Assuming Phoenix goes 4-4-1 somehow, they end up with 91 points. For us to reach 91 points we'd have to hit 6-4-0 to keep it simple. That still wouldn't guarantee us a ticket to the dance. It would come down to the ROW / final (death) game in Phoenix.
I just can't see it.
St Louis in their barn after a game vs. Nashville the evening before
4 games on the East coast. This includes a game against Florida after playing the Bolts the night before. (Lobo remind us when the last time we won in an Eastern Conference barn.... Novemberrrrr)
Then 3 games at home. Which includes a b2b, Nashville then CBJ, where we're down by 1. Finishing the homestand vs. the Blues... yay.
Concluding the season in Phoenix.
Good luck soldier
What happens when Phx goes 3-6? (they could)
Still, we don't need to rely on that. Say they go 4-4-1, we go 5-4, then it comes down to one game. Same if we go 4-3-2, etc.
Point is, we can gain ONE point on them in the next 9 games. Then win ONE game. It's possible.
we don't have to be tied with them going into that last game, we likely just have to be down 2 or less. I'm not saying we're gonna make the dance or anything yet. I'm just saying I consider it close to a coin-flip at this point. Remember they still don't have Smith and I'm not sure how hot their backup can stay.