Did I have it right? It's top 10 protected? So we're rooting for Pittsburgh to lose out right and then get the pick next year?
It's top 10 protected. They get to decide AFTER the lottery.
If PIT finishes 11 or 12 and wins the lottery and gets pick 1 or 2, they can choose to keep it, or choose to give it to us and we get their 2025 unprotected.
If they finish bottom 10, same deal except they get to choose no matter what, after the lottery.
In the scenario where they win 1 or 2OA, they almost certainly keep the pick, "retool" in the offseason, maybe even resign Guentzel, and likely do not finish quite so badly next year. Maybe it'll be a 10-20 pick.
If they finish 9 or 10, I guess it depends on whether they think they can flip the player for a "win now" asset, because they can't trade the pick if they keep it.