TMHUNH said:
Its interesting looking back to 1997 and seeing how the North American rankings are ALL Major junior players for the whole first round (besides Samsonov). It just shows how much things have changed in short time, now you see much more NCAA, USHL, USNTDP, BCHL etc. in there at the top. It shows how much those leagues have improved at developing talent, but moreso how the scouting world has changed, with them putting much more credibility in those leagues as more and more players come out of them.
I agree that NHL teams are now scouting more leagues and players than they did in the past, even as recently as 1997. However, with the current financial situation of the league, teams can't afford to take a chance on signing as many prospects as they have in the past.
Therefore, with the CBA set up as it currently is, teams are a bit more reluctant to select CHLers since they have just two years to decide if they want to sign that prospect. If I were at a draft table making decisions, you can bet a US HSer, USHLer, Canadian Tier II or NCAA player would win out in any tie-breaker with a CHLer based on the fact NHL teams have seemingly an eternity to sign them.
Throw in Europeans, who can continue to develop in their home leagues for eight or nine years before being signed (I know NHL teams need to tender qualifying offers at some point to retain their rights), it's amazing the amount of CHL players taken is still as high as it is.
True CHL talents will be taken. It's the borderline player who has certain deficiencies (ie: size, skating) who will be affected. Large CHLers will still be taken late, with hopes of actually turning into a player in a year or two, while the smaller skill player gets overlooked in the draft.
Frankly, other than the ego-stroking that goes with being an NHL Draftee, if I were a potential late-round CHLer I'd rather go undrafted and try to make my own Free Agent deal with a team that fits my situation. You're seeing more and more undrafted FAs signing pro deals after going to rookie camps. And some of these guys have played in the show as 20-and 21-year olds.