tarheelhockey
Offside Review Specialist
Hedman not sure, but soon to be a lock. Tampa's collapse leaves a bad taste here.
The collapse makes it harder to get excited about him at this moment, but it's a pretty short-term thing compared to anything else we're looking at. It's not even Christmas yet, and AFAIK there are several players ahead of Hedman on Tampa's complaints list right now. It's kind of like that year when the Pens were underachieving horribly around this time of year... if we had taken a poll I'm sure there would have been complaints about Crosby and Malkin. Then they won the Cup and that season became an argument to move their ranking up.
In the wider lens, Hedman just turned 29 today (!) and already has a Norris and two 3rd places (or, a 1AS and two 2ASs). Three elite seasons and a total of maybe 5-6 years as a top-10 defenseman alrady makes him competitive with guys like Allan Stanley, Doug Wilson, Larry Murphy. If nothing else, I'd easily take him over Harvey Pulford at #60.
Another way to look at it... after Shea Weber (1985 birthday) we only see three* defensemen who clearly have all-time qualities: Doughty, Karlsson, Hedman. Once we get to 1994 we have Seth Jones, who is almost like a "Welcome to the Next Generation" sign to introduce a cohort which hasn't fully established itself yet. If nothing changes dramatically, this means we have 3 active older candidates (Chara, Keith, Weber), 3 prime-aged candidates (Doughty, Karlsson, Hedman), and we can assume an equal number of 3 from the younger generation. Total of 9. According to @Hockey Outsider's numbers posted here, 9 active list-worthy defensemen tracks nicely with what we should expect to see at a given point in history. It seems like Hedman is the guy to be that 3rd player from his generational cohort, maybe not quite as transcendent as the multi-Norris guys but solidy list-worthy in his own right.
* PK Subban looked like he belonged on that list, but the trajectory of his career isn't promising. Maybe he bounces back and makes it 4.