Bournival, C
12. John Hayden, C
13. Magnus Nygren, D
14. Tim Bozon, LW
15. Mac Bennett, D
16. Patrick Holland, C/RW
17. Dalton Thrower, D
18. Morgan Ellis, D
19. Tristan Jarry, G
20. Louis Leblanc, RW/LW
21. Mark MacMillan, LW
22. Brady Vail, C
23. Gabriel Dumont, C
24. Gustav Olofsson, LW
25. Joonas Nattinen, C
26. Edgars Klavins, LW
27. Josiah Didier, D
28. Erik Nystrom, LW
29. Aidan Muir, LW
30. Mike Condom, G
31. Steve Quailer, LW
32. Colin Sullivan, D
33. Dustin Walsh, C
34. Phillipe Lefebvre, LW
35. Maxim Trunev, RW
36. Joe Stejskal, D
37. Peter Delmas, G
38. Michael Cichy, C

 

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[Ezpz]

The obsession with size on this board is why you have a guy like Ian Schultz placing higher than Magnus Nygren.

Wat. At the end of last season he went on a tear in the AHL and even got called up to the Habs. He came into camp super fat and ruined his career, but there were strong thoughts he'd get a game or two this year before that.

 

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[Ezpz]

At the NHL level, he'd play two minutes and fight. That's it.

And that's IF he'd make it to the NHL. He wouldn't.

There was still a decent chance he'd play in the NHL which shoots him up the rankings since Nygren was by no means a lock to ever play in NA at the start of the season.

 

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[Koivu 11]

Truly sad that Blake might retire to me he was a good 3rd line guy abit down the road. Can't believe that hit that useless goon delivered to him

I was at the game and saw the hit coming but thought he would just get smashed into the boards...it was so vicious live man, one i'll never forget.

Just a weird play cause Blake saw the hit coming too, you can see him look up before he gets hit and still stays there and takes the hit...I guess he didn't think the impact would be that bad...

 

[WeThreeKings]

Nygren shot up as a result of his progression. I understand that.

The fact that Schultz is even on the list makes me wonder. He was good in the WHL, he looked average in the AHL and he looks below average in the ECHL.

Well, we rated -every- prospect in the system.. He was going to be on the list no matter what but the fact he was any where but near the bottom of the trash heap is.. baffling.