I like both goalies, but obviously I feel a little more comfortable with Bernier in net at the moment.
However, there is going to be a goalie battle... and Reimer could end up with the number one spot very easily. When Reimer is playing well, he's pretty incredible. And while Bernier is pretty solid most of the time, he did let in quite a few weak/fluke/omg goals last year (which everyone essentially gave him a pass for and no one really focused on them, thankfully).
Reimer is going to get his chance to prove he can still play (and he often rises to the task). There are 7 pre-season games, so I expect him to start in 2 or 3 of them.
We open against Montreal and Bernier will likely start that game.
However then we play the Pens on Saturday followed by the Rangers on Sunday. So Reimer is going to get one of the back to back games. So within the first 3 games, if Reimer wins his game and plays lights out... and we lose the two games that Bernier starts where he lets in some softies.... then who starts game 4 against the Avs?
We then have another back to back for games 5 and 6 against Detroit. So Reimer is going to start one of those games almost for sure since I expect each team to play their back-up in one of the games.
We then have ANOTHER back to back, this time against some easy teams (Islanders and Sens)... so the goalies are probably splitting this too (unless Reimer has totally bombed up until this point and we put Bernier in both nights to try to get the 4 points against easy teams).
So in the first 8 games, there are 3 back to backs... so my guess is that Reimer is going to get at least 3 starts.
Game 9 is Boston. And we also know that Carlyle liked to shelter Bernier and at least last year, he sometimes tended to give Reimer the games he thought that we weren't going to win.
But if Reimer can pull out some of those 50 shot shutouts like he did vs. Washington last year... and if Bernier lets in some soft goals (and his style makes it look like he's not even trying)... there could be some pressure to go with Reimer if he is hot and battling hard and winning games.
Assuming no major injuries, I would personally handicap it at 80% vs. 20% that Bernier gets the majority of the starts. But if Reimer out plays him, I think they'll go with whoever is better and winning games... and Reimer is going to get his chance with all these back to backs... so he'll get the opportunity to show everyone what he can do.