Jack Hughes vs Kirby Dach

Discussion in 'Polls - (hockey-related only)' started by Machinehead, Oct 30, 2018.

?

What would you rather have?

Poll closed Nov 6, 2018.
  1. Definitely Kirby Dach

    40.3%
  2. Maybe Jack Hughes

    59.7%
  1. Machinehead

    Machinehead Swedish Pals

    Joined:
    Jan 21, 2011
    Messages:
    88,990
    Likes Received:
    17,225
    Trophy Points:
    156
    Occupation:
    Professor
    Location:
    NYC
    We were talking about the top picks in the draft today on HFNYR because the Rangers stink, and this thought sort of came up. I wanted to see what others thought.

    Hypothetically speaking, you can have Kirby Dach -that's it, take it to the bank- or a shot at Jack Hughes.

    Basically, you sign up for Kirby Dach right now, or you take your chances in the standings and the lottery.

    Let's say your team is, well, as bad as the Rangers. (conservatively, bottom 10)
     
  2. talitintti

    talitintti Registered User

    Joined:
    Oct 13, 2018
    Messages:
    701
    Likes Received:
    605
    Trophy Points:
    61
    Kaapo Kakko
     
  3. BenShapiro

    BenShapiro Ben 10

    Joined:
    Feb 10, 2015
    Messages:
    2,381
    Likes Received:
    745
    Trophy Points:
    95
    Location:
    Queens University
    Maybe Jack Hughes, cause I still have a shot at players better then Dach (figuratively)
     
    Filthy Dangles likes this.
  4. Machinehead

    Machinehead Swedish Pals

    Joined:
    Jan 21, 2011
    Messages:
    88,990
    Likes Received:
    17,225
    Trophy Points:
    156
    Occupation:
    Professor
    Location:
    NYC
     
    missionAvs likes this.
  5. ESH

    ESH Registered User

    Joined:
    Jun 19, 2011
    Messages:
    3,260
    Likes Received:
    1,029
    Trophy Points:
    124
    This seems flawed because if you have a chance at Hughes then obviously you have a pretty good chance at Dach if you don’t get Hughes anyways.
     
    cgf and jw2 like this.
  6. Tatar Shots

    Tatar Shots Registered User

    Joined:
    Feb 2, 2014
    Messages:
    4,919
    Likes Received:
    642
    Trophy Points:
    94
    I don’t see how you don’t secure Dach. Only one team is getting Hughes and the team with the best odds still has over an 80% chance on missing out. I guess it depends on what you think of Dach, but I seriously doubt he is available at say 5. Look at Vancouver finishing 2nd worst in back to back years and ending up 5th both times.
     
  7. cheesehead9099

    cheesehead9099 Registered User

    Joined:
    Aug 26, 2011
    Messages:
    1,669
    Likes Received:
    181
    Trophy Points:
    81
    Location:
    Canada
    I voted "definitely Kirby Dach" but I dont really get the premise - if I'm a team that places dead last, I'll pick shot at Jack Hughes because my odds are better than if I had the 10th pick, and I'll get the 4th overall pick at worst, which is conceivably good enough to get Dach. It would be better if you cleared it up, e.g. 33% shot at Hughes or you pick 8th overall, or something.
     
    cgf and GrittyHawkDown like this.
  8. lawrence

    lawrence Registered User

    Joined:
    May 19, 2012
    Messages:
    7,783
    Likes Received:
    1,033
    Trophy Points:
    109
    Hughes rather easily. He is elite offensive potential
    Kirby Dach is good but he is top 6 potential there are like 4 other guys I take before Dach even, let alone a Hughes vs Dach.
     
  9. Scholarships

    Scholarships manhi manhi manhi

    Joined:
    Apr 3, 2016
    Messages:
    2,661
    Likes Received:
    201
    Trophy Points:
    67
    If I was 10th overall I would take Dach for sure.

    If I was the rangers I would go for Jack Hughes
     
  10. cgf

    cgf FireBednarsSuccessor

    Joined:
    Oct 15, 2010
    Messages:
    41,852
    Likes Received:
    6,822
    Trophy Points:
    156
    Occupation:
    Browbeaten Bookkeeper
    Location:
    w/ Renley's Peach
    Gimme the chance of getting Hughes over the guarantee of not getting him.
     
    Last edited: Oct 31, 2018
    The Abusement Park likes this.
  11. Josepho

    Josepho i guess they never miss huh

    Joined:
    Jan 1, 2015
    Messages:
    10,285
    Likes Received:
    2,043
    Trophy Points:
    142
    Occupation:
    you don't care
    Location:
    British Columbia
    I might prefer Dach over Hughes anyways...
     
  12. Lays

    Lays Vitaly Swagtsov

    Joined:
    Jan 22, 2017
    Messages:
    6,050
    Likes Received:
    2,866
    Trophy Points:
    131
    Gender:
    Male
    Location:
    NJ
    Dach has elite offensive potential as well
     
  13. DominicBoltsFan

    DominicBoltsFan Advanced stats are good!

    Joined:
    Oct 31, 2016
    Messages:
    19,936
    Likes Received:
    3,735
    Trophy Points:
    151
    Gender:
    Male
    Occupation:
    High school student
    Location:
    Tampa
    I’ll take Dach unless I’m bottom-2
     
  14. snipes

    snipes Registered User

    Joined:
    Dec 28, 2015
    Messages:
    23,757
    Likes Received:
    7,307
    Trophy Points:
    141
    Dach is such a good player. Hard to pass up that size/speed/skill combo.

    Hughes is massively overrated anyways.
     
  15. The Abusement Park

    The Abusement Park Registered User

    Joined:
    Jan 18, 2016
    Messages:
    9,795
    Likes Received:
    3,437
    Trophy Points:
    111
    Location:
    Denver
    If you have a shot at Hughes, chances are you still have a really good shot at getting Dach as well? I mean if your a top 4-7 pick Dach will be in that range? So wouldn’t you want the shot at Hughes? Then if you don’t get him then you still have a great shot at getting Dach.
     
  16. Deficient Mode

    Deficient Mode Registered User

    Joined:
    Mar 25, 2011
    Messages:
    59,563
    Likes Received:
    1,806
    Trophy Points:
    156
    Answer depends entirely on how you rate Dach. Many people have Dach 6-10. More and more people seem to have him as high as 3rd though. If you think he's 3rd and consensus will view him as such in June, you'll need to win the lottery to get him anyway. Given how lottery odds are currently set up, I'd take shot at #1 OA (not sure if that will stay Hughes if his production continues to lag compared to last year) over guaranteed #3 OA only if I finished with worst record in the league. Second worst in league has 61% chance to pick 4th or 5th, and only 13.5% chance to pick 1st. Gap between 1st and 3rd will be much bigger than 3rd and 5th, but your odds of winning are quickly dwarfed by your odds of dropping below 3rd pick.
     
    DominicBoltsFan likes this.

Share This Page

  1. This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
    By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.
    Dismiss Notice
monitoring_string = "358c248ada348a047a4b9bb27a146148"